Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
$32.27
as of 2026-09-25
-44.6% (52-week)50D MA $32.37  |  200D MA $42.29

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
37
Weak
Price CAGR
9.6%
1Y Return
-46.0%
Analyst Upside
+10.3%
Rev Growth
2.3%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

TSCO Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how TSCO's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$15.75B
Cost of Revenue
-$10.00B
Gross Profit
$5.75B36.5% margin
Operating Expenses
-$3.85B
Operating Income
$1.90B12.1% margin
Tax & Other
-$889.8M
Net Income
$1.01B6.4% margin
Gross Margin
36.5%
Operating Margin
12.1%
Net Margin
6.4%
EBITDA Margin
12.8%

Key Financial Metrics

Tractor Supply Company trades at a trailing P/E of 18.08x, generates $103.2M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 248.71, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 39.5% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$18.09B
Enterprise Value
$32.54B
P/E (Trailing)
18.08
P/E (Forward)
16.93
PEG Ratio
1.91
EV / EBITDA
16.98
Price / Sales
1.81
Price / Book
12.09
Revenue
$15.75B
Revenue Growth
2.3%
Earnings Growth
-15.0%
EBITDA
$1.92B
Gross Margin
36.5%
Operating Margin
12.1%
Net Margin
6.4%
Return on Equity
39.5%
Return on Assets
7.8%
Free Cash Flow
$103.2M
Total Cash
$231.7M
Total Debt
$5.76B
Debt / Equity
248.71
Current Ratio
1.33
Quick Ratio
0.14
Beta
0.45
Dividend Yield
2.8%
Payout Ratio
49.0%
Insider Ownership
0.3%
Inst. Ownership
96.7%
Short % Float
7.8%
Book Value / Share
$5.03

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

28 analysts covering Tractor Supply Company currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $35.52 (+10.1% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(28 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$44.0036.3%
Mean Target$35.52+10.1% upside
High Target$65.00+101.4%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for TSCO

We use 1 valuation model to estimate TSCO's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

TSCO is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $32.37 and below its 200-day average of $42.29. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$32.27
50-Day MA
$32.37
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$42.29
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal
Read the full TSCO in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for TSCO.

Compare TSCO with Peers

TSCO vs FASTTractor Supply Company vs Fastenal — Which Rural/Indust

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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