CAT vs CNHI Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Caterpillar and CNH Industrial are both major heavy equipment manufacturers, but in partially overlapping markets. Caterpillar dominates mining and construction equipment. CNH focuses primarily on agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) with secondary construction equipment (Case Construction) businesses. Both are highly cyclical — construction and farm equipment demand follow economic and commodity cycles.
CAT vs CNHI is the world's largest construction and mining equipment manufacturer with an unmatched dealer network (Caterpillar) versus the agricultural equipment duopolist with Case IH and New Holland competing with Deere in global farm machinery and precision agriculture (CNH Industrial) — construction/mining equipment scale vs agricultural equipment focus.
CAT and CNHI are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →prefer the world's largest construction equipment manufacturer with unmatched dealer network creating service infrastructure advantages that persist through economic cycles
- →value Caterpillar's mining equipment exposure to critical minerals demand driven by EV battery metal extraction (copper, lithium, cobalt) as an energy transition secular theme
- →want blue-chip industrial dividend with 30+ consecutive dividend increases — Caterpillar has been a reliable dividend grower
- →are comfortable with construction equipment cyclicality, China market weakness from property sector downturn, and emerging market competition from lower-cost Chinese manufacturers
- →prefer agricultural equipment exposure as the primary alternative to John Deere globally through Case IH and New Holland brand dealer networks
- →value CNH's precision agriculture technology investments as a digital farming subscription revenue opportunity alongside equipment sales
- →want European industrial holding with Iveco spinoff simplifying CNH into a cleaner agricultural + construction equipment focus
- →are comfortable with agricultural income cyclicality, John Deere precision agriculture competitive pressure, and weaker construction equipment competitive position vs Caterpillar
| Metric | CAT | CNHI |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 73.0 | N/A |
| AI rank | #30 | N/A |
| Latest close | $985.82 | N/A |
| 1M return | +14.61% | N/A |
| 6M return | +75.45% | N/A |
| 1Y return | +175.62% | N/A |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CAT | CNHI |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $27.4K (+174.0%) started 2025-06-18 | N/A |
| 5Y ago | $54.29K (+442.9%) started 2021-06-21 | N/A |
| 10Y ago | $203.59K (+1935.9%) started 2016-06-20 | N/A |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CAT | CNHI |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $419.4B | N/A |
| Trailing P/E | 45.26 | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 30.25 | N/A |
| Price/Sales | 2.63 | 0.58 |
| EV/Revenue | 6.49 | N/A |
| Analyst target | $944.10 | N/A |
| Target upside | +3.68% | N/A |
| Metric | CAT | CNHI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 22.20% | N/A |
| Earnings growth | 30.20% | N/A |
| EPS growth | +30.20% | N/A |
| FCF margin | +5.34% | N/A |
| Operating margin | 18.18% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 13.33% | N/A |
| ROIC proxy | 51.33% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 51.33% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.72% | N/A |
| Beta | 1.60 | 1.15 |
| Debt/equity | 230.79 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 1.35 | N/A |
| Quick ratio | 0.73 | N/A |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CAT | CNHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +173.99% | N/A |
| CAGR | +174.39% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 2.92 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 13.88% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 6.40% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 9.56% | N/A | |
| 5Y | Growth | +400.25% | N/A |
| CAGR | +38.06% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.06 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 34.05% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 8.64% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.13% | N/A | |
| 10Y | Growth | +1501.37% | N/A |
| CAGR | +31.98% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.91 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 43.36% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 14.28% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 24.36% | N/A |
| Category | CAT | CNHI |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Caterpillar Inc. | CNH Industrial N.V. |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | N/A |
| Core business | Caterpillar is the world's largest manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, power systems, and locomotives. Key product categories include excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, articulated trucks, and mining trucks used in construction, infrastructure, and resource extraction globally. Caterpillar's dealer network of 3,800+ locations in 190 countries provides exceptional service infrastructure. Cat Financial (equipment financing and insurance) enhances dealer channel and customer loyalty. Infrastructure spending globally (roads, bridges, data centers) is Caterpillar's primary demand driver. | CNH Industrial manufactures agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland brands), construction equipment (Case Construction Equipment), and commercial vehicles (Iveco trucks, FPT Industrial engines). CNH's agricultural equipment segment is its largest and most profitable — farm machinery including tractors, combines, and precision agriculture technology. CNH is competing with Deere in the precision agriculture software market with AFS Connect and PLM Intelligence platforms. CNH spun off Iveco Group in 2022 to focus on agricultural and construction equipment. |
| Investor focus | Investors track revenue by segment (Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation), construction machinery dealer inventory levels (high inventory = near-term pricing pressure), and services revenue growth (parts, maintenance) which is more recurring than equipment sales. | Investors track agricultural equipment demand cycles, precision agriculture technology adoption, North America and European farm income (the demand driver for new equipment), and construction equipment recovery. |
- →World's largest construction equipment dealer network — 3,800+ authorized dealers create unmatched service infrastructure that competitors cannot replicate even with better products
- →Services and parts revenue (recurring, high-margin) growing as a percentage of total — more predictable than equipment sales through economic cycles
- →Mining equipment demand driven by energy transition critical minerals (copper, lithium, cobalt) — electric vehicle demand is creating new mine openings and Caterpillar equipment purchases
- →Agricultural equipment duopoly with Deere — CNH's Case IH and New Holland brands are the primary alternatives to John Deere globally with strong dealer networks in the Americas, Europe, and Australia
- →Precision agriculture technology (AFS Connect, PLM Intelligence) provides software-driven loyalty and recurring subscription revenue as farmers invest in data-driven farming optimization
- →Iveco spinoff created a cleaner agricultural + construction equipment pure-play — CNH's simplified structure allows management focus on its core businesses
- →Construction equipment demand is highly cyclical — economic slowdowns reduce construction starts and equipment purchases significantly
- →China construction market weakness — Chinese property sector downturn has reduced heavy equipment demand in the world's largest construction market
- →Deere and Komatsu are formidable global competitors; Chinese manufacturers (XCMG, Sany) are gaining share in emerging markets on lower price
- →Agricultural equipment demand is highly cyclical — North American farm income determines equipment purchase decisions, and current farm income is declining from COVID-era highs
- →John Deere's stronger precision agriculture platform (Operations Center) and brand recognition create competitive pressure in technology-driven farm equipment adoption
- →CNH's construction equipment segment is smaller and less competitive than Caterpillar — the construction segment is not a meaningful competitive moat for CNH
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.