National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) Stock Analysis 2026

HealthcareMedical Care Facilities

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
38
Weak
Price CAGR
13.6%
1Y Return
+95.2%
Rev Growth
8.8%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

NHC Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how NHC's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$1.56B
Cost of Revenue
-$943.4M
Gross Profit
$615.6M39.5% margin
Operating Expenses
-$428.7M
Operating Income
$187.0M12.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$46.7M
Net Income
$140.3M9.0% margin
Gross Margin
39.5%
Operating Margin
12.0%
Net Margin
9.0%

Key Financial Metrics

National HealthCare Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 24.64x, generates $63.2M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 2.78, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 13.3% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$3.40B
P/E (Trailing)
24.64
P/E (Forward)
505.44
PEG Ratio
0.82
Price / Book
3.03
Revenue
$1.56B
Revenue Growth
8.8%
Earnings Growth
67.1%
EPS (Trailing)
$8.82
EPS (Forward)
$0.43
Gross Margin
39.5%
Operating Margin
12.0%
Net Margin
9.0%
Return on Equity
13.3%
Return on Assets
5.8%
Free Cash Flow
$63.2M
Debt / Equity
2.78
Current Ratio
1.86
Quick Ratio
1.47
Beta
0.64
Dividend Yield
1.2%
Payout Ratio
29.1%
Insider Ownership
18.9%
Inst. Ownership
66.9%
Short % Float
6.0%
Book Value / Share
$71.66

Intrinsic Value Estimates for NHC

We use 3 valuation models to estimate NHC's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$119.25
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$132.30
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$6.45
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$6.45 – $132.30
Average Estimate
$86.00

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

NHC is currently in a mixed technical position. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

50-Day MA
$219.67
200-Day MA
$174.86

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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