PEP vs MNST Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
PepsiCo and Monster Beverage both compete in the beverage industry, but PepsiCo operates a much broader diversified global snacks and beverage portfolio, while Monster Beverage concentrates specifically on the energy drink category with a strategic distribution partnership supporting its global reach.
PepsiCo offers diversified exposure across snacks and multiple beverage categories, while Monster Beverage offers a concentrated bet on continued global energy drink category growth. Consider whether you prefer PepsiCo's diversification or Monster Beverage's focused category leadership.
PEP holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. PEP leads on both 1-year return (-11.28%) and forward P/E quality (15.71x vs 34.93x for MNST), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. MNST leads on both revenue growth (20.20%) and operating margin (29.18%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +9.87% for PEP and +9.00% for MNST.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a diversified global snacks and beverage portfolio
- Believe diversification across categories reduces reliance on any single demand cycle
- Value a long dividend growth history supported by global scale
- Are comfortable with North American beverage volume pressure from shifting health preferences
- Want concentrated exposure to global energy drink category growth
- Believe strong brand recognition among younger consumers supports continued market share gains
- Value the distribution partnership providing access to an established beverage network
- Are comfortable with concentration risk in a single beverage category
| Metric | PEP | MNST |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.4 | 40.1 |
| AI ranki | #1017 | #1144 |
| Latest closei | $135.77 | $46.19 |
| 1M returni | +4.29% | +5.19% |
| 3M returni | -0.64% | -50.59% |
| 6M returni | -12.65% | -40.96% |
| 1Y returni | -11.28% | -33.75% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | PEP | MNST |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.96K (-10.4%) started 2025-10-23 | $6.61K (-33.9%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $10.5K (+5.0%) started 2021-10-25 | $10.95K (+9.5%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $21.53K (+115.3%) started 2016-10-24 | $18.46K (+84.6%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | PEP | MNST |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $192.7B | $89.59B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 18.32 | 42.34 |
| Forward P/Ei | 15.71 | 34.93 |
| Price/Salesi | 1.95 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.43 | 9.36 |
| Analyst targeti | $155.00 | $49.85 |
| Target upsidei | +9.87% | +9.00% |
| Metric | PEP | MNST |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.40% | 20.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 137.00% | 18.00% |
| EPS growthi | +137.00% | +18.00% |
| FCF margini | +8.08% | +18.24% |
| Operating margini | 16.84% | 29.18% |
| Profit margini | 10.79% | 23.08% |
| ROIC proxyi | 51.51% | 25.70% |
| Return on equityi | 51.51% | 25.70% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.20% | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 73.02% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| Debt/equityi | 238.95 | 0.99 |
| Current ratioi | 0.93 | 3.73 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.69 | 3.10 |
Over the past year, PEP and MNST have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.08), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | PEP | MNST |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -10.39% | -33.91% |
| CAGRi | -10.40% | -33.95% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.22% | 119.18% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.63 | 0.19 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.89 | 0.32 | |
| Max drawdowni | 27.43% | 58.36% | |
| Current drawdowni | 20.36% | 53.78% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.48% | 15.29% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.72% | 26.39% | |
| Max daily dropi | 3.37% | 50.20% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 6.57% | 51.79% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -5.59% | +9.48% |
| CAGRi | -1.15% | +1.83% | |
| Volatilityi | 19.13% | 57.65% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.20 | 0.24 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.28 | 0.38 | |
| Max drawdowni | 32.88% | 58.36% | |
| Current drawdowni | 26.35% | 53.78% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.18% | 9.46% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 14.94% | 14.95% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.20% | 50.20% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 7.25% | 51.79% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +62.36% | +84.61% |
| CAGRi | +4.97% | +6.32% | |
| Volatilityi | 20.03% | 45.23% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.12 | 0.26 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.17 | 0.41 | |
| Max drawdowni | 32.88% | 58.36% | |
| Current drawdowni | 26.35% | 53.78% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.27% | 9.55% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.43% | 13.60% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.43% | 50.20% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 18.45% | 51.79% |
| Category | PEP | MNST |
|---|---|---|
| Company | PepsiCo, Inc. | Monster Beverage Corporation |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Core business | A global food and beverage company with a diversified portfolio spanning snacks, beverages, and packaged foods sold across both developed and emerging markets worldwide. | A beverage company focused primarily on energy drinks, marketed and distributed globally through a strategic distribution partnership with a major beverage company. |
| Investor focus | Organic revenue growth balancing snacks and beverage segments, international market performance, and pricing actions relative to input cost inflation. | Energy drink category volume and market share trends, international expansion progress, and gross margin trends relative to input and freight costs. |
- Diversified portfolio spanning snacks and beverages reduces reliance on any single category's demand cycle
- Global scale supports significant investment in marketing, innovation, and distribution across many markets
- Long dividend growth history reflects consistent free cash flow generation across economic cycles
- Leading position in the global energy drink category benefits from strong brand recognition among younger consumers
- Strategic distribution partnership provides access to a broad, established beverage distribution network
- Category-focused business model allows for concentrated marketing and innovation investment in energy drinks
- Beverage volume growth in North America has faced pressure from shifting consumer preferences toward healthier options
- Input cost inflation across ingredients and packaging can pressure margins between pricing cycles
- Faces competition from both branded beverage and snack peers and private label alternatives
- Concentration in a single beverage category makes results more sensitive to energy drink category growth trends
- Faces competition from other established and emerging energy drink brands globally
- International expansion requires navigating varying regulatory and consumer preference dynamics across markets
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