LMT vs RTX Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Both LMT and RTX are premier U.S. defense contractors with strong government relationships, but Lockheed Martin is more purely focused on defense platforms (F-35, missiles, space), while RTX is more diversified across defense systems and commercial aerospace (Pratt & Whitney engines, Collins avionics).
LMT vs RTX compares the world's largest pure-play defense platform contractor against a highly diversified defense and commercial aerospace systems company, both benefiting from rising global defense spending.
LMT holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. LMT leads on both 1-year return (+30.96%) and forward P/E quality (17.23x vs 26.95x for RTX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. RTX leads on both revenue growth (14.50%) and operating margin (12.70%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +12.25% for LMT and +10.92% for RTX.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want pure defense contractor exposure anchored by the F-35 program and missile defense systems
- Value Lockheed's multi-decade revenue visibility from F-35 sustainment contracts
- Believe rising NATO and allied defense spending will drive sustained Lockheed program demand
- Want diversified defense and commercial aerospace exposure across missiles, jet engines, and avionics
- See recovery potential in Pratt & Whitney's GTF engine remediation and Raytheon's air defense demand
- Value the dual exposure to defense spending and commercial aviation aftermarket recovery
| Metric | LMT | RTX |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 54.7 | 54.0 |
| AI ranki | #466 | #310 |
| Latest closei | $639.00 | $203.82 |
| 1M returni | +26.43% | +10.36% |
| 3M returni | +8.43% | -6.47% |
| 6M returni | +25.56% | +17.90% |
| 1Y returni | +30.96% | +15.13% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | LMT | RTX |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.18K (+31.8%) started 2025-11-04 | $11.61K (+16.1%) started 2025-11-04 |
| 5Y ago | $23.08K (+130.8%) started 2021-11-04 | $27.42K (+174.2%) started 2021-11-04 |
| 10Y ago | $43.49K (+334.9%) started 2016-11-04 | $49.06K (+390.6%) started 2016-11-04 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | LMT | RTX |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $130.13B | $285.33B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 20.79 | 37.34 |
| Forward P/Ei | 17.23 | 26.95 |
| Price/Salesi | 1.57 | 2.27 |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.91 | 3.40 |
| Analyst targeti | $632.95 | $234.82 |
| Target upsidei | +12.25% | +10.92% |
| Metric | LMT | RTX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 10.50% | 14.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 443.80% | 28.70% |
| EPS growthi | +443.80% | +28.70% |
| FCF margini | +7.22% | +10.57% |
| Operating margini | 11.96% | 12.70% |
| Profit margini | 8.16% | 8.28% |
| ROIC proxyi | 89.17% | 12.27% |
| Return on equityi | 89.17% | 12.27% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.45% | 1.38% |
| Payout ratioi | 49.01% | 45.85% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| Debt/equityi | 234.24 | 57.02 |
| Current ratioi | 1.19 | 1.01 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.97 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, LMT and RTX have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.65), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | LMT | RTX |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +31.76% | +16.06% |
| CAGRi | +31.83% | +16.10% | |
| Volatilityi | 30.31% | 25.37% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.93 | 0.55 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.50 | 0.83 | |
| Max drawdowni | 27.35% | 20.06% | |
| Current drawdowni | 5.57% | 9.61% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.65% | 7.69% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 15.73% | 9.98% | |
| Max daily dropi | 4.82% | 4.40% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 13.30% | 11.45% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +109.26% | +151.53% |
| CAGRi | +15.92% | +20.26% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.00% | 24.46% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.55 | 0.70 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.80 | 1.02 | |
| Max drawdowni | 32.26% | 32.84% | |
| Current drawdowni | 5.57% | 9.61% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.39% | 7.34% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 14.29% | 10.11% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.81% | 10.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 13.30% | 12.34% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +238.43% | +291.80% |
| CAGRi | +12.97% | +14.63% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.46% | 28.04% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.44 | 0.47 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.62 | 0.67 | |
| Max drawdowni | 36.67% | 51.98% | |
| Current drawdowni | 5.57% | 9.61% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.28% | 9.53% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.00% | 14.03% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.76% | 14.48% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.06% | 26.15% |
| Category | LMT | RTX |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Lockheed Martin Corporation | RTX Corporation |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Core business | Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense company by revenue, designing, manufacturing, and integrating advanced aerospace, defense, and security systems including the F-35 fighter jet, missile defense, space systems, and rotary wing aircraft. | RTX is a major diversified aerospace and defense company combining Raytheon (missiles, radar, defense electronics) with Pratt & Whitney (commercial and military jet engines) and Collins Aerospace (avionics, aircraft systems), formed from the 2020 UTC/Raytheon merger. |
| Investor focus | Investors track F-35 program delivery rates and sustainment revenue, backlog growth, missile defense systems demand from NATO and allied governments, and free cash flow generation supporting dividends and buybacks. | Investors track Pratt & Whitney's GTF engine recall and remediation costs, Raytheon defense segment missile and air defense demand, Collins Aerospace commercial aviation aftermarket revenue, and overall cash flow recovery toward pre-recall levels. |
- World's largest defense contractor by revenue with unmatched position in fighter jets (F-35), missile defense, and space systems
- F-35 program's multi-decade sustainment tail provides very long-term revenue visibility
- Rising global defense spending from NATO commitments and geopolitical tension drives strong demand for Lockheed's platforms
- Highly diversified across missiles/defense electronics (Raytheon), jet engines (P&W), and aerospace systems (Collins)
- Commercial aerospace recovery through Pratt & Whitney and Collins provides a non-defense growth driver
- Patriot missile and other air defense systems are in strong demand from U.S. allies globally
- F-35 program has faced technical and cost overruns that have required ongoing budget negotiations with the U.S. government
- Concentrated in a few large platforms means any program disruption has outsized impact
- U.S. government budget negotiations and continuing resolutions can delay contract awards
- Pratt & Whitney GTF engine powder metal contamination recall created significant financial liability and customer disruption
- Managing three very different defense and commercial aerospace businesses requires complex coordination
- Commercial aerospace is more cyclically sensitive than pure defense revenues
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