Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologySoftware - Application
$277.62
as of 2026-09-04
50D MA $256.91  |  200D MA $236.48

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
48
Neutral
Price CAGR
14.0%
1Y Return
-6.2%
Analyst Upside
+3.5%
Rev Growth
6.8%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$328.17+18.2% potential
Bear Case
$211.91
Bull Case
$399.30
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

ADP Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how ADP's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$21.95B
Cost of Revenue
-$11.27B
Gross Profit
$10.68B48.7% margin
Operating Expenses
-$5.53B
Operating Income
$5.15B23.5% margin
Tax & Other
-$735.2M
Net Income
$4.41B20.1% margin
Gross Margin
48.7%
Operating Margin
23.5%
Net Margin
20.1%
EBITDA Margin
29.4%

Key Financial Metrics

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 26.25x, generates $5.24B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 91.44, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 72.2% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$114.21B
Enterprise Value
$134.35B
P/E (Trailing)
26.25
P/E (Forward)
21.46
PEG Ratio
2.67
EV / EBITDA
22.58
Price / Sales
6.57
Price / Book
22.68
Revenue
$21.95B
Revenue Growth
6.8%
Earnings Growth
9.8%
EBITDA
$5.95B
Gross Margin
48.7%
Operating Margin
23.5%
Net Margin
20.1%
Return on Equity
72.2%
Return on Assets
6.2%
Free Cash Flow
$5.24B
Total Cash
$2.68B
Total Debt
$4.37B
Debt / Equity
91.44
Current Ratio
1.05
Quick Ratio
0.15
Beta
0.82
Dividend Yield
2.4%
Payout Ratio
60.7%
Insider Ownership
0.2%
Inst. Ownership
91.7%
Short % Float
3.1%
Book Value / Share
$15.16

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

15 analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $287.27 (+3.5% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(15 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$290.004.5%
Mean Target$287.27+3.5% upside
High Target$350.00+26.1%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for ADP

We use 1 valuation model to estimate ADP's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

DCF Model (10yr)
$271.24
-2.3% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$271.24 – $271.24
Average Estimate
$271.24
Potential Downside
-2.3%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

ADP is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $256.91 and above its 200-day average of $236.48. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$277.62
50-Day MA
$256.91
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$236.48
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal

Compare ADP with Peers

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INTU vs ADPIntuit vs ADP — Small Business Software Platform vs Pay
PAYC vs ADPPaycom vs ADP — HCM challenger vs payroll incumbent
SHOP vs ADPShopify vs ADP — High-Growth Commerce Platform vs Stead

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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