Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) Stock Analysis 2026

Communication ServicesLive Events & Ticketing
$167.12
as of 2026-09-18
-1.3% (52-week)50D MA $181.13  |  200D MA $159.63

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
61
Moderate
Price CAGR
20.6%
1Y Return
-2.1%
Analyst Upside
+18.7%
Rev Growth
9.4%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$181.29+8.5% potential
Bear Case
$123.73
Bull Case
$253.95
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Live Nation Entertainment Inc.

Live Nation is the world's largest live entertainment company, operating across concert promotions (promoting 40,000+ shows/year), venue ownership (200+ owned/operated venues including House of Blues), and ticketing through Ticketmaster. The company controls a significant portion of the global live music value chain — it promotes concerts, owns venues, and sells tickets, creating a vertically integrated entertainment platform. Live Nation has faced significant antitrust scrutiny over its dominance in live music.

How Live Nation Entertainment Makes Money

Live Nation earns through concert promotions (selling tickets to shows and retaining a portion), Ticketmaster service fees (convenience fees, order processing fees on tickets sold), venue operations (food, beverage, merchandise at owned venues), and artist services (management, merchandise, fan clubs). Concert and event activity follows a seasonal pattern, with peak activity in summer. Revenue scales with concert attendance and ticket pricing trends.

Live Nation Entertainment Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Live Nation Entertainment's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$26.27B
Cost of Revenue
-$19.50B
Gross Profit
$6.77B25.8% margin
Operating Expenses
-$5.01B
Operating Income
$1.76B6.7% margin
Tax & Other
-$1.62B
Net Income
$134.8M0.5% margin
Gross Margin
25.8%
Operating Margin
6.7%
Net Margin
0.5%
EBITDA Margin
8.7%

Key Financial Metrics

Live Nation Entertainment Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 117.49x, generates $1.70B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 620.21, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 17.7% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$42.32B
Enterprise Value
$36.55B
P/E (Trailing)
117.49
P/E (Forward)
96.21
PEG Ratio
17.90
EV / EBITDA
18.57
Price / Sales
1.47
Price / Book
310.00
Revenue
$26.27B
Revenue Growth
9.4%
Earnings Growth
156.2%
EBITDA
$1.97B
Gross Margin
25.8%
Operating Margin
6.7%
Net Margin
0.5%
Return on Equity
17.7%
Return on Assets
2.1%
Free Cash Flow
$1.70B
Total Cash
$7.16B
Total Debt
$8.29B
Debt / Equity
620.21
Current Ratio
0.85
Quick Ratio
0.68
Beta
1.12
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
32.4%
Inst. Ownership
85.6%
Short % Float
15.6%
Book Value / Share
$0.36

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

22 analysts covering Live Nation Entertainment Inc. currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $201.96 (+20.8% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(22 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$125.00-25.2%
Mean Target$201.96+20.8% upside
High Target$185.00+10.7%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for LYV

We use 1 valuation model to estimate LYV's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

DCF Model (10yr)
$153.58
-8.1% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$153.58 – $153.58
Average Estimate
$153.58
Potential Downside
-8.1%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

LYV is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $181.13 and above its 200-day average of $159.63. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$167.12
50-Day MA
$181.13
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$159.63
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

LYV Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

LYV's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Live music is experiencing a post-COVID supercycle — concert demand has been extraordinary as artists tour globally and fans prioritize experiences over goods.
  • Ticketmaster's dominant market position is defensible — venues and artists are locked into multi-year Ticketmaster contracts that are extremely difficult to displace.
  • Taylor Swift, Beyoncé, and major artists' tours have demonstrated that demand for top concerts is nearly price-inelastic — tickets routinely sell for $500-$2,000+ on secondary markets.
  • International expansion (particularly Asia-Pacific) offers significant growth runway as live music infrastructure develops in underpenetrated markets.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • DOJ antitrust investigation into Live Nation/Ticketmaster's vertical integration is an ongoing existential risk — a breakup or significant operational restrictions could materially harm the business.
  • Concert ticket pricing controversy has created consumer backlash — dynamic pricing, service fees, and opaque pricing practices are drawing regulatory attention across multiple markets.
  • Live music is discretionary spending — a consumer recession could cause fans to reduce concert attendance, particularly at the high-ticket price points of recent major tours.
  • Cybersecurity incident (2024 Ticketmaster data breach) caused significant reputational damage and required costly remediation.

What to Watch: LYV Key Metrics

Concert attendance and shows count
Ticketmaster GTV (gross transaction value)
Fan yield (revenue per fan)
AOI (operating income)
DOJ antitrust case developments

LYV Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare LYV with Peers

NFLX vs LYVNetflix vs Live Nation — Streaming Content Leader vs Li
LYV vs MSGELive Nation Entertainment vs Madison Square Garden Ente

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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