ODFL vs XPO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Old Dominion Freight Line and XPO Logistics by LTL operating ratio, on-time performance, yield management, service quality premium, and whether XPO's restructuring can close the gap with ODFL.
Use this Old Dominion vs XPO comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
XPO holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. XPO leads on both 1-year return (+56.98%) and forward P/E quality (35.17x vs 36.11x for ODFL), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for XPO (+7.32%) than for ODFL (-1.70%).
| Metric | ODFL | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 56.8 | 74.3 |
| AI rank | #261 | #21 |
| Latest close | $232.99 | $213.01 |
| 1M return | +6.37% | +8.22% |
| 6M return | +33.67% | +42.39% |
| 1Y return | +38.86% | +56.98% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ODFL | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.94K (+39.4%) started 2025-07-25 | $15.7K (+57.0%) started 2025-07-24 |
| 5Y ago | $18.62K (+86.2%) started 2021-07-26 | $43.49K (+334.9%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $111.48K (+1014.8%) started 2016-07-25 | $217.63K (+2076.3%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ODFL | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $48.63B | $25.01B |
| Trailing P/E | 48.82 | 73.20 |
| Forward P/E | 36.11 | 35.17 |
| Price/Sales | 5.91 | 3.14 |
| EV/Revenue | 8.87 | 3.49 |
| Analyst target | $229.86 | $228.61 |
| Target upside | -1.70% | +7.32% |
| Metric | ODFL | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | -2.90% | 7.30% |
| Earnings growth | -4.20% | 46.60% |
| EPS growth | -4.20% | +46.60% |
| FCF margin | +15.80% | +3.90% |
| Operating margin | 23.78% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 18.46% | 4.19% |
| ROIC proxy | 23.33% | 19.94% |
| Return on equity | 23.33% | 19.94% |
| Dividend yield | 0.50% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 1.18 | 1.64 |
| Debt/equity | 0.91 | 221.07 |
| Current ratio | 1.56 | 0.99 |
| Quick ratio | 1.44 | 0.83 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ODFL | XPO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +39.44% | +56.98% |
| CAGR | +39.58% | +57.03% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.93 | 1.14 | |
| Max drawdown | 24.42% | 15.63% | |
| Max daily drop | 9.66% | 9.07% | |
| Max wkly drop | 16.35% | 14.11% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +83.09% | +334.89% |
| CAGR | +12.87% | +34.23% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.39 | 0.77 | |
| Max drawdown | 45.37% | 53.17% | |
| Max daily drop | 12.97% | 13.96% | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.13% | 18.64% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +976.99% | +2076.31% |
| CAGR | +26.84% | +36.09% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.75 | 0.79 | |
| Max drawdown | 45.37% | 64.48% | |
| Max daily drop | 12.97% | 26.17% | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.13% | 37.52% |
| Category | ODFL | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ODFL | XPO |
| Sector | Industrials | N/A |
| Industry | Trucking | N/A |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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