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Fastenal Company (FAST) Stock Analysis 2026

IndustrialsIndustrial Distribution
$46.15as of 2026-07-23

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
52
Neutral
Price CAGR
18.7%
1Y Return
-1.2%
Analyst Upside
+5.2%
Rev Growth
14.7%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$49.15+6.5% potential
Bear Case
$33.99
Bull Case
$64.84
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

FAST Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how FAST's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$8.75B
Cost of Revenue
-$4.84B
Gross Profit
$3.91B44.7% margin
Operating Expenses
-$2.07B
Operating Income
$1.84B21.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$487.3M
Net Income
$1.35B15.5% margin
Gross Margin
44.7%
Operating Margin
21.0%
Net Margin
15.5%
EBITDA Margin
22.2%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$52.20B
Enterprise Value
$48.52B
P/E (Trailing)
38.88
P/E (Forward)
32.55
EV / EBITDA
28.69
Price / Sales
6.34
Price / Book
13.07
Revenue
$8.75B
Revenue Growth
14.7%
Earnings Growth
14.6%
EBITDA
$1.69B
Gross Margin
44.7%
Operating Margin
21.0%
Net Margin
15.5%
Return on Equity
34.3%
Return on Assets
21.5%
Free Cash Flow
$916.1M
Total Cash
$231.8M
Total Debt
$495.8M
Debt / Equity
10.85
Current Ratio
4.18
Quick Ratio
2.00
Beta
0.71
Dividend Yield
2.1%
Payout Ratio
78.6%
Book Value / Share
$3.55

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingUnderperform(11 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$29.50-36.1%
Mean Target$47.84+3.7% upside
High Target$43.00+-6.8%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for FAST

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$16.77
-63.7% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$16.77 – $16.77
Average Estimate
$16.77
Potential Downside
-63.7%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

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