brimindinvest.com / compare / cat-vs-cnhiLIVE
CAT
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$985.82
+14.61% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
CNHI
CNH Industrial N.V. · Industrials
N/A
N/A this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
CAT
0
CNHI
0
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
CAT 73.0
CNHI N/A
1Y Return
CAT +175.62%
CNHI N/A
Fwd P/E
CAT 30.25
CNHI N/A
Target Up.
CAT +3.68%
CNHI N/A
Op. Margin
CAT 18.18%
CNHI N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

CAT vs CNHI Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

Caterpillar and CNH Industrial are both major heavy equipment manufacturers, but in partially overlapping markets. Caterpillar dominates mining and construction equipment. CNH focuses primarily on agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) with secondary construction equipment (Case Construction) businesses. Both are highly cyclical — construction and farm equipment demand follow economic and commodity cycles.

CAT vs CNHI is the world's largest construction and mining equipment manufacturer with an unmatched dealer network (Caterpillar) versus the agricultural equipment duopolist with Case IH and New Holland competing with Deere in global farm machinery and precision agriculture (CNH Industrial) — construction/mining equipment scale vs agricultural equipment focus.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

CAT and CNHI are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.

Normalized 1Y performance
CAT
CNHI
Not enough data to chart yet.
Recent returns
CAT
CNHI
Analyst price targets & sentiment
CAT · 25 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (2.1/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$283.00
analyst mean$944.10
current price$985.82
+3.7% upside to analyst mean
CNHI
Price target data unavailable
N/A
Who should consider this stock?
CAT may suit investors who:
  • prefer the world's largest construction equipment manufacturer with unmatched dealer network creating service infrastructure advantages that persist through economic cycles
  • value Caterpillar's mining equipment exposure to critical minerals demand driven by EV battery metal extraction (copper, lithium, cobalt) as an energy transition secular theme
  • want blue-chip industrial dividend with 30+ consecutive dividend increases — Caterpillar has been a reliable dividend grower
  • are comfortable with construction equipment cyclicality, China market weakness from property sector downturn, and emerging market competition from lower-cost Chinese manufacturers
CNHI may suit investors who:
  • prefer agricultural equipment exposure as the primary alternative to John Deere globally through Case IH and New Holland brand dealer networks
  • value CNH's precision agriculture technology investments as a digital farming subscription revenue opportunity alongside equipment sales
  • want European industrial holding with Iveco spinoff simplifying CNH into a cleaner agricultural + construction equipment focus
  • are comfortable with agricultural income cyclicality, John Deere precision agriculture competitive pressure, and weaker construction equipment competitive position vs Caterpillar
Performance & AI score
MetricCATCNHI
AI score73.0N/A
AI rank#30N/A
Latest close$985.82N/A
1M return+14.61%N/A
6M return+75.45%N/A
1Y return+175.62%N/A
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodCATCNHI
1Y ago$27.4K (+174.0%)
started 2025-06-18
N/A
5Y ago$54.29K (+442.9%)
started 2021-06-21
N/A
10Y ago$203.59K (+1935.9%)
started 2016-06-20
N/A

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricCATCNHI
Market cap$419.4BN/A
Trailing P/E45.26N/A
Forward P/E30.25N/A
Price/Sales2.630.58
EV/Revenue6.49N/A
Analyst target$944.10N/A
Target upside+3.68%N/A
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricCATCNHI
Revenue growth22.20%N/A
Earnings growth30.20%N/A
EPS growth+30.20%N/A
FCF margin+5.34%N/A
Operating margin18.18%N/A
Profit margin13.33%N/A
ROIC proxy51.33%N/A
Return on equity51.33%N/A
Dividend yield0.72%N/A
Beta1.601.15
Debt/equity230.79N/A
Current ratio1.35N/A
Quick ratio0.73N/A
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
CAT max drawdown13.88%
CNHI max drawdownN/A
CAT max wkly drop9.56%
CNHI max wkly dropN/A
5Y risk snapshot
CAT max drawdown34.05%
CNHI max drawdownN/A
CAT max wkly drop17.13%
CNHI max wkly dropN/A
10Y risk snapshot
CAT max drawdown43.36%
CNHI max drawdownN/A
CAT max wkly drop24.36%
CNHI max wkly dropN/A
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricCATCNHI
1YGrowth+173.99%N/A
CAGR+174.39%N/A
Sharpe ratio2.92N/A
Max drawdown13.88%N/A
Max daily drop6.40%N/A
Max wkly drop9.56%N/A
5YGrowth+400.25%N/A
CAGR+38.06%N/A
Sharpe ratio1.06N/A
Max drawdown34.05%N/A
Max daily drop8.64%N/A
Max wkly drop17.13%N/A
10YGrowth+1501.37%N/A
CAGR+31.98%N/A
Sharpe ratio0.91N/A
Max drawdown43.36%N/A
Max daily drop14.28%N/A
Max wkly drop24.36%N/A
Business comparison
CategoryCATCNHI
CompanyCaterpillar Inc.CNH Industrial N.V.
SectorIndustrialsIndustrials
IndustryFarm & Heavy Construction MachineryN/A
Core businessCaterpillar is the world's largest manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, power systems, and locomotives. Key product categories include excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, articulated trucks, and mining trucks used in construction, infrastructure, and resource extraction globally. Caterpillar's dealer network of 3,800+ locations in 190 countries provides exceptional service infrastructure. Cat Financial (equipment financing and insurance) enhances dealer channel and customer loyalty. Infrastructure spending globally (roads, bridges, data centers) is Caterpillar's primary demand driver.CNH Industrial manufactures agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland brands), construction equipment (Case Construction Equipment), and commercial vehicles (Iveco trucks, FPT Industrial engines). CNH's agricultural equipment segment is its largest and most profitable — farm machinery including tractors, combines, and precision agriculture technology. CNH is competing with Deere in the precision agriculture software market with AFS Connect and PLM Intelligence platforms. CNH spun off Iveco Group in 2022 to focus on agricultural and construction equipment.
Investor focusInvestors track revenue by segment (Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation), construction machinery dealer inventory levels (high inventory = near-term pricing pressure), and services revenue growth (parts, maintenance) which is more recurring than equipment sales.Investors track agricultural equipment demand cycles, precision agriculture technology adoption, North America and European farm income (the demand driver for new equipment), and construction equipment recovery.
CAT strengths
  • World's largest construction equipment dealer network — 3,800+ authorized dealers create unmatched service infrastructure that competitors cannot replicate even with better products
  • Services and parts revenue (recurring, high-margin) growing as a percentage of total — more predictable than equipment sales through economic cycles
  • Mining equipment demand driven by energy transition critical minerals (copper, lithium, cobalt) — electric vehicle demand is creating new mine openings and Caterpillar equipment purchases
CNHI strengths
  • Agricultural equipment duopoly with Deere — CNH's Case IH and New Holland brands are the primary alternatives to John Deere globally with strong dealer networks in the Americas, Europe, and Australia
  • Precision agriculture technology (AFS Connect, PLM Intelligence) provides software-driven loyalty and recurring subscription revenue as farmers invest in data-driven farming optimization
  • Iveco spinoff created a cleaner agricultural + construction equipment pure-play — CNH's simplified structure allows management focus on its core businesses
Risks to watch — CAT
  • Construction equipment demand is highly cyclical — economic slowdowns reduce construction starts and equipment purchases significantly
  • China construction market weakness — Chinese property sector downturn has reduced heavy equipment demand in the world's largest construction market
  • Deere and Komatsu are formidable global competitors; Chinese manufacturers (XCMG, Sany) are gaining share in emerging markets on lower price
Risks to watch — CNHI
  • Agricultural equipment demand is highly cyclical — North American farm income determines equipment purchase decisions, and current farm income is declining from COVID-era highs
  • John Deere's stronger precision agriculture platform (Operations Center) and brand recognition create competitive pressure in technology-driven farm equipment adoption
  • CNH's construction equipment segment is smaller and less competitive than Caterpillar — the construction segment is not a meaningful competitive moat for CNH
Frequently asked questions
Caterpillar has been the superior quality investment — its construction and mining equipment scale, dealer network, and services revenue create more durable compounding than CNH's agricultural focus. CNH is excellent in agricultural equipment but is more dependent on farm income cycles. For the highest-quality industrial equipment compounding, Caterpillar; for agricultural equipment cycle exposure with precision farming optionality, CNH.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
CAT
+2.8%BUY
CNHI
+1.1%HOLD

Sign up to unlock AI price predictions

ML model trained on historical prices · 14-day free trial · No credit card required
Free public comparison

Want deeper AI forecasts?

This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.

Related comparisons
More comparisons
Browse all 1,000 comparisons →