ODFL vs UNP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Old Dominion's premium LTL trucking network against Union Pacific's large-scale western rail freight franchise.
Use this Old Dominion Freight Line vs Union Pacific comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
UNP holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. UNP leads on both 1-year return (+30.60%) and forward P/E quality (21.72x vs 29.91x for ODFL), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. UNP leads on both revenue growth (11.50%) and operating margin (40.98%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ODFL (+16.87%) than for UNP (+7.10%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | ODFL | UNP |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 62.0 | 53.0 |
| AI ranki | #151 | #353 |
| Latest closei | $185.87 | $289.62 |
| 1M returni | -13.73% | -2.00% |
| 6M returni | -11.78% | +11.31% |
| 1Y returni | +25.49% | +30.60% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ODFL | UNP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $12.49K (+24.9%) started 2025-09-04 | $12.98K (+29.8%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $12.71K (+27.1%) started 2021-09-07 | $15.97K (+59.7%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $85.18K (+751.8%) started 2016-09-06 | $44.56K (+345.6%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ODFL | UNP |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $41.31B | $182.62B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 38.20 | 24.87 |
| Forward P/Ei | 29.91 | 21.72 |
| Price/Salesi | 5.91 | 5.51 |
| EV/Revenuei | 7.30 | 8.33 |
| Analyst targeti | $232.14 | $329.25 |
| Target upsidei | +16.87% | +7.10% |
| Metric | ODFL | UNP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 10.40% | 11.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 32.30% | 6.60% |
| EPS growthi | +32.30% | +6.60% |
| FCF margini | +17.33% | +18.58% |
| Operating margini | 28.84% | 40.98% |
| Profit margini | 19.44% | 28.85% |
| ROIC proxyi | 24.82% | 39.70% |
| Return on equityi | 24.82% | 39.70% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.58% | 1.85% |
| Betai | 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Debt/equityi | 0.44 | 150.77 |
| Current ratioi | 1.89 | 0.99 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.71 | 0.76 |
Over the past year, ODFL and UNP have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.46), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ODFL | UNP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +24.90% | +29.84% |
| CAGRi | +24.94% | +29.89% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.86% | 22.41% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.66 | 1.08 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.97 | 1.67 | |
| Max drawdowni | 25.32% | 12.28% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.27% | 6.76% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.51% | 3.64% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.50% | 4.69% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.93% | 4.43% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.35% | 6.73% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +25.09% | +47.23% |
| CAGRi | +4.59% | +8.06% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.91% | 23.07% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | 0.26 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.26 | 0.38 | |
| Max drawdowni | 45.37% | 31.83% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.27% | 6.76% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.61% | 12.33% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.98% | 14.84% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.97% | 6.80% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.13% | 12.20% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +722.90% | +263.66% |
| CAGRi | +23.48% | +13.79% | |
| Volatilityi | 33.32% | 25.38% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.67 | 0.46 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.96 | 0.67 | |
| Max drawdowni | 45.37% | 38.72% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.27% | 6.76% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.20% | 8.53% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 15.39% | 11.62% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.97% | 13.03% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.13% | 18.71% |
| Category | ODFL | UNP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ODFL | UNP |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Trucking | Railroads |
| Core business | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. | Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. |
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