KMB vs KDP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Kimberly-Clark's tissue and diaper brand scale against Keurig Dr Pepper's coffee and soda beverage mix.
Use this Kimberly-Clark vs Keurig Dr Pepper comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
KDP holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. KDP leads on both 1-year return (+26.62%) and forward P/E quality (13.68x vs 14.63x for KMB), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, KDP is growing revenue faster (75.60%), while KMB maintains the higher operating margin (19.00%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for KMB (+8.26%) than for KDP (+4.58%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | KMB | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 40.8 | 54.0 |
| AI ranki | #1105 | #299 |
| Latest closei | $110.15 | $34.68 |
| 1M returni | +12.74% | +9.19% |
| 3M returni | +0.41% | +16.85% |
| 6M returni | +12.57% | +18.69% |
| 1Y returni | -8.37% | +26.62% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | KMB | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.28K (-7.2%) started 2025-10-23 | $12.59K (+25.9%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $10.98K (+9.8%) started 2021-10-25 | $11.99K (+19.9%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $17.98K (+79.8%) started 2016-10-24 | $292.58K (+2825.8%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | KMB | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $36.43B | $47.11B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 21.65 | 34.97 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.63 | 13.68 |
| Price/Salesi | 2.24 | 2.87 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.54 | 4.37 |
| Analyst targeti | $118.60 | $36.21 |
| Target upsidei | +8.26% | +4.58% |
| Metric | KMB | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 0.60% | 75.60% |
| Earnings growthi | -32.30% | -90.00% |
| EPS growthi | -32.30% | -90.00% |
| FCF margini | +5.68% | +22.93% |
| Operating margini | 19.00% | 12.89% |
| Profit margini | 11.79% | 7.10% |
| ROIC proxyi | 104.91% | 5.10% |
| Return on equityi | 104.91% | 5.10% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.67% | 2.66% |
| Payout ratioi | 100.20% | 92.93% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| Debt/equityi | 348.93 | 99.65 |
| Current ratioi | 0.91 | 0.48 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.40 | 0.20 |
Over the past year, KMB and KDP have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.44), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | KMB | KDP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -7.25% | +25.88% |
| CAGRi | -7.26% | +25.92% | |
| Volatilityi | 28.64% | 27.46% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.27 | 0.81 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.35 | 1.26 | |
| Max drawdowni | 22.88% | 18.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 8.71% | 1.45% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.44% | 6.38% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 15.22% | 7.68% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.57% | 5.89% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.59% | 8.86% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -3.96% | +9.68% |
| CAGRi | -0.81% | +1.87% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.17% | 22.05% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.14 | -0.01 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.19 | -0.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 36.87% | 32.29% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.27% | 7.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.63% | 13.48% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.14% | 15.60% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.57% | 11.48% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.59% | 17.71% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +28.97% | +195.56% |
| CAGRi | +2.58% | +11.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.50% | 24.31% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.02 | 0.38 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.02 | 0.58 | |
| Max drawdowni | 36.87% | 36.87% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.27% | 7.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.29% | 9.43% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 14.05% | 12.11% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.57% | 16.49% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 18.53% | 19.84% |
| Category | KMB | KDP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | KMB | KDP |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Household & Personal Products | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Core business | Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care products in the United States. | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. |
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