Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) Stock Analysis 2026

RetailHome Improvement Retail
$192.49
as of 2026-09-18
-27.7% (52-week)50D MA $214.64  |  200D MA $236.80

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
51
Neutral
Price CAGR
12.5%
1Y Return
-27.6%
Analyst Upside
+29.2%
Rev Growth
8.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Lowe's Companies Inc.

Lowe's is the second-largest home improvement retailer in the world (behind Home Depot), operating 1,700+ stores across the US and Canada. The company serves DIY homeowners and professional contractors with building materials, appliances, tools, and home decor. Under CEO Marvin Ellison's 'Total Home' strategy, Lowe's has been closing the operational gap with Home Depot through technology investments, merchandising improvements, and Pro customer expansion.

How Lowe's Companies Makes Money

Lowe's earns from product sales across categories: home decor/building products (~35%), hardlines/tools (~30%), appliances (~15%), lumber/building materials (~10%), and other (~10%). Unlike Home Depot, Lowe's is more tilted toward DIY customers (~75% vs 55% for HD), with the Pro segment being the primary growth opportunity. The company is investing in Pro loyalty programs, job-lot delivery, and dedicated Pro services to grow this higher-ticket segment.

Lowe's Companies Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Lowe's Companies's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$90.43B
Cost of Revenue
-$60.59B
Gross Profit
$29.84B33.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$17.75B
Operating Income
$12.09B13.4% margin
Tax & Other
-$5.44B
Net Income
$6.64B7.3% margin
Gross Margin
33.0%
Operating Margin
13.4%
Net Margin
7.3%

Key Financial Metrics

Lowe's Companies Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 17.57x, generates $4.62B in free cash flow, hasn't disclosed a debt/equity ratio, and hasn't disclosed return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$116.73B
P/E (Trailing)
17.57
P/E (Forward)
15.90
PEG Ratio
1.41
Revenue
$90.43B
Revenue Growth
8.3%
Earnings Growth
0.0%
Gross Margin
33.0%
Operating Margin
13.4%
Net Margin
7.3%
Return on Assets
12.5%
Free Cash Flow
$4.62B
Current Ratio
1.10
Quick Ratio
0.21
Beta
0.85
Dividend Yield
2.4%
Payout Ratio
41.0%
Insider Ownership
0.1%
Inst. Ownership
81.5%
Short % Float
1.8%
Book Value / Share
$-13.26

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Lowe's Companies Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $254.36 (+32.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$254.36+32.1% upside

Technical Price Signals

LOW is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $214.64 and below its 200-day average of $236.80. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$192.49
50-Day MA
$214.64
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$236.80
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

LOW Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

LOW's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Margin expansion opportunity — Lowe's operating margin (~12.5%) still trails Home Depot's (~15%), providing multi-year runway for improvement through merchandising and operational efficiency.
  • Pro customer growth is accelerating — Lowe's Pro segment has been underweight and represents the biggest revenue growth opportunity as the company invests in Pro-specific services.
  • Housing renovation cycle — aging US housing stock and deferred maintenance create $400B+ in pent-up demand that will eventually release regardless of interest rates.
  • Aggressive share buybacks ($30B+ authorized) are reducing share count faster than any retailer — EPS grows even in flat revenue environments.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Structural #2 position behind Home Depot — Lowe's has never closed the revenue or margin gap with its larger competitor.
  • DIY customer base is more vulnerable to economic cycles — DIY discretionary projects are the first to be cut when budgets tighten.
  • High mortgage rates suppress home sales and renovation activity — Lowe's revenue is correlated with housing market health.
  • Debt-funded buybacks have increased leverage — Lowe's net debt/EBITDA is elevated, limiting financial flexibility in a downturn.

What to Watch: LOW Key Metrics

Same-store sales growth
Pro customer sales growth
Operating margin improvement
Share count reduction
Housing market trends

LOW Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full LOW in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Lowe's Companies Inc..

Compare LOW with Peers

HD vs LOWHome Depot vs Lowe's — Which Home Improvement Stock Win

LOW — Related Investment Themes

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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