BA vs ERJ Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Boeing and Embraer both manufacture commercial aircraft, but Boeing competes at the large end of the market in a duopoly with Airbus, while Embraer holds a leading position in the smaller regional jet segment, alongside executive jets and defense aircraft, giving it a more focused, less directly competitive niche.
Boeing offers leveraged upside if its production and quality recovery continues, competing in the large-aircraft duopoly with Airbus, while Embraer offers more focused exposure to the regional jet and executive aviation markets with generally less production disruption risk but smaller overall scale. Consider whether you prefer Boeing's recovery-dependent, large-scale duopoly exposure or Embraer's more focused regional aviation niche.
BA and ERJ are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Believe Boeing's production rate and quality recovery will continue and unlock pent-up delivery backlog
- Want leveraged upside from a commercial aircraft duopoly (with Airbus) as global travel demand grows
- Are comfortable with higher balance-sheet leverage and execution risk during the recovery period
- See the large order backlog and diversified defense business as underlying long-term value
- Want focused exposure to the regional jet and executive aviation markets outside the Boeing-Airbus duopoly
- Prefer a smaller, more focused aircraft manufacturer that has generally avoided large-scale production issues
- Are comfortable with currency exposure as a Brazil-based international manufacturer
- Value diversification across regional, executive, and defense aircraft segments
| Metric | BA | ERJ |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 42.0 | N/A |
| AI ranki | #975 | N/A |
| Latest closei | $209.69 | N/A |
| 1M returni | -9.49% | N/A |
| 6M returni | -0.54% | N/A |
| 1Y returni | -2.81% | N/A |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | BA | ERJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.75K (-2.5%) started 2025-09-16 | N/A |
| 5Y ago | $9.83K (-1.7%) started 2021-09-17 | N/A |
| 10Y ago | $19.5K (+95.0%) started 2016-09-19 | N/A |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | BA | ERJ |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $166.33B | N/A |
| Trailing P/Ei | 75.70 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 51.45 | N/A |
| Price/Salesi | 2.29 | 1.67 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.08 | N/A |
| Analyst targeti | $274.85 | N/A |
| Target upsidei | +30.60% | N/A |
| Metric | BA | ERJ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 8.00% | N/A |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growthi | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margini | +5.98% | N/A |
| Operating margini | 0.00% | N/A |
| Profit margini | 2.59% | N/A |
| ROIC proxyi | 173.54% | N/A |
| Return on equityi | 173.54% | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | N/A |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 1.21 | 0.70 |
| Debt/equityi | 790.88 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 1.14 | N/A |
| Quick ratioi | 0.30 | N/A |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | BA | ERJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -2.48% | N/A |
| CAGRi | -2.48% | N/A | |
| Volatilityi | 33.41% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.04 | N/A | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.07 | N/A | |
| Max drawdowni | 24.96% | N/A | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.84% | N/A | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.06% | N/A | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.69% | N/A | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.32% | N/A | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.32% | N/A | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -1.72% | N/A |
| CAGRi | -0.35% | N/A | |
| Volatilityi | 36.66% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.05 | N/A | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.07 | N/A | |
| Max drawdowni | 50.29% | N/A | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.65% | N/A | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.99% | N/A | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.13% | N/A | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.47% | N/A | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.19% | N/A | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +78.78% | N/A |
| CAGRi | +5.99% | N/A | |
| Volatilityi | 41.82% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.24 | N/A | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.35 | N/A | |
| Max drawdowni | 77.92% | N/A | |
| Current drawdowni | 51.27% | N/A | |
| Avg drawdowni | 38.42% | N/A | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 45.01% | N/A | |
| Max daily dropi | 23.85% | N/A | |
| Max wkly dropi | 46.26% | N/A |
| Category | BA | ERJ |
|---|---|---|
| Company | The Boeing Company | Embraer S.A. |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | N/A |
| Core business | Manufactures commercial airplanes (737, 787, 777 families), defense and space systems, and provides related services, working to recover production rates and quality following prior safety and manufacturing issues. | Designs and manufactures regional and narrow-body commercial jets, executive jets, and defense aircraft, holding a leading position in the smaller regional aircraft segment outside the Boeing-Airbus duopoly. |
| Investor focus | 737 MAX and 787 production rate recovery, regulatory oversight status, free cash flow generation, and defense program execution. | Regional and executive jet delivery growth, defense program contracts, margin improvement, and order backlog conversion. |
- Duopoly position with Airbus in large commercial aircraft manufacturing, with a multi-year order backlog
- Improving production quality and rate discipline following heightened regulatory scrutiny
- Large, diversified defense and space business alongside commercial aircraft
- Leading position in the regional jet segment, a market largely outside direct Boeing-Airbus competition
- Growing executive jet business provides diversification beyond commercial and defense aviation
- Smaller, more focused operations have generally avoided the scale of production issues that have affected Boeing
- History of production quality and safety issues that led to increased regulatory oversight and rate caps
- High leverage and cash flow pressure from years of production disruptions and delivery delays
- Execution risk in ramping production rates back up while maintaining quality standards
- Smaller overall scale than Boeing, limiting its ability to compete in the large widebody and narrow-body segments
- Currency exposure as a Brazil-based manufacturer with significant international sales denominated in other currencies
- Regional jet demand is more cyclical and sensitive to regional airline capital spending than mainline aircraft demand
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