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The Boeing Company (BA) Stock Analysis 2026

Aerospace & DefenseCommercial Aircraft, Defense & Space
$237.16as of 2026-08-04

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
41
Neutral
Price CAGR
6.1%
1Y Return
-2.6%
Analyst Upside
+25.2%
Rev Growth
8.0%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$219.91-7.3% potential
Bear Case
$156.42
Bull Case
$309.43
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About The Boeing Company

Boeing is one of the world's two major commercial aircraft manufacturers (alongside Airbus) and a leading defense, space, and security contractor. The company produces the 737 MAX, 787 Dreamliner, and 777X commercial aircraft, along with military platforms including the F/A-18, KC-46 tanker, and Apache helicopter. Boeing has faced significant challenges since the 737 MAX crashes in 2018-2019, including production quality issues, labor strikes, and a strained balance sheet with $50B+ in net debt.

How The Makes Money

Boeing earns from three segments: Commercial Airplanes (~55% of revenue — selling commercial jets at $50-350M each), Defense, Space & Security (~35% — military aircraft, satellites, weapons systems), and Global Services (~15% — aftermarket parts, maintenance, and training). Commercial aircraft revenue is lumpy and depends on production rates and delivery milestones. The backlog of 5,000+ aircraft provides multi-year revenue visibility.

The Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how The's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$93.99B
Cost of Revenue
-$89.57B
Gross Profit
$4.43B4.7% margin
Operating Expenses
-$4.42B
Operating Income
$3.8M0.0% margin
Net Income
$2.44B2.6% margin
Gross Margin
4.7%
Operating Margin
0.0%
Net Margin
2.6%
EBITDA Margin
-11.1%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$170.83B
Enterprise Value
$191.18B
P/E (Trailing)
77.47
P/E (Forward)
52.21
EV / EBITDA
-24.87
Price / Sales
2.29
Revenue
$93.99B
Revenue Growth
8.0%
EBITDA
$-7.69B
Gross Margin
4.7%
Operating Margin
0.0%
Net Margin
2.6%
Return on Equity
173.5%
Return on Assets
-2.0%
Free Cash Flow
$5.63B
Total Cash
$23.65B
Total Debt
$55.88B
Debt / Equity
790.88
Current Ratio
1.14
Quick Ratio
0.30
Beta
1.21
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Book Value / Share
$7.72

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingBuy(27 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$140.00-41.0%
Mean Target$270.65+14.1% upside
High Target$260.00+9.6%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for BA

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$156.67
-33.9% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$156.67 – $156.67
Average Estimate
$156.67
Potential Downside
-33.9%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

BA Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • 5,000+ aircraft backlog represents $400B+ in future revenue — airlines need new planes, and Boeing/Airbus are the only options for large commercial aircraft.
  • Production recovery (737 MAX ramp to 38+/month, 787 deliveries accelerating) should drive massive cash flow improvement from current depressed levels.
  • Defense segment provides stable, government-funded revenue that partially offsets commercial aircraft volatility.
  • Duopoly with Airbus creates permanent pricing power — there is no viable third entrant in large commercial aircraft manufacturing.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Quality and safety concerns persist — FAA scrutiny, production rate caps, and cultural issues require years of rebuilding trust and processes.
  • $50B+ in net debt constrains financial flexibility and means much of future cash flow goes to deleveraging rather than shareholder returns.
  • 737 MAX production ramp is repeatedly delayed by supply chain constraints and regulatory requirements — execution risk is real.
  • Defense program losses (fixed-price contracts on T-7A, MQ-25, VC-25B) continue to burn cash with no near-term resolution.

What to Watch: BA Key Metrics

737 MAX delivery rate
Free cash flow (currently negative)
Net debt reduction
Commercial backlog
Defense program margins

BA Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare BA with Peers

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BA vs ERJBoeing vs Embraer — Which Commercial Aviation Stock Win
NOC vs BANorthrop Grumman vs Boeing — Pure Defense vs Commercial

BA — Related Investment Themes

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