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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Analysis

AI / SoftwareEnterprise AI & Data Analytics
$119.50as of 2026-06-22

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
58
Moderate
Price CAGR
57.6%
1Y Return
-6.4%
Analyst Upside
+42.3%
Rev Growth
84.7%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$121.08+1.3% potential
Bear Case
$76.37
Bull Case
$197.61
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

About Palantir Technologies Inc.

Palantir builds software platforms that help organizations integrate, visualize, and analyze large datasets to make better decisions. The company operates two main platforms: Gotham (government intelligence and defense) and Foundry (commercial enterprise analytics). Its newest product, AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform), overlays large language models on top of existing data infrastructure, enabling enterprises to deploy AI agents and workflows without building from scratch.

How Palantir Makes Money

Palantir sells enterprise software through multi-year contracts, typically starting with a pilot deployment and expanding over time (land-and-expand). Revenue comes from US Government (~55%), US Commercial (~30%), and International (~15%). Contracts include platform licenses, professional services for deployment, and ongoing maintenance. The company has been focused on shifting from services-heavy to software-led revenue to improve margins.

Palantir Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Palantir's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$5.22B
Cost of Revenue
-$832.0M
Gross Profit
$4.39B84.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.98B
Operating Income
$2.41B46.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$131.2M
Net Income
$2.28B43.7% margin
Gross Margin
84.1%
Operating Margin
46.2%
Net Margin
43.7%
EBITDA Margin
14.0%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$307.98B
Enterprise Value
$296.32B
P/E (Trailing)
144.35
P/E (Forward)
61.70
EV / EBITDA
680.65
Price / Sales
96.76
Price / Book
55.55
Revenue
$5.22B
Revenue Growth
84.7%
Earnings Growth
325.0%
EBITDA
$435.3M
Gross Margin
84.1%
Operating Margin
46.2%
Net Margin
43.7%
Return on Equity
32.6%
Return on Assets
14.7%
Free Cash Flow
$1.75B
Total Cash
$5.43B
Total Debt
$244.6M
Debt / Equity
2.48
Current Ratio
6.91
Quick Ratio
6.82
Beta
1.51
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Book Value / Share
$3.52

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingUnderperform(22 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$40.00-66.5%
Mean Target$182.75+52.9% upside
High Target$150.00+25.5%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for PLTR

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$16.27
-86.4% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$16.27 – $16.27
Average Estimate
$16.27
Potential Downside
-86.4%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

PLTR Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform) is driving explosive commercial growth — enterprises are choosing Palantir to deploy AI agents on their proprietary data rather than building from scratch.
  • Government business provides a durable, high-margin revenue base with multi-year contracts and expanding use cases (defense, intelligence, healthcare, immigration).
  • Net dollar retention rates above 115% demonstrate strong expansion within existing customers as they discover new use cases for the platform.
  • Palantir is one of the few AI companies that is actually profitable and generating strong free cash flow — rare in the AI software space.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Valuation is extreme — 60-100x+ forward revenue multiples price in years of hypergrowth that may not materialize if enterprise AI adoption slows.
  • Government revenue growth can be lumpy and subject to budget cycles, political changes, and contract protests.
  • Professional services revenue is lower-margin and harder to scale — Palantir needs to continue shifting toward self-serve software adoption.
  • Competition from Databricks, Snowflake, and hyperscaler AI services threatens Palantir's commercial positioning as the enterprise AI platform.

What to Watch: PLTR Key Metrics

US Commercial revenue growth
AIP customer count
Remaining deal value
Rule of 40 score
Free cash flow margin

PLTR Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

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