Data as of:
brimindinvest.com / compare / csco-vs-liteLIVE
CSCO
CSCO ·
$106.50
+0.07% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
LITE
LITE ·
$756.17
-19.30% this month
Comparison scoreboard
LITE LEADS 4/5
AI Scorei
CSCO 56.3
LITE ✓84.1
1Y Returni
CSCO +50.72%
LITE ✓+378.41%
Fwd P/Ei
CSCO ✓19.64
LITE 25.85
Target Up.i
CSCO +25.30%
LITE ✓+33.42%
Op. Margini
CSCO 27.70%
LITE ✓27.95%
Metrics last refreshed: 10/25/2026
Quick take

CSCO vs LITE Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

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Compare Cisco's broad enterprise networking and security portfolio against Lumentum's optical components business, a key supplier for AI data center interconnects.

Use this Cisco vs Lumentum comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.

Live analysis · updated 10/25/2026

LITE holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. LITE has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+378.41% vs +50.72%), though CSCO has the better forward P/E setup (19.64x vs 25.85x for LITE). LITE leads on both revenue growth (109.30%) and operating margin (27.95%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for LITE (+33.42%) than for CSCO (+25.30%).

Want a full valuation workup? 46-section report — AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, bull/bear case, DCF, and more.
Normalized 1Y performance
CSCO
LITE
Recent returns
CSCO
LITE
Analyst price targets & sentiment

Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.

CSCO · 22 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (2.0/5.0)
19 Buy / 10 Hold / 0 Sell
Price target range
analyst low$56.00
analyst mean$137.74
current price$106.50
+25.3% upside to analyst mean
LITE · 24 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.6/5.0)
22 Buy / 5 Hold / 0 Sell
Price target range
analyst low$600.00
analyst high$1,400.00
analyst mean$1,148.43
current price$756.17
+33.4% upside to analyst mean
Performance & AI score
Performance & AI score
MetricCSCOLITE
AI scorei56.384.1
AI ranki#209#6
Latest closei$106.50$756.17
1M returni+0.07%-19.30%
3M returni-6.72%-0.89%
6M returni+19.65%-14.23%
1Y returni+50.72%+378.41%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
PeriodCSCOLITE
1Y ago$15.16K (+51.6%)
started 2025-10-23
$44.88K (+348.8%)
started 2025-10-23
5Y ago$24.05K (+140.5%)
started 2021-10-25
$92.96K (+829.6%)
started 2021-10-25
10Y ago$61.25K (+512.5%)
started 2016-10-24
$182.65K (+1726.5%)
started 2016-10-24

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
Valuation & upside potential
MetricCSCOLITE
Market capi$433.28B$77.21B
Trailing P/Ei33.01156.17
Forward P/Ei19.6425.85
Price/Salesi4.7040.44
EV/Revenuei7.0725.51
Analyst targeti$137.74$1,148.43
Target upsidei+25.30%+33.42%
Growth, profitability & risk
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricCSCOLITE
Revenue growthi17.60%109.30%
Earnings growthi52.00%N/A
EPS growthi+52.00%N/A
FCF margini+18.27%+7.46%
Operating margini27.70%27.95%
Profit margini20.95%-230.10%
ROIC proxyi27.32%-240.03%
Return on equityi27.32%-240.03%
Dividend yieldi1.50%N/A
Payout ratioi49.85%0.00%
Dividend growth streakiNo increase yetN/A
Betai1.001.51
Debt/equityi58.7335.99
Current ratioi0.931.68
Quick ratioi0.651.32
Correlation

Over the past year, CSCO and LITE have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.31), based on daily returns.

1Y
0.31
-1.0+1.0
5Y
0.38
-1.0+1.0
10Y
0.38
-1.0+1.0
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
CSCO max drawdowni19.32%
LITE max drawdowni42.80%
CSCO max wkly dropi11.44%
LITE max wkly dropi27.40%
5Y risk snapshot
CSCO max drawdowni36.68%
LITE max drawdowni66.48%
CSCO max wkly dropi13.61%
LITE max wkly dropi27.40%
10Y risk snapshot
CSCO max drawdowni41.95%
LITE max drawdowni66.89%
CSCO max wkly dropi16.10%
LITE max wkly dropi31.75%
Performance metrics by period
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricCSCOLITE
1YGrowthi+51.56%+348.77%
CAGRi+51.65%+349.73%
Volatilityi35.24%99.22%
Sharpe ratioi1.231.97
Sortino ratioi1.813.13
Max drawdowni19.32%42.80%
Current drawdowni18.08%33.28%
Avg drawdowni7.33%11.02%
Ulcer Indexi9.24%14.60%
Max daily dropi12.32%14.19%
Max wkly dropi11.44%27.40%
5YGrowthi+114.87%+829.64%
CAGRi+16.55%+56.28%
Volatilityi26.12%64.69%
Sharpe ratioi0.550.95
Sortino ratioi0.771.41
Max drawdowni36.68%66.48%
Current drawdowni18.08%33.28%
Avg drawdowni12.86%30.49%
Ulcer Indexi15.80%36.87%
Max daily dropi13.73%22.46%
Max wkly dropi13.61%27.40%
10YGrowthi+354.45%+1726.50%
CAGRi+16.35%+33.73%
Volatilityi26.49%58.77%
Sharpe ratioi0.540.72
Sortino ratioi0.751.04
Max drawdowni41.95%66.89%
Current drawdowni18.08%33.28%
Avg drawdowni11.14%24.63%
Ulcer Indexi14.57%30.22%
Max daily dropi13.73%32.98%
Max wkly dropi16.10%31.75%
AI Prediction Signali
Members only
Next 5 trading days
CSCO
+2.8%BUY
LITE
+1.1%HOLD
Next 30 trading days
CSCO
+6.4%BUY
LITE
+3.2%HOLD

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Business comparison
Business comparison
CategoryCSCOLITE
CompanyCSCOLITE
SectorTechnologyTechnology
IndustryCommunication EquipmentCommunication Equipment
Core businessCisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies to power, help, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China.Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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Scoreboard verdict

AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.

Full risk suite

Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.

Correlation heatmap

Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.

Valuation vs profitability

A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.

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