Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer DefensiveEnergy Drinks & Beverages
$28.02
as of 2026-09-18
-51.5% (52-week)50D MA $30.03  |  200D MA $37.90

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
63
Moderate
Price CAGR
44.4%
1Y Return
-52.9%
Analyst Upside
+55.3%
Rev Growth
10.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Celsius Holdings Inc.

Celsius Holdings is the third-largest energy drink brand in the United States, positioned as a healthier alternative to Monster and Red Bull. The brand's beverages are marketed as fitness-oriented energy drinks with thermogenic properties and no sugar, aspartame, or artificial preservatives. Celsius has grown dramatically in US convenience stores, gyms, and online channels, driven by appeal to health-conscious consumers and a highly effective social media and fitness influencer marketing strategy.

How Celsius Makes Money

Celsius generates revenue primarily from selling canned energy drinks in the US market through its exclusive distribution partnership with PepsiCo, which provides access to PepsiCo's vast DSD (direct store delivery) network. The PepsiCo relationship replaced a previous partnership with Anheuser-Busch, dramatically expanding Celsius's retail penetration. International markets are a growing revenue source, particularly through PepsiCo's global distribution infrastructure.

Celsius Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Celsius's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$3.05B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.56B
Gross Profit
$1.49B48.8% margin
Operating Expenses
-$904.2M
Operating Income
$581.6M19.1% margin
Tax & Other
-$452.5M
Net Income
$129.1M4.2% margin
Gross Margin
48.8%
Operating Margin
19.1%
Net Margin
4.2%

Key Financial Metrics

Celsius Holdings Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 136.17x, generates $349.6M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 22.80, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 5.1% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$7.93B
P/E (Trailing)
136.17
P/E (Forward)
17.94
PEG Ratio
0.35
Price / Book
6.61
Revenue
$3.05B
Revenue Growth
10.6%
Earnings Growth
-56.9%
EPS (Trailing)
$0.23
EPS (Forward)
$1.75
Gross Margin
48.8%
Operating Margin
19.1%
Net Margin
4.2%
Return on Equity
5.1%
Return on Assets
8.9%
Free Cash Flow
$349.6M
Debt / Equity
22.80
Current Ratio
1.80
Quick Ratio
1.31
Beta
0.92
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
28.9%
Inst. Ownership
75.3%
Short % Float
12.1%
Book Value / Share
$4.74

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering Celsius Holdings Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $42.29 (+50.9% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$42.29+50.9% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for CELH

We use 3 valuation models to estimate CELH's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

CELH is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $30.03 and below its 200-day average of $37.90. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$28.02
50-Day MA
$30.03
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$37.90
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

CELH Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

CELH's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Health-conscious energy drink positioning is a secular trend — Celsius's sugar-free, 'better-for-you' positioning is well-aligned with consumer preferences shifting toward healthier options.
  • PepsiCo distribution partnership provides Celsius access to 200,000+ US retail locations — the most powerful distribution network in North American beverages.
  • Market share gains against Red Bull and Monster have been substantial, and Celsius is still a fraction of their scale, suggesting significant runway.
  • International expansion through PepsiCo's global network is early-stage and represents a multi-year growth opportunity.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Celsius experienced significant inventory destocking in late 2024 as PepsiCo worked down excess inventory, causing a sharp revenue growth deceleration.
  • Monster and Red Bull are well-capitalized incumbents with massive marketing budgets and deep retailer relationships — competitive response could intensify.
  • Energy drink market growth may moderate as the category matures, limiting the market share gains that drove Celsius's rapid growth.
  • Dependence on a single distribution partner (PepsiCo) creates relationship risk — terms changes or distribution disputes could significantly impact the business.

What to Watch: CELH Key Metrics

US retail market share vs Red Bull/Monster
North America revenue growth rate
International revenue growth
PepsiCo distribution store count
Gross margin trend

CELH Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full CELH in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Celsius Holdings Inc..

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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