Data as of:
brimindinvest.com / compare / orly-vs-dpzLIVE
ORLY
ORLY ·
$87.89
-5.94% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
DPZ
DPZ ·
$341.08
-6.96% this month
Comparison scoreboard
ORLY LEADS 4/5
AI Scorei
ORLY 51.3
DPZ 37.7
1Y Returni
ORLY -15.36%
DPZ -26.90%
Fwd P/Ei
ORLY 24.24
DPZ 16.77
Target Up.i
ORLY +21.81%
DPZ +8.65%
Op. Margini
ORLY 20.15%
DPZ 19.08%
Metrics last refreshed: 9/8/2026
Quick take

ORLY vs DPZ Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

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Compare O'Reilly's dual DIY-professional auto parts model against Domino's asset-light pizza franchise strategy.

Use this O'Reilly Automotive vs Domino's Pizza comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.

Live analysis · updated 9/8/2026

ORLY holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. ORLY has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-15.36% vs -26.90%), though DPZ has the better forward P/E setup (16.77x vs 24.24x for ORLY). ORLY leads on both revenue growth (8.10%) and operating margin (20.15%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ORLY (+21.81%) than for DPZ (+8.65%).

Want a full valuation workup? 16-section report — AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, bull/bear case, DCF, and more.
Normalized 1Y performance
ORLY
DPZ
Recent returns
ORLY
DPZ
Analyst price targets & sentiment

Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.

ORLY · 23 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.9/5.0)
Price target range
analyst high$1,600.00
analyst mean$107.80
current price$87.89
+21.8% upside to analyst mean
DPZ
Price target range
analyst mean$380.29
current price$341.08
+8.7% upside to analyst mean
Performance & AI score
Performance & AI score
MetricORLYDPZ
AI scorei51.337.7
AI ranki#443#1416
Latest closei$87.89$341.08
1M returni-5.94%-6.96%
6M returni-6.86%-15.30%
1Y returni-15.36%-26.90%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
PeriodORLYDPZ
1Y ago$8.37K (-16.3%)
started 2025-09-04
$7.37K (-26.3%)
started 2025-09-04
5Y ago$22.7K (+127.0%)
started 2021-09-07
$7.3K (-27.0%)
started 2021-09-07
10Y ago$46.57K (+365.7%)
started 2016-09-06
$27.47K (+174.7%)
started 2016-09-06

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
Valuation & upside potential
MetricORLYDPZ
Market capi$71.59B$11.58B
Trailing P/Ei28.1019.84
Forward P/Ei24.2416.77
Price/Salesi4.65N/A
EV/Revenuei4.363.29
Analyst targeti$107.80$380.29
Target upsidei+21.81%+8.65%
Growth, profitability & risk
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricORLYDPZ
Revenue growthi8.10%4.30%
Earnings growthi10.30%6.80%
EPS growthi+10.30%+6.80%
FCF margini+8.46%+10.57%
Operating margini20.15%19.08%
Profit margini14.27%11.86%
ROIC proxyiN/AN/A
Return on equityiN/AN/A
Dividend yieldiN/A2.27%
Betai0.520.95
Debt/equityiN/AN/A
Current ratioi0.751.54
Quick ratioi0.090.80
Correlation

Over the past year, ORLY and DPZ have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.38), based on daily returns.

1Y
0.38
-1.0+1.0
5Y
0.31
-1.0+1.0
10Y
0.27
-1.0+1.0
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
ORLY max drawdowni23.27%
DPZ max drawdowni39.28%
ORLY max wkly dropi8.17%
DPZ max wkly dropi10.58%
5Y risk snapshot
ORLY max drawdowni23.27%
DPZ max drawdowni47.81%
ORLY max wkly dropi15.51%
DPZ max wkly dropi17.76%
10Y risk snapshot
ORLY max drawdowni42.00%
DPZ max drawdowni47.81%
ORLY max wkly dropi25.55%
DPZ max wkly dropi17.76%
Performance metrics by period
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricORLYDPZ
1YGrowthi-16.33%-26.27%
CAGRi-16.35%-26.30%
Volatilityi25.58%29.83%
Sharpe ratioi-0.74-1.02
Sortino ratioi-1.04-1.41
Max drawdowni23.27%39.28%
Current drawdowni18.48%26.82%
Avg drawdowni12.68%19.13%
Ulcer Indexi13.68%21.45%
Max daily dropi6.66%8.84%
Max wkly dropi8.17%10.58%
5YGrowthi+127.04%-30.46%
CAGRi+17.85%-7.02%
Volatilityi23.36%29.92%
Sharpe ratioi0.63-0.24
Sortino ratioi0.89-0.34
Max drawdowni23.27%47.81%
Current drawdowni18.48%36.89%
Avg drawdowni6.15%25.35%
Ulcer Indexi8.33%28.00%
Max daily dropi12.62%13.57%
Max wkly dropi15.51%17.76%
10YGrowthi+365.70%+149.23%
CAGRi+16.64%+9.57%
Volatilityi26.84%30.36%
Sharpe ratioi0.540.30
Sortino ratioi0.760.45
Max drawdowni42.00%47.81%
Current drawdowni18.48%36.89%
Avg drawdowni7.18%16.31%
Ulcer Indexi10.26%20.91%
Max daily dropi18.89%13.57%
Max wkly dropi25.55%17.76%
AI Prediction Signali
Members only
Next 5 trading days
ORLY
+2.8%BUY
DPZ
+1.1%HOLD
Next 30 trading days
ORLY
+6.4%BUY
DPZ
+3.2%HOLD

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Business comparison
Business comparison
CategoryORLYDPZ
CompanyORLYDPZ
SectorConsumer CyclicalConsumer Cyclical
IndustryAuto PartsRestaurants
Core businessO'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and…Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a pizza company worldwide.
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