KO vs KDP Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Coca-Cola and Keurig Dr Pepper both operate in the beverage industry, but Coca-Cola is a global sparkling beverage giant with an asset-light, franchise-driven model spanning more than 200 countries, while Keurig Dr Pepper is a more geographically concentrated North American company combining carbonated soft drinks with the Keurig single-serve coffee platform.
Coca-Cola offers global scale, brand strength, and a long dividend growth track record, while Keurig Dr Pepper offers more concentrated North American exposure with diversification into the single-serve coffee category. Consider whether you prefer Coca-Cola's global reach and dividend consistency or Keurig Dr Pepper's coffee-and-soda category diversification.
KO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. KO has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+30.93% vs +26.62%), though KDP has the better forward P/E setup (13.68x vs 25.43x for KO). On fundamentals, KDP is growing revenue faster (75.60%), while KO maintains the higher operating margin (34.87%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +5.62% for KO and +4.58% for KDP.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to the world's largest beverage company with unmatched global brand and distribution scale
- Value Coca-Cola's asset-light concentrate business model and durable free cash flow generation
- Prioritize a long, uninterrupted track record of annual dividend increases
- Believe international and emerging market growth can offset mature-market volume headwinds
- Want exposure to the unique combination of carbonated soft drinks and the Keurig single-serve coffee platform
- Value Keurig Dr Pepper's strong position in the North American single-serve coffee market
- Are comfortable with a more geographically concentrated beverage company than Coca-Cola
- Believe growth in energy drinks and flavored beverages can supplement core category performance
| Metric | KO | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 52.6 | 54.0 |
| AI ranki | #516 | #299 |
| Latest closei | $92.71 | $34.68 |
| 1M returni | +5.24% | +9.19% |
| 3M returni | +12.72% | +16.85% |
| 6M returni | +20.98% | +18.69% |
| 1Y returni | +30.93% | +26.62% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | KO | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.26K (+32.6%) started 2025-10-23 | $12.59K (+25.9%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $21.22K (+112.2%) started 2021-10-25 | $11.99K (+19.9%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $38.76K (+287.6%) started 2016-10-24 | $292.58K (+2825.8%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | KO | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $385.77B | $47.11B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 26.92 | 34.97 |
| Forward P/Ei | 25.43 | 13.68 |
| Price/Salesi | 6.55 | 2.87 |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.29 | 4.37 |
| Analyst targeti | $94.70 | $36.21 |
| Target upsidei | +5.62% | +4.58% |
| Metric | KO | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.70% | 75.60% |
| Earnings growthi | 16.90% | -90.00% |
| EPS growthi | +16.90% | -90.00% |
| FCF margini | +10.41% | +22.93% |
| Operating margini | 34.87% | 12.89% |
| Profit margini | 28.56% | 7.10% |
| ROIC proxyi | 42.05% | 5.10% |
| Return on equityi | 42.05% | 5.10% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.36% | 2.66% |
| Payout ratioi | 62.46% | 92.93% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| Debt/equityi | 115.52 | 99.65 |
| Current ratioi | 1.30 | 0.48 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.80 | 0.20 |
Over the past year, KO and KDP have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.52), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | KO | KDP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +32.56% | +25.88% |
| CAGRi | +32.61% | +25.92% | |
| Volatilityi | 19.09% | 27.46% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 1.34 | 0.81 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 2.21 | 1.26 | |
| Max drawdowni | 8.50% | 18.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 2.76% | 1.45% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 2.99% | 6.38% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 3.79% | 7.68% | |
| Max daily dropi | 3.96% | 5.89% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 5.54% | 8.86% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +89.96% | +9.68% |
| CAGRi | +13.71% | +1.87% | |
| Volatilityi | 16.88% | 22.05% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.58 | -0.01 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.85 | -0.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 17.27% | 32.29% | |
| Current drawdowni | 2.76% | 7.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 4.75% | 13.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 6.09% | 15.60% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.96% | 11.48% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 7.43% | 17.71% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +185.08% | +195.56% |
| CAGRi | +11.05% | +11.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 18.52% | 24.31% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.42 | 0.38 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.59 | 0.58 | |
| Max drawdowni | 36.99% | 36.87% | |
| Current drawdowni | 2.76% | 7.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.58% | 9.43% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.86% | 12.11% | |
| Max daily dropi | 9.67% | 16.49% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.98% | 19.84% |
| Category | KO | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | The Coca-Cola Company | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Core business | The world's largest beverage company, marketing a portfolio of sparkling soft drinks, water, juice, and other beverages across more than 200 countries through a global bottler network. | A beverage company combining a portfolio of carbonated soft drink brands (Dr Pepper, 7UP) with the Keurig single-serve coffee brewing system and pod business, primarily focused on the North American market. |
| Investor focus | Organic revenue growth (price/mix and volume), international market expansion, bottler system economics, and consistent dividend growth. | Keurig coffee system pod and brewer sales trends, Dr Pepper carbonated soft drink market share, and organic revenue growth across both beverage segments. |
- Unmatched global brand portfolio and distribution scale spanning more than 200 countries and territories
- Asset-light concentrate business model, with bottling largely handled by an independent global bottler network
- Long, uninterrupted history of annual dividend increases supported by durable free cash flow generation
- Unique combination of carbonated soft drinks and the Keurig single-serve coffee platform provides category diversification
- Strong position in the US single-serve coffee market through the Keurig brewer and pod ecosystem
- Growing presence in the fast-growing energy drink and flavored beverage categories through partnerships and owned brands
- Volume growth in mature developed markets is limited, making price/mix and emerging market growth key drivers
- Shifting consumer preferences away from sugary carbonated beverages create long-term category headwinds
- Currency translation from extensive international operations can create earnings volatility
- More geographically concentrated in North America than Coca-Cola's global footprint, limiting international diversification
- Keurig brewer and pod sales are sensitive to home coffee consumption trends and competition from other coffee formats
- Carries more leverage on its balance sheet than Coca-Cola following past acquisitions
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