Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Stock Analysis 2026

BiotechnologyLarge-Cap Biotechnology
$385.65
as of 2026-09-18
+37.5% (52-week)50D MA $399.10  |  200D MA $359.37

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
50
Neutral
Price CAGR
11.0%
1Y Return
+36.5%
Analyst Upside
+2.8%
Rev Growth
9.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$402.05+4.3% potential
Bear Case
$275.29
Bull Case
$563.19
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Amgen Inc.

Amgen is one of the world's largest biotechnology companies, focused on developing therapies in oncology, cardiovascular, bone health, inflammation, and neuroscience. The company's blockbuster drugs include Repatha (cholesterol), Prolia/Xgeva (bone), Enbrel (inflammation), and the obesity drug MariTide (in development). Amgen's $27.8B acquisition of Horizon Therapeutics (2023) added rare disease therapies including Tepezza (thyroid eye disease). Amgen's obesity pipeline (MariTide) has made it a dark horse in the GLP-1 weight loss race.

How Amgen Makes Money

Amgen discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biologic therapies. Revenue comes from established brands (~60% — Enbrel, Prolia, Xgeva, Otezla), growth brands (~25% — Repatha, Tezspire, Evenity, Lumakras), and Horizon products (~15% — Tepezza, Krystexxa, Uplizna). The company has a large biosimilar business providing additional revenue. Amgen's manufacturing expertise in biologics (protein-based drugs) is a core competitive advantage.

Amgen Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Amgen's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$38.09B
Cost of Revenue
-$10.71B
Gross Profit
$27.39B71.9% margin
Operating Expenses
-$13.84B
Operating Income
$13.54B35.5% margin
Tax & Other
-$4.80B
Net Income
$8.74B23.0% margin
Gross Margin
71.9%
Operating Margin
35.5%
Net Margin
23.0%
EBITDA Margin
46.1%

Key Financial Metrics

Amgen Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 23.42x, generates $8.65B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 490.28, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 91.5% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$204.01B
Enterprise Value
$204.68B
P/E (Trailing)
23.42
P/E (Forward)
15.46
PEG Ratio
2.27
EV / EBITDA
13.02
Price / Sales
4.57
Price / Book
17.45
Revenue
$38.09B
Revenue Growth
9.5%
Earnings Growth
64.9%
EBITDA
$15.73B
EPS (Trailing)
$16.11
EPS (Forward)
$24.40
Gross Margin
71.9%
Operating Margin
35.5%
Net Margin
23.0%
Return on Equity
91.5%
Return on Assets
8.7%
Free Cash Flow
$8.65B
Total Cash
$8.81B
Total Debt
$57.38B
Debt / Equity
490.28
Current Ratio
1.37
Quick Ratio
0.95
Beta
0.43
Dividend Yield
2.6%
Payout Ratio
60.9%
Insider Ownership
0.2%
Inst. Ownership
85.0%
Short % Float
2.4%
Book Value / Share
$21.62

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

28 analysts covering Amgen Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $388.03 (+0.6% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(28 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$185.00-52.0%
Mean Target$388.03+0.6% upside
High Target$400.00+3.7%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for AMGN

We use 4 valuation models to estimate AMGN's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Graham Number
$88.53
-77.0% vs current
Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). A conservative floor value for stable, profitable companies. Works best for value-oriented businesses.
DCF Model (10yr)
$337.65
-12.4% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
P/E Based (15× trailing)
$241.65
-37.3% vs current
Multiplies trailing 12-month earnings per share by 15× — a historically average P/E for the stock market. Simple but ignores future growth.
P/E Based (15× forward)
$366.04
-5.1% vs current
Multiplies next year's estimated earnings per share by 15×. More forward-looking; useful for high-growth companies where current earnings understate potential.
Fair Value Range
$88.53 – $366.04
Average Estimate
$258.47
Potential Downside
-33.0%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

AMGN is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $399.10 and above its 200-day average of $359.37. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$385.65
50-Day MA
$399.10
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$359.37
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

AMGN Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

AMGN's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • MariTide obesity drug uses a novel monthly injection approach — if successful in Phase 3, it could compete in the $100B+ GLP-1 market against Lilly and Novo Nordisk.
  • Horizon acquisition adds high-growth rare disease portfolio — Tepezza alone has $2B+ peak sales potential with minimal competition.
  • Repatha (PCSK9 cholesterol drug) is accelerating as guidelines expand to recommend earlier use and payers improve coverage.
  • Biosimilar portfolio provides steady revenue and cash flow as branded biologic patents expire across the industry.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Enbrel erosion continues as biosimilar competition intensifies — Enbrel was once a $5B+ drug and continues to decline.
  • MariTide clinical data is still early — Phase 2 results were promising but Phase 3 failure would remove the obesity premium from the stock.
  • $27.8B Horizon acquisition added significant debt — Amgen's balance sheet is more leveraged than historically typical.
  • Patent expirations across multiple products (Otezla, Prolia) require constant pipeline replenishment.

What to Watch: AMGN Key Metrics

MariTide Phase 3 clinical data
Horizon product revenue growth
Repatha volume and revenue growth
Enbrel erosion rate
Free cash flow and debt reduction

AMGN Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare AMGN with Peers

AMGN vs LLYAmgen vs Eli Lilly — Diversified Biotech vs Obesity Lea
AMGN vs ABBVAmgen vs AbbVie — Which Biotech/Pharma Dividend Stock W
ABBV vs AMGNAbbVie vs Amgen — Which Biotech Dividend Giant Wins?
AMGN vs GILDAmgen vs Gilead Sciences — Which Established Biotech Is
AMGN vs BIIBAmgen vs Biogen — Which Established Biotech Wins?
AMGN vs REGNAmgen vs Regeneron — Two Biotechnology Giants Compared
JNJ vs AMGNJohnson & Johnson vs Amgen — Diversified Pharma Giant v
AZN vs AMGNAstraZeneca vs Amgen — Global Oncology Leader vs US Bio

AMGN — Related Investment Themes

Top GLP-1 & Obesity Drug Stocks8 stocks in themeTop Biomedical & Pharma Stocks10 stocks in theme

Unlock the Full AMGN Analysis

Interactive price charts, real-time AI signals, advanced DCF models, portfolio tracking, earnings analysis, and side-by-side peer comparisons. Start your 14-day free trial — no credit card required.

Start Free TrialBrowse All Stocks
Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
← Back to Home · Browse All Stock Analysis