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Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) Stock Analysis 2026

SemiconductorsAnalog & Embedded Semiconductors
$284.99as of 2026-07-23

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
52
Neutral
Price CAGR
18.8%
1Y Return
+31.1%
Analyst Upside
+6.8%
Rev Growth
18.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$412.15+44.6% potential
Bear Case
$208.90
Bull Case
$449.55
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

About Texas Instruments Inc.

Texas Instruments is the world's largest maker of analog semiconductors and a major producer of embedded processors. Unlike digital chips (CPUs, GPUs) which are reprinted with Moore's Law advancement, analog chips convert real-world signals (temperature, pressure, sound, current) into digital data and are characterized by longevity and stability. TI serves industrial, automotive, communications, enterprise, and personal electronics markets, with over 80,000 products serving 100,000+ customers.

How Texas Makes Money

TI generates revenue from Analog (~80% of revenue) and Embedded Processing (~20%). The company owns and operates its own semiconductor fabs (unusual in modern chipmaking), producing analog chips in depreciated factories with very high gross margins over time. TI's 'harvest' financial model — investing in capacity in downturns and generating high FCF in upcycles — produces exceptional long-term free cash flow per share. TI's 14 manufacturing sites give it supply chain independence from TSMC.

Texas Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Texas's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$18.44B
Cost of Revenue
-$7.87B
Gross Profit
$10.57B57.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$3.60B
Operating Income
$6.97B37.8% margin
Tax & Other
-$1.61B
Net Income
$5.37B29.1% margin
Gross Margin
57.3%
Operating Margin
37.8%
Net Margin
29.1%
EBITDA Margin
44.2%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$258.48B
Enterprise Value
$182.65B
P/E (Trailing)
48.55
P/E (Forward)
29.67
EV / EBITDA
25.73
Price / Sales
10.89
Price / Book
10.66
Revenue
$18.44B
Revenue Growth
18.6%
Earnings Growth
31.3%
EBITDA
$7.10B
Gross Margin
57.3%
Operating Margin
37.8%
Net Margin
29.1%
Return on Equity
32.3%
Return on Assets
12.2%
Free Cash Flow
$1.07B
Total Cash
$5.01B
Total Debt
$12.85B
Debt / Equity
83.74
Current Ratio
4.46
Quick Ratio
2.83
Beta
1.31
Dividend Yield
2.0%
Payout Ratio
95.0%
Book Value / Share
$18.44

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingHold(31 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$125.00-56.1%
Mean Target$303.31+6.4% upside
High Target$248.00+-13.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for TXN

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$24.69
-91.3% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$24.69 – $24.69
Average Estimate
$24.69
Potential Downside
-91.3%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

TXN Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Analog semiconductors have superior economics over time — no Moore's Law required, very long product lifetimes (20-30 years), and manufacturing in company-owned fabs with depreciating equipment that eventually runs at very high margins.
  • Automotive and industrial are the fastest-growing end markets, with each EV requiring 2-3x more analog content than an ICE vehicle — a structural content-per-vehicle increase.
  • TI's 300mm fab investments position it for very low manufacturing costs as capacity utilization recovers, generating significant FCF leverage.
  • Dividend growth consistency is exceptional — TI has grown its dividend for 20+ consecutive years, making it a core holding for dividend growth investors.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Industrial and automotive demand has been in a prolonged cyclical downturn (2023-2024) as inventory destocking at customers caused sharp revenue and margin contraction.
  • TI's significant 300mm capacity expansion investments have increased capex, temporarily suppressing free cash flow and pressuring the dividend coverage ratio.
  • Automotive EV transition uncertainty — if EV adoption is slower than expected, the content-per-vehicle upgrade thesis is delayed.
  • Chinese domestic analog semiconductor competitors (Will Semi, 3PEAK) are increasing in quality and may pressure TI's market share in China over time.

What to Watch: TXN Key Metrics

Revenue by end market (industrial/automotive)
Analog revenue growth
Free cash flow per share
300mm factory utilization rate
Dividend growth rate

TXN Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare TXN with Peers

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QCOM vs TXNQualcomm vs Texas Instruments — Wireless Tech vs Analog

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