JNJ vs ABBV Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Johnson & Johnson and AbbVie are both large-cap pharmaceutical companies with strong dividend histories facing near-term headwinds from biosimilar competition. J&J faces Stelara biosimilar pressure but has MedTech diversification and Darzalex/Carvykti oncology upside. AbbVie faces Humira biosimilar devastation but has Skyrizi/Rinvoq immunology replacements growing rapidly and Botox as a durable aesthetics franchise. Both are income-oriented large-cap healthcare holdings with different pipeline replacement execution stories.
JNJ vs ABBV is diversified pharma-plus-medical-devices with oncology growth (Darzalex, Carvykti) offsetting Stelara biosimilar headwind (J&J) versus pure pharma immunology specialist replacing $20B Humira revenue with Skyrizi/Rinvoq while Botox provides aesthetics stability (AbbVie) — both navigating major biosimilar transitions with strong pipeline replacements.
ABBV holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. JNJ has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+49.88% vs +16.72%), though ABBV trades at the lower forward P/E (14.01x vs 18.94x). ABBV leads on both revenue growth (12.40%) and operating margin (32.16%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ABBV (+11.34%) than for JNJ (+4.98%).
- →prefer diversified healthcare with pharmaceutical and medical device combination reducing single-drug patent cliff exposure relative to pure pharma companies
- →value Darzalex and Carvykti oncology growth as premium-priced products in multiple myeloma with expanding market opportunity
- →want healthcare blue-chip with 60+ consecutive dividend increases — one of the most reliable dividend growth stocks in the market
- →are comfortable with Stelara biosimilar revenue headwind, ongoing talc litigation uncertainty, and MedTech competitive intensity
- →prefer immunology specialist with Skyrizi/Rinvoq replacing Humira at potentially greater combined peak revenue by 2027
- →value AbbVie's Botox aesthetics franchise as a uniquely brand-protected premium product with limited biosimilar risk in the near term
- →want the highest current dividend yield among large-cap pharma — AbbVie's commitment to dividend growth is very strong
- →are comfortable with Humira revenue decline magnitude through 2026, Skyrizi/Rinvoq immunology competition from peers, and aesthetics segment cyclicality
| Metric | JNJ | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 48.7 | 52.0 |
| AI rank | #544 | #346 |
| Latest close | $228.39 | $216.49 |
| 1M return | -0.70% | +1.28% |
| 6M return | +8.59% | -3.49% |
| 1Y return | +49.88% | +16.72% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | JNJ | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $15.15K (+51.5%) started 2025-06-18 | $11.67K (+16.7%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $17.38K (+73.8%) started 2021-06-21 | $26.07K (+160.7%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $32.67K (+226.7%) started 2016-06-20 | $83.39K (+733.9%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | JNJ | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $579.83B | $402.35B |
| Trailing P/E | 27.94 | 111.09 |
| Forward P/E | 18.94 | 14.01 |
| Price/Sales | 4.18 | 5.85 |
| EV/Revenue | 6.36 | 7.42 |
| Analyst target | $252.87 | $253.55 |
| Target upside | +4.98% | +11.34% |
| Metric | JNJ | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 9.90% | 12.40% |
| Earnings growth | -52.90% | -46.20% |
| EPS growth | -52.90% | -46.20% |
| FCF margin | +12.98% | +33.13% |
| Operating margin | 27.41% | 32.16% |
| Profit margin | 21.83% | 5.79% |
| ROIC proxy | 26.42% | 6225.00% |
| Return on equity | 26.42% | 6225.00% |
| Dividend yield | 2.23% | 3.04% |
| Beta | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| Debt/equity | 67.73 | 4789.60 |
| Current ratio | 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Quick ratio | 0.69 | 0.52 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | JNJ | ABBV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +51.52% | +16.71% |
| CAGR | +51.61% | +16.74% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 2.26 | 0.57 | |
| Max drawdown | 10.96% | 19.23% | |
| Max daily drop | 2.48% | 5.20% | |
| Max wkly drop | 5.81% | 8.49% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +55.21% | +120.43% |
| CAGR | +9.20% | +17.16% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.34 | 0.61 | |
| Max drawdown | 18.41% | 21.92% | |
| Max daily drop | 7.59% | 12.57% | |
| Max wkly drop | 9.18% | 17.30% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +149.24% | +426.67% |
| CAGR | +9.57% | +18.09% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.34 | 0.60 | |
| Max drawdown | 27.37% | 45.09% | |
| Max daily drop | 10.04% | 16.25% | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.25% | 19.39% |
| Category | JNJ | ABBV |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Johnson & Johnson | AbbVie Inc. |
| Sector | Healthcare | Healthcare |
| Industry | Drug Manufacturers - General | Drug Manufacturers - General |
| Core business | Johnson & Johnson is one of the world's largest healthcare companies, operating two segments: Innovative Medicine (pharmaceutical drugs including Stelara, Darzalex, Tremfya, Carvykti) and MedTech (surgical devices, orthopedics, cardiovascular equipment). J&J spun off its consumer health segment (Kenvue) in 2023, focusing on higher-margin pharmaceutical and medical device businesses. J&J's pharmaceutical pipeline has notable oncology (Darzalex, Carvykti CAR-T) and immunology (Tremfya) programs. | AbbVie is the world's top-selling drug by revenue via Humira (adalimumab) — an anti-inflammatory biologic that generated $20B+ at peak. Humira biosimilar competition began in the US in 2023, creating a significant revenue headwind. AbbVie has invested heavily in replacing Humira through Skyrizi (risankizumab for psoriasis and IBD) and Rinvoq (upadacitinib for rheumatoid arthritis, atopic dermatitis) — both are growing rapidly. AbbVie's Allergan acquisition added Botox, fillers, and aesthetics to its portfolio. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Darzalex (multiple myeloma) and Carvykti (CAR-T cell therapy) sales growth, MedTech procedure volume recovery, Innovative Medicine pipeline milestones, and Stelara biosimilar revenue headwind management. | Investors track Skyrizi and Rinvoq combined sales growth vs Humira biosimilar revenue decline, Botox (neurotoxin) and aesthetics revenue, and oncology pipeline progress (NaviNe, epkinly). |
- →Most diversified large-cap pharma with pharmaceutical + medical device combination — device revenue is less patent-cliff dependent than drug revenue
- →Darzalex is one of the world's best-selling oncology drugs — still growing and expanding into earlier lines of multiple myeloma treatment
- →Carvykti CAR-T cell therapy represents next-generation oncology — manufacturing capacity expansion is enabling rapid revenue growth in this premium-priced treatment
- →Skyrizi and Rinvoq are both best-in-class immunology drugs growing 40–50% annually — AbbVie's internal forecasts project these drugs replacing and exceeding Humira's peak revenue by 2027
- →Botox neurotoxin is the global brand standard in aesthetics and medical neurotoxin — monopoly-like position in premium aesthetics with limited biosimilar risk
- →AbbVie's immunology expertise after decades of Humira development creates a durable pipeline in immune-mediated diseases where it has deep clinical and regulatory expertise
- →Stelara (formerly $10B+ revenue drug) faces biosimilar competition beginning 2025 — this patent cliff represents a significant revenue headwind J&J must offset with pipeline launches
- →Talc liability litigation (baby powder lawsuits) remains an ongoing legal overhang with potential significant settlement costs
- →MedTech competitive intensity from Medtronic, Abbott, and Stryker in J&J's device segments
- →Humira biosimilar revenue decline is dramatic and rapid — managing the transition from Humira revenue to Skyrizi/Rinvoq is a multi-year earnings story
- →Skyrizi and Rinvoq competition from AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and Lilly in overlapping indications could limit pricing power in immunology
- →Aesthetics market cyclicality — Botox/filler revenues are more consumer-discretionary than pharmaceutical revenues and can slow in economic downturns
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