TREX vs MAS Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
TREX is a specialized, high-growth composite decking leader with a structural wood-to-composite conversion tailwind, while MAS is a large, diversified home improvement products company with established market-leading brands across plumbing, cabinetry, and other categories. Both are exposed to housing and remodeling cycles.
TREX vs MAS compares a specialized, category-leading composite decking grower against a diversified, large-scale home improvement products portfolio.
MAS holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MAS leads on both 1-year return (-6.75%) and forward P/E quality (14.62x vs 21.68x for TREX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, TREX is growing revenue faster (7.80%), while MAS maintains the higher operating margin (23.64%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for TREX (+25.01%) than for MAS (+18.03%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want focused exposure to the leading composite decking brand and category
- Believe the wood-to-composite conversion trend will drive continued above-market growth
- Are comfortable with higher valuation in exchange for a cleaner, higher-growth story
- Want diversified exposure to home improvement products across multiple categories
- Value Masco's established brands, scale, and track record of shareholder returns
- Prefer a more diversified home products portfolio than a single-category specialist
| Metric | TREX | MAS |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.6 | 38.0 |
| AI ranki | #1138 | #1314 |
| Latest closei | $42.69 | $68.06 |
| 1M returni | -11.60% | -9.55% |
| 6M returni | +16.07% | +13.97% |
| 1Y returni | -21.12% | -6.75% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | TREX | MAS |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $7.89K (-21.1%) started 2025-09-18 | $9.32K (-6.8%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $4.02K (-59.8%) started 2021-09-20 | $13.69K (+36.9%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $30.04K (+200.4%) started 2016-09-19 | $26.8K (+168.0%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | TREX | MAS |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $4.45B | $13.42B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.72 | 15.68 |
| Forward P/Ei | 21.68 | 14.62 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 1.73 |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.90 | 2.18 |
| Analyst targeti | $54.67 | $80.33 |
| Target upsidei | +25.01% | +18.03% |
| Metric | TREX | MAS |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 7.80% | -2.90% |
| Earnings growthi | -15.20% | 24.50% |
| EPS growthi | -15.20% | +24.50% |
| FCF margini | +5.77% | +11.77% |
| Operating margini | 20.62% | 23.64% |
| Profit margini | 14.68% | 11.61% |
| ROIC proxyi | 17.74% | 5862.50% |
| Return on equityi | 17.74% | 5862.50% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.88% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 29.03% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Debt/equityi | 30.03 | 12229.63 |
| Current ratioi | 1.06 | 1.86 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.60 | 1.15 |
Over the past year, TREX and MAS have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.50), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | TREX | MAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -21.12% | -6.75% |
| CAGRi | -21.13% | -6.76% | |
| Volatilityi | 49.47% | 34.98% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.30 | -0.16 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.38 | -0.23 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.33% | 24.70% | |
| Current drawdowni | 21.12% | 17.77% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.93% | 10.24% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.32% | 11.86% | |
| Max daily dropi | 31.06% | 11.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 33.33% | 11.11% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -59.83% | +27.94% |
| CAGRi | -16.69% | +5.06% | |
| Volatilityi | 47.81% | 30.97% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.23 | 0.17 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.31 | 0.25 | |
| Max drawdowni | 78.58% | 37.95% | |
| Current drawdowni | 69.65% | 19.98% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 53.60% | 16.20% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 56.18% | 18.80% | |
| Max daily dropi | 31.06% | 11.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 33.33% | 15.91% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +200.37% | +134.45% |
| CAGRi | +11.63% | +8.90% | |
| Volatilityi | 46.42% | 29.81% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.54 | 0.41 | |
| Max drawdowni | 78.58% | 44.83% | |
| Current drawdowni | 69.65% | 19.98% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.28% | 13.17% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 40.73% | 16.36% | |
| Max daily dropi | 31.06% | 11.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 33.33% | 25.94% |
| Category | TREX | MAS |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Trex Company, Inc. | Masco Corporation |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Building Products & Equipment | Building Products & Equipment |
| Core business | Trex is the leading manufacturer of composite decking and railing products made primarily from recycled materials, providing a premium alternative to wood decking for residential and commercial outdoor living spaces. | Masco is a large diversified manufacturer of home improvement and building products, with leading brands in plumbing (Delta, Hansgrohe), cabinetry (KraftMaid, Merillat), and other home improvement categories. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Trex's revenue growth as it continues taking market share from wood decking, gross margin trends as manufacturing efficiency and recycled material costs fluctuate, and the pace of its international expansion. | Investors track Masco's organic sales growth across its plumbing and decorative products segments, operating margin trends, and capital allocation through dividends, buybacks, and portfolio optimization. |
- Clear category leader in composite decking with strong brand recognition and distribution
- Structural growth driven by ongoing wood-to-composite conversion in the decking market
- Made from recycled materials resonates with sustainability-focused consumers and builders
- Portfolio of strong, established brands with leading market positions in plumbing and cabinetry
- Diversified across multiple home improvement categories reduces single-category risk
- Proven track record of efficient capital allocation and attractive shareholder returns
- Housing and remodeling market sensitivity creates cyclical demand exposure
- Raw material costs for recycled polyethylene can be volatile
- Competition from other composite decking manufacturers and lower-cost alternatives can pressure pricing
- Revenue is sensitive to housing starts, existing home sales, and consumer remodeling spending
- Cabinetry segment faces competitive pricing pressure from lower-cost alternatives
- Plumbing segment is Masco's core strength but remains sensitive to overall housing activity
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