SPCX vs BA: SpaceX vs Boeing Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
SpaceX represents the new space economy — fast-iterating, vertically integrated, and technology-first. Boeing represents legacy aerospace — massive scale, duopoly position in commercial aviation, and deep defense contracts. SpaceX has momentum, innovation speed, and Starlink recurring revenue; Boeing has the commercial aircraft duopoly and defense portfolio but faces quality challenges and balance sheet repair.
Use this SPCX vs BA comparison to evaluate old aerospace vs new space. SpaceX offers disruptive space platform growth at a premium valuation; Boeing offers legacy aerospace duopoly value with a turnaround thesis at a more moderate valuation.
BA holds the edge across 2 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. On fundamentals, SPCX is growing revenue faster (91.90%), while BA maintains the higher operating margin (0.00%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for SPCX (+58.00%) than for BA (+30.60%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to the fastest-growing and most innovative aerospace company in the world
- Believe Starlink's broadband recurring revenue and launch dominance justify a premium valuation
- Value SpaceX's rapid innovation cycle as a structural advantage over legacy aerospace incumbents
- Are comfortable with post-IPO valuation risk for a category-defining space platform
- Believe Boeing's commercial aviation duopoly will eventually restore margins and cash flow as production ramps
- Want defense and government revenue exposure alongside commercial aerospace recovery
- See Boeing as a turnaround opportunity at a lower valuation than its historical average
- Prefer an established aerospace company with a massive aircraft backlog providing revenue visibility
| Metric | SPCX | BA |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | N/A | 41.4 |
| AI ranki | N/A | #950 |
| Latest closei | $148.68 | $198.07 |
| 1M returni | +6.48% | -6.61% |
| 6M returni | N/A | +3.96% |
| 1Y returni | N/A | -7.92% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SPCX | BA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.24K (-7.6%) started 2026-06-12 | $9.28K (-7.2%) started 2025-09-25 |
| 5Y ago | $9.24K (-7.6%) started 2026-06-12 | $8.84K (-11.6%) started 2021-09-27 |
| 10Y ago | $9.24K (-7.6%) started 2026-06-12 | $17.99K (+79.9%) started 2016-09-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SPCX | BA |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.85T | $166.33B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 75.70 |
| Forward P/Ei | 87.68 | 51.45 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 2.29 |
| EV/Revenuei | 160.10 | 2.08 |
| Analyst targeti | $222.32 | $274.85 |
| Target upsidei | +58.00% | +30.60% |
| Metric | SPCX | BA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 91.90% | 8.00% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growthi | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margini | N/A | +5.98% |
| Operating margini | -1.80% | 0.00% |
| Profit margini | -35.66% | 2.59% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 173.54% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 173.54% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | N/A | 1.21 |
| Debt/equityi | 31.21 | 790.88 |
| Current ratioi | 5.12 | 1.14 |
| Quick ratioi | 4.95 | 0.30 |
Over the past year, SPCX and BA have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.19), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SPCX | BA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -7.62% | -7.24% |
| CAGRi | -24.11% | -7.25% | |
| Volatilityi | 87.36% | 33.73% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | -0.19 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.10 | -0.29 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 24.96% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.67% | 21.45% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.76% | 10.65% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.35% | 12.24% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 6.32% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 11.32% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -7.62% | -11.64% |
| CAGRi | -24.11% | -2.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 87.36% | 36.66% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | -0.01 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.10 | -0.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 50.29% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.67% | 25.05% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.76% | 22.11% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.35% | 25.19% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 10.47% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 21.19% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -7.62% | +64.87% |
| CAGRi | -24.11% | +5.13% | |
| Volatilityi | 87.36% | 41.83% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | 0.22 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.10 | 0.32 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 77.92% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.67% | 53.97% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.76% | 38.54% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.35% | 45.09% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 23.85% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 46.26% |
| Category | SPCX | BA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SpaceX | The Boeing Company |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Core business | Vertically integrated space company operating reusable Falcon 9 and Starship launch vehicles, Starlink satellite broadband constellation, and Starshield government services. | Global aerospace and defense company manufacturing commercial aircraft (737, 787), defense systems (F-15, KC-46, satellites), and space systems (SLS, Starliner, ISS modules). |
| Investor focus | Starlink subscriber growth, Starship development milestones, government launch contracts, and profitability across the combined launch + connectivity business. | 737 MAX production ramp, quality and safety improvements, defense contract execution, free cash flow recovery, and balance sheet deleveraging. |
- Dominant global launch market share with the lowest cost-per-kilogram to orbit via reusable Falcon 9 rockets
- Starlink satellite broadband with millions of subscribers and growing enterprise/government revenue
- Innovation velocity — SpaceX iterates and tests faster than any aerospace company in history
- Duopoly position with Airbus in commercial aviation — massive backlog of aircraft orders provides years of production revenue visibility
- Defense and space portfolio provides government revenue stability and diversification beyond commercial aircraft cycles
- Massive installed base of commercial aircraft generates long-term aftermarket services and parts revenue
- Post-IPO valuation at $1.77 trillion prices in decades of execution
- Starship development risk — timeline delays and test failures could weigh on sentiment
- Key-person risk tied to Elon Musk's leadership across multiple companies
- Quality and safety concerns have damaged Boeing's reputation and slowed 737 MAX production ramp
- Significant debt burden from years of negative cash flow — balance sheet repair is a multi-year process
- Space programs (SLS, Starliner) have experienced significant cost overruns and schedule delays
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