ULTA vs TPR Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Ulta's beauty specialty retail model against Tapestry's Coach and Kate Spade brand portfolio.
Use this Ulta Beauty vs Tapestry comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
TPR holds the edge across 5 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. TPR leads on both 1-year return (+16.96%) and forward P/E quality (14.15x vs 16.15x for ULTA), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. TPR leads on both revenue growth (8.90%) and operating margin (19.82%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for TPR (+33.40%) than for ULTA (+20.60%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | ULTA | TPR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 42.6 | 53.6 |
| AI ranki | #905 | #328 |
| Latest closei | $564.12 | $122.14 |
| 1M returni | +4.57% | -23.26% |
| 6M returni | -13.70% | -18.36% |
| 1Y returni | +6.22% | +16.96% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ULTA | TPR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.65K (+6.5%) started 2025-09-04 | $11.54K (+15.4%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $14.87K (+48.7%) started 2021-09-07 | $37.26K (+272.6%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $22.6K (+126.0%) started 2016-09-06 | $55.77K (+457.7%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ULTA | TPR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $22.13B | $25.02B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 18.83 | 17.26 |
| Forward P/Ei | 16.15 | 14.15 |
| Price/Salesi | 1.83 | 2.38 |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.89 | 3.48 |
| Analyst targeti | $624.08 | $167.40 |
| Target upsidei | +20.60% | +33.40% |
| Metric | ULTA | TPR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 8.90% | 8.90% |
| Earnings growthi | 13.30% | 73.70% |
| EPS growthi | +13.30% | +73.70% |
| FCF margini | +7.06% | +17.49% |
| Operating margini | 12.51% | 19.82% |
| Profit margini | 9.34% | 19.09% |
| ROIC proxyi | 46.12% | 197.13% |
| Return on equityi | 46.12% | 197.13% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.47% |
| Betai | 0.85 | 1.46 |
| Debt/equityi | 95.47 | 571.61 |
| Current ratioi | 1.34 | 1.75 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.20 | 1.01 |
Over the past year, ULTA and TPR have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.27), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ULTA | TPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +6.54% | +15.42% |
| CAGRi | +6.55% | +15.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.70% | 40.95% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.23 | 0.45 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.32 | 0.59 | |
| Max drawdowni | 36.23% | 25.88% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.19% | 25.88% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.37% | 7.45% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.99% | 9.93% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.24% | 16.49% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.23% | 21.70% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +48.71% | +233.32% |
| CAGRi | +8.27% | +27.27% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.71% | 40.85% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.27 | 0.69 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.39 | 1.00 | |
| Max drawdowni | 44.56% | 41.87% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.19% | 25.88% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.23% | 13.12% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 20.40% | 16.76% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.34% | 16.49% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.23% | 21.70% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +125.97% | +317.27% |
| CAGRi | +8.50% | +15.37% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.58% | 44.63% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | 0.45 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.41 | 0.63 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.92% | 78.87% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.19% | 25.88% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 17.73% | 21.57% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.30% | 28.92% | |
| Max daily dropi | 29.55% | 29.27% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 41.90% | 37.71% |
| Category | ULTA | TPR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | ULTA | TPR |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Specialty Retail | Luxury Goods |
| Core business | Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait. | Tapestry, Inc. provides accessories and lifestyle brand products in North America, Greater China, rest of Asia, and internationally. |
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