Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) Stock Analysis 2026

NetworkingNetworking Equipment & Enterprise Software
$109.51
as of 2026-09-18
+67.3% (52-week)50D MA $115.17  |  200D MA $94.11

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
57
Moderate
Price CAGR
16.7%
1Y Return
+68.5%
Analyst Upside
+22.8%
Rev Growth
17.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Cisco Systems Inc.

Cisco is the world's largest networking equipment company, providing routers, switches, firewalls, wireless access points, and collaboration tools that form the backbone of enterprise and internet infrastructure. The company has been transforming from a hardware-centric business to a software and subscription model, with recurring revenue now representing 55%+ of total revenue. Cisco's $28B acquisition of Splunk (2024) added a leading security and observability platform.

How Cisco Systems Makes Money

Cisco earns from networking hardware (~45% — switches, routers, wireless, compute), security (~15% — firewalls, zero trust, Splunk), collaboration (~10% — Webex, phones), observability (~10% — Splunk, AppDynamics, ThousandEyes), and services (~20% — support contracts and consulting). The subscription shift has increased recurring revenue to 55%+ and improved revenue predictability. Cisco's installed base is enormous — the company's equipment powers 80%+ of enterprise networks globally.

Cisco Systems Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Cisco Systems's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$63.32B
Cost of Revenue
-$22.44B
Gross Profit
$40.89B64.6% margin
Operating Expenses
-$23.34B
Operating Income
$17.54B27.7% margin
Tax & Other
-$4.27B
Net Income
$13.27B21.0% margin
Gross Margin
64.6%
Operating Margin
27.7%
Net Margin
21.0%
EBITDA Margin
26.5%

Key Financial Metrics

Cisco Systems Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 33.01x, generates $11.57B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 58.73, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 27.3% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$433.28B
Enterprise Value
$275.95B
P/E (Trailing)
33.01
P/E (Forward)
19.64
PEG Ratio
1.01
EV / EBITDA
18.72
Price / Sales
4.70
Price / Book
5.69
Revenue
$63.32B
Revenue Growth
17.6%
Earnings Growth
52.0%
EBITDA
$14.74B
Gross Margin
64.6%
Operating Margin
27.7%
Net Margin
21.0%
Return on Equity
27.3%
Return on Assets
8.0%
Free Cash Flow
$11.57B
Total Cash
$16.39B
Total Debt
$30.74B
Debt / Equity
58.73
Current Ratio
0.93
Quick Ratio
0.65
Beta
1.00
Dividend Yield
1.5%
Payout Ratio
49.9%
Insider Ownership
0.1%
Inst. Ownership
83.5%
Short % Float
1.5%
Book Value / Share
$12.73

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

22 analysts covering Cisco Systems Inc. currently lean toward a Buy rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $137.74 (+25.8% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingBuy(22 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$56.00-48.9%
Mean Target$137.74+25.8% upside
High Target$80.00+-26.9%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for CSCO

We use 1 valuation model to estimate CSCO's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

CSCO is currently in a short-term downtrend, trading below its 50-day average of $115.17 and above its 200-day average of $94.11. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$109.51
50-Day MA
$115.17
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$94.11
▲ Price above
Short-term Downtrend
Below 50-day MA — caution

CSCO Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

CSCO's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • AI networking demand is accelerating — AI data centers require high-performance Ethernet switching and optics that Cisco is uniquely positioned to provide.
  • Splunk acquisition ($28B) transforms Cisco into a security and observability platform — Splunk's $3.8B ARR adds high-growth recurring revenue.
  • Subscription transition is working — 55%+ recurring revenue provides predictability and higher lifetime customer value versus one-time hardware sales.
  • Massive installed base of enterprise networks creates a durable moat — replacing Cisco networking infrastructure is extremely costly and risky.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Networking hardware is cyclical — enterprise spending on switches and routers fluctuates with IT budgets and upgrade cycles.
  • Competition from Arista Networks (data center), Juniper/HPE (enterprise), and white-box solutions pressures market share and pricing.
  • Splunk integration risks — $28B is a large acquisition and Cisco must retain Splunk talent and customers while cross-selling effectively.
  • Legacy collaboration (Webex) and on-premises products face secular decline as enterprises adopt cloud-native alternatives.

What to Watch: CSCO Key Metrics

Annual recurring revenue growth
AI networking orders
Splunk integration and revenue synergies
Product order growth
Free cash flow and capital return

CSCO Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full CSCO in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Cisco Systems Inc..

Compare CSCO with Peers

ANET vs CSCOArista Networks vs Cisco — Which Networking Stock Wins?
HPE vs CSCOHPE vs Cisco — Enterprise Infrastructure Rivals: Server
CSCO vs JNPRCisco vs Juniper — Which Networking Giant Is the Better
EXTR vs CSCOExtreme Networks vs Cisco — Enterprise Networking Chall
CSCO vs MSICisco vs Motorola Solutions — Enterprise Networking Gia
CSCO vs LITECisco vs Lumentum — Networking Equipment Giant vs Optic
CSCO vs CIENCisco vs Ciena — Enterprise Networking Leader vs Optica
CSCO vs UICisco vs Ubiquiti — Enterprise Networking Incumbent vs

Unlock the Full CSCO Analysis

Interactive price charts, real-time AI signals, advanced DCF models, portfolio tracking, earnings analysis, and side-by-side peer comparisons. Start your 14-day free trial — no credit card required.

Start Free TrialBrowse All Stocks
Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
← Back to Home · Browse All Stock Analysis