PEP vs KDP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper by snack vs beverage revenue mix, pricing power, channel strategy, dividend yield, and which consumer beverage stock offers better value.
Use this PepsiCo vs Keurig Dr Pepper comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
KDP holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. PEP has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-5.45% vs -11.59%), though KDP has the better forward P/E setup (12.23x vs 15.26x for PEP). KDP leads on both revenue growth (9.40%) and operating margin (19.01%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +13.57% for PEP and +13.04% for KDP.
| Metric | PEP | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 41.0 | 41.2 |
| AI rank | #1058 | #1032 |
| Latest close | $136.64 | $29.68 |
| 1M return | -3.96% | -5.48% |
| 6M return | -5.49% | +6.92% |
| 1Y return | -5.45% | -11.59% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | PEP | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.53K (-4.7%) started 2025-07-25 | $8.92K (-10.8%) started 2025-07-25 |
| 5Y ago | $10.87K (+8.7%) started 2021-07-26 | $9.92K (-0.8%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $21.67K (+116.7%) started 2016-07-25 | $236.99K (+2269.9%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | PEP | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $187.31B | $42.05B |
| Trailing P/E | 17.99 | 22.90 |
| Forward P/E | 15.26 | 12.23 |
| Price/Sales | 1.95 | 2.87 |
| EV/Revenue | 2.37 | 4.63 |
| Analyst target | $155.73 | $34.94 |
| Target upside | +13.57% | +13.04% |
| Metric | PEP | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 6.40% | 9.40% |
| Earnings growth | 137.00% | -47.70% |
| EPS growth | +137.00% | -47.70% |
| FCF margin | +8.08% | -96.47% |
| Operating margin | 16.84% | 19.01% |
| Profit margin | 10.79% | 10.81% |
| ROIC proxy | 51.51% | 6.31% |
| Return on equity | 51.51% | 6.31% |
| Dividend yield | 4.32% | 2.98% |
| Beta | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| Debt/equity | 238.95 | 85.98 |
| Current ratio | 0.93 | 2.31 |
| Quick ratio | 0.69 | 0.24 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | PEP | KDP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -4.75% | -10.79% |
| CAGR | -4.76% | -10.82% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.33 | -0.39 | |
| Max drawdown | 20.85% | 28.13% | |
| Max daily drop | 3.46% | 11.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 6.57% | 17.71% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -3.03% | -9.83% |
| CAGR | -0.61% | -2.05% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.18 | -0.20 | |
| Max drawdown | 30.56% | 32.29% | |
| Max daily drop | 6.20% | 11.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 7.25% | 17.71% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +61.97% | +129.23% |
| CAGR | +4.94% | +8.65% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.12 | 0.28 | |
| Max drawdown | 30.56% | 36.87% | |
| Max daily drop | 11.43% | 16.49% | |
| Max wkly drop | 18.45% | 19.84% |
| Category | PEP | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | PEP | KDP |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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