TSLA vs Ford: Tesla vs Ford Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Tesla is a technology-oriented EV, AI, and energy company that commands a premium multiple reflecting its autonomy and software optionality; Ford is a legacy automaker generating most of its value from ICE trucks while investing in EV transition. The comparison is between a high-multiple growth and AI optionality play and a low-multiple, high-yield value stock.
Use this TSLA vs Ford comparison to decide between EV disruption upside and legacy auto value. Tesla's valuation prices in a future of autonomous revenue and energy storage dominance; Ford's valuation prices in little beyond its existing ICE franchise. The better choice depends entirely on how much optionality and risk premium an investor is willing to pay.
F holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. F leads on both 1-year return (-6.68%) and forward P/E quality (7.25x vs 161.56x for TSLA), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, TSLA is growing revenue faster (25.50%), while F maintains the higher operating margin (1.88%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +11.85% for TSLA and +13.30% for F.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Believe Tesla's FSD and robotaxi (Cybercab) will become a significant revenue source over time
- Want EV market leadership, Supercharger network, and energy storage exposure in a single holding
- Are comfortable with a high valuation that prices in long-duration technology and AI optionality
- View Tesla as a technology platform company rather than purely a car manufacturer
- Want high free cash flow yield from the dominant US commercial and truck franchise
- Value Ford Pro's commercial services and software revenue as a durable high-margin business
- Prefer a dividend-paying auto stock at a low P/E multiple with meaningful current income
- Are comfortable with EV transition risk being contained in a separately tracked Model e segment
| Metric | TSLA | F |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 71.2 | 41.2 |
| AI ranki | #34 | #950 |
| Latest closei | $372.22 | $11.60 |
| 1M returni | -2.08% | -10.36% |
| 3M returni | +18.91% | -19.28% |
| 6M returni | -1.08% | -6.30% |
| 1Y returni | -15.21% | -6.68% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | TSLA | F |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.29K (-17.1%) started 2025-10-23 | $9.4K (-6.0%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $10.9K (+9.0%) started 2021-10-25 | $12.32K (+23.2%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $275.36K (+2653.6%) started 2016-10-24 | $27.4K (+174.0%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | TSLA | F |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.38T | $55.35B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 322.92 | 11.79 |
| Forward P/Ei | 161.56 | 7.25 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 13.03 | 1.05 |
| Analyst targeti | $390.09 | $15.73 |
| Target upsidei | +11.85% | +13.30% |
| Metric | TSLA | F |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 25.50% | -3.80% |
| Earnings growthi | -3.00% | 430.80% |
| EPS growthi | -3.00% | +430.80% |
| FCF margini | +4.67% | -4.22% |
| Operating margini | 1.41% | 1.88% |
| Profit margini | 3.67% | -3.94% |
| ROIC proxyi | 4.67% | -18.25% |
| Return on equityi | 4.67% | -18.25% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 4.32% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 64.10% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Debt/equityi | 18.37 | 456.71 |
| Current ratioi | 1.94 | 1.09 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.35 | 0.88 |
Over the past year, TSLA and F have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.24), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | TSLA | F |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -17.10% | -6.00% |
| CAGRi | -17.12% | -6.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.01% | 38.04% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.29 | -0.10 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.40 | -0.15 | |
| Max drawdowni | 39.10% | 33.49% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.02% | 33.49% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.01% | 13.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 20.09% | 16.07% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.52% | 7.46% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.24% | 14.56% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +8.96% | -6.79% |
| CAGRi | +1.73% | -1.40% | |
| Volatilityi | 59.68% | 39.16% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.25 | 0.05 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.37 | 0.06 | |
| Max drawdowni | 73.63% | 56.51% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.02% | 41.09% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 34.41% | 40.28% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 38.21% | 41.89% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.43% | 18.36% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.20% | 23.30% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +2653.65% | +52.05% |
| CAGRi | +39.33% | +4.28% | |
| Volatilityi | 59.57% | 37.56% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.78 | 0.18 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.17 | 0.26 | |
| Max drawdowni | 73.63% | 64.77% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.02% | 41.09% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 25.53% | 29.55% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 30.79% | 33.90% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.06% | 18.36% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 43.05% | 23.73% |
| Category | TSLA | F |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Tesla, Inc. | Ford Motor Company |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers | Auto Manufacturers |
| Core business | Electric vehicle manufacturer, energy storage provider, and AI/autonomy company. Produces Model 3, Model Y, Model S, Model X, Cybertruck, and Semi. Energy segment includes Powerwall and Megapack. Also developing Full Self-Driving (FSD) and the Optimus humanoid robot. | Legacy automaker organised around Ford Blue (ICE), Ford Model e (EV), and Ford Pro (commercial). F-Series trucks are the top-selling vehicle in the US. Model e produces the F-150 Lightning and Mustang Mach-E EVs. |
| Investor focus | FSD software revenue and autonomy timeline, Cybercab robotaxi launch, energy storage growth, margin recovery, and volume ramp of next-generation affordable vehicles. | Ford Pro commercial vehicle margin strength, Model e EV loss reduction, F-Series volume, and free cash flow generation. |
- Global EV market leader with the most advanced battery technology, charging network (Supercharger), and FSD software
- Vertical integration from battery cells to software gives Tesla structural cost and technology advantages
- Energy storage (Megapack) is a fast-growing, high-margin business independent of auto sales
- F-Series trucks are the best-selling vehicle in America — a cash-generating franchise with deep brand loyalty
- Ford Pro is generating high margins from commercial vehicles and growing software and services revenue
- Transparent EV segment reporting (Model e) allows investors to clearly track ICE profitability vs EV investment
- Vehicle margins have compressed significantly from aggressive price cuts to maintain volume in a competitive market
- FSD and Cybercab autonomous commercialisation timeline risk — regulatory and technical hurdles remain significant
- Brand perception headwinds from political associations affecting demand in key markets
- Model e EV segment continues generating losses — Ford must reduce EV costs to reach profitability
- Slower EV market growth means the transition timeline is extended, requiring ICE to fund EVs longer
- UAW labour cost increase from 2023 contract raises cost-per-vehicle across ICE and EV production
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