CELH vs KDP Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Celsius Holdings offers concentrated, faster-growing exposure to the functional energy drink category, while Keurig Dr Pepper provides a diversified, more stable beverage portfolio with a consistent dividend.
Investors weighing Celsius against Keurig Dr Pepper are choosing between a higher-growth, single-category beverage brand and a larger, diversified, income-oriented beverage company.
CELH holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. KDP leads on both 1-year return (-8.93%) and forward P/E quality (12.41x vs 19.16x for CELH), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, KDP is growing revenue faster (75.60%), while CELH maintains the higher operating margin (19.09%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CELH (+22.75%) than for KDP (+14.13%).
- Want concentrated exposure to the functional energy drink category
- Believe in continued growth of Celsius's retail distribution and brand share
- Are comfortable with revenue volatility tied to retailer inventory cycles
- Seek higher growth potential over current income
- Prefer a diversified beverage portfolio across multiple categories
- Value consistent dividend income supported by stable cash flow
- Are comfortable with a slower, more mature growth profile
- Want exposure to both coffee systems and traditional soft drink brands
| Metric | CELH | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 62.4 | 44.2 |
| AI rank | #121 | #787 |
| Latest close | $33.36 | $32.04 |
| 1M return | +17.18% | +6.09% |
| 6M return | -24.41% | +10.10% |
| 1Y return | -46.25% | -8.93% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CELH | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $5.37K (-46.3%) started 2025-08-21 | $9.1K (-9.0%) started 2025-08-21 |
| 5Y ago | $14.19K (+41.9%) started 2021-08-23 | $11.02K (+10.2%) started 2021-08-23 |
| 10Y ago | $465.49K (+4554.9%) started 2016-08-22 | $265.45K (+2554.5%) started 2016-08-22 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CELH | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $8.44B | $42.78B |
| Trailing P/E | 145.04 | 31.76 |
| Forward P/E | 19.16 | 12.41 |
| Price/Sales | 2.77 | 2.87 |
| EV/Revenue | 3.36 | 4.15 |
| Analyst target | $40.95 | $35.88 |
| Target upside | +22.75% | +14.13% |
| Metric | CELH | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 10.60% | 75.60% |
| Earnings growth | -56.90% | -90.00% |
| EPS growth | -56.90% | -90.00% |
| FCF margin | +11.76% | +22.93% |
| Operating margin | 19.09% | 12.89% |
| Profit margin | 4.24% | 7.10% |
| ROIC proxy | 5.11% | 5.10% |
| Return on equity | 5.11% | 5.10% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 2.92% |
| Beta | 0.92 | 0.41 |
| Debt/equity | 22.80 | 99.65 |
| Current ratio | 1.80 | 0.48 |
| Quick ratio | 1.31 | 0.20 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CELH | KDP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -46.25% | -8.98% |
| CAGR | -46.28% | -8.99% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.77 | -0.31 | |
| Max drawdown | 63.35% | 28.13% | |
| Max daily drop | 24.80% | 11.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 31.06% | 17.21% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +41.86% | +0.17% |
| CAGR | +7.25% | +0.03% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.37 | -0.10 | |
| Max drawdown | 77.86% | 32.29% | |
| Max daily drop | 24.80% | 11.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.80% | 17.71% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +4554.88% | +156.75% |
| CAGR | +46.85% | +9.89% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.84 | 0.32 | |
| Max drawdown | 77.86% | 36.87% | |
| Max daily drop | 39.59% | 16.49% | |
| Max wkly drop | 41.24% | 19.84% |
| Category | CELH | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Celsius Holdings, Inc. | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. |
| Sector | Beverages | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | N/A | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Core business | Celsius Holdings makes and markets functional energy drinks positioned around fitness and active lifestyle branding, distributed through a major beverage partner's network. | Keurig Dr Pepper is a diversified beverage company with a portfolio spanning carbonated soft drinks, coffee systems, and other beverage brands sold across retail and food service channels. |
| Investor focus | Watch retail distribution and shelf space growth, category share trends in energy drinks, and the pace of international expansion. | Watch performance across its coffee and beverage segments, pricing trends, and margin management amid input cost changes. |
- Strong brand positioning within the fast-growing functional energy drink category
- Established distribution partnership that supports retail shelf placement
- Growth opportunity through international market expansion
- Diversified portfolio spanning soft drinks, coffee, and other beverage categories
- Established distribution scale and retail relationships across channels
- Consistent dividend-paying track record supported by stable cash flow
- Revenue growth has shown sensitivity to retailer inventory and distribution timing
- Smaller scale and single-category focus relative to diversified beverage peers
- Competitive intensity in the energy drink category from larger beverage companies
- Slower overall growth profile relative to faster-growing beverage category peers
- Exposure to shifting consumer preferences away from traditional soft drinks
- Input cost and pricing pressures can affect margins across the portfolio
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