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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Stock Analysis

TechnologyConsumer Electronics & Software
$297.01as of 2026-06-22

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
62
Moderate
Price CAGR
29.8%
1Y Return
+48.3%
Analyst Upside
+5.5%
Rev Growth
16.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$343.29+15.6% potential
Bear Case
$214.43
Bull Case
$457.55
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

About Apple Inc.

Apple designs, manufactures, and sells smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories. The company also operates a fast-growing services segment including the App Store, Apple Music, iCloud, Apple TV+, and Apple Pay. With over 2 billion active devices worldwide, Apple's installed base is the foundation of a recurring-revenue ecosystem that generates increasingly high-margin services income.

How Apple Makes Money

Apple earns revenue from hardware sales (iPhone ~50% of revenue, Mac, iPad, Wearables) and a services segment (~25% of revenue) that includes App Store commissions, subscriptions, licensing, and AppleCare. The services business carries gross margins above 70%, compared to ~35% for hardware, making the mix shift toward services a key margin driver.

Apple Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Apple's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$451.44B
Cost of Revenue
-$235.37B
Gross Profit
$216.07B47.9% margin
Operating Expenses
-$70.37B
Operating Income
$145.70B32.3% margin
Tax & Other
-$23.13B
Net Income
$122.58B27.2% margin
Gross Margin
47.9%
Operating Margin
32.3%
Net Margin
27.2%
EBITDA Margin
35.4%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$4.38T
Enterprise Value
$4.60T
P/E (Trailing)
36.12
P/E (Forward)
31.04
PEG Ratio
2.72
EV / EBITDA
28.75
Price / Sales
11.01
Price / Book
42.98
Revenue
$451.44B
Revenue Growth
16.6%
Earnings Growth
21.8%
EBITDA
$159.98B
EPS (Trailing)
$8.27
EPS (Forward)
$9.61
Gross Margin
47.9%
Operating Margin
32.3%
Net Margin
27.2%
Return on Equity
141.5%
Return on Assets
26.2%
Free Cash Flow
$101.09B
Total Cash
$68.51B
Total Debt
$84.71B
Debt / Equity
79.55
Current Ratio
1.07
Quick Ratio
0.91
Beta
1.09
Dividend Yield
0.4%
Payout Ratio
12.6%
Insider Ownership
1.6%
Inst. Ownership
65.8%
Short % Float
0.9%
Book Value / Share
$7.26

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingBuy(43 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$215.00-27.6%
Mean Target$314.42+5.9% upside
High Target$400.00+34.7%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for AAPL

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

Graham Number
$36.75
-87.6% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
DCF Model (10yr)
$144.54
-51.3% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$124.05
-58.2% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$144.12
-51.5% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$36.75 – $144.54
Average Estimate
$112.37
Potential Downside
-62.2%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

AAPL Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Services revenue growing at double digits with 70%+ gross margins, lifting overall profitability as mix shifts away from hardware.
  • Massive installed base of 2B+ active devices creates a durable ecosystem moat — switching costs keep users locked in across iPhone, Mac, Watch, and AirPods.
  • Apple Intelligence and on-device AI position the company for the next computing platform shift without the cloud cost burden competitors face.
  • Capital return program is the largest in corporate history — $100B+ annually in buybacks and dividends, providing a floor for the stock.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • iPhone revenue is mature and cyclical — meaningful unit growth requires emerging markets where ASPs are lower.
  • Regulatory risk from antitrust actions targeting App Store commissions (30% take rate) in the US, EU, and Asia could erode a key profit center.
  • China exposure (~18% of revenue) faces geopolitical risk and growing domestic competition from Huawei.
  • Valuation premium (30x+ forward P/E) leaves little room for disappointment — any miss on services growth could trigger a re-rating.

What to Watch: AAPL Key Metrics

iPhone revenue growth
Services revenue & margins
Installed base growth
Greater China revenue
Share buyback pace

AAPL Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare AAPL with Peers

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