ORCL vs AMZN: Oracle vs Amazon Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Oracle is an enterprise database and ERP software company rapidly growing its OCI cloud infrastructure, while Amazon AWS is the world's largest cloud platform with diversified AI, compute, storage, and database services. Oracle offers a focused cloud database and ERP migration thesis; Amazon offers the broadest cloud platform with e-commerce cash flow support.
ORCL vs AMZN is enterprise database lock-in migrating to cloud versus the world's largest cloud infrastructure platform — Oracle wins if OCI captures AI training workloads and enterprise ERP cloud migration sustains; Amazon wins if AWS maintains cloud market leadership through AI services breadth.
ORCL holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AMZN has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+18.18% vs -55.71%), though ORCL has the better forward P/E setup (13.81x vs 24.68x for AMZN). ORCL leads on both revenue growth (20.60%) and operating margin (36.20%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ORCL (+61.83%) than for AMZN (+27.80%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- want enterprise software lock-in exposure as Oracle databases and Fusion ERP migrate to OCI cloud
- value Cerner's healthcare cloud opportunity as a long-duration enterprise IT migration
- believe OCI's AI infrastructure architecture is preferred by customers over AWS for certain AI training workloads
- prefer Oracle's more focused cloud and software thesis vs Amazon's multi-business complexity
- prefer the world's broadest cloud platform with the largest enterprise customer base
- value AWS's AI services stack (Bedrock, SageMaker, Trainium) as the most complete AI cloud offering
- want Amazon's diversified cash flows from e-commerce and advertising funding AI capex
- are comfortable with large enterprise cloud spending dependence and AI capex competition
| Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 49.3 | 62.5 |
| AI ranki | #502 | #109 |
| Latest closei | $134.47 | $254.76 |
| 1M returni | -4.19% | +2.55% |
| 3M returni | +8.26% | +1.95% |
| 6M returni | -24.60% | +2.03% |
| 1Y returni | -55.71% | +18.18% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $4.3K (-57.0%) started 2025-10-16 | $11.88K (+18.8%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $15.44K (+54.4%) started 2021-10-18 | $14.78K (+47.8%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $46.12K (+361.2%) started 2016-10-17 | $62.68K (+526.8%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $434.52B | $2.77T |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.92 | 20.66 |
| Forward P/Ei | 13.81 | 24.68 |
| Price/Salesi | 8.75 | 3.49 |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.54 | 3.74 |
| Analyst targeti | $244.12 | $328.17 |
| Target upsidei | +61.83% | +27.80% |
| Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 20.60% | 19.60% |
| Earnings growthi | 21.90% | 242.30% |
| EPS growthi | +21.90% | +242.30% |
| FCF margini | -36.43% | +0.42% |
| Operating margini | 36.20% | 13.69% |
| Profit margini | 25.37% | 17.44% |
| ROIC proxyi | 53.38% | 30.56% |
| Return on equityi | 53.38% | 30.56% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.33% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 31.35% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 1.72 | 1.44 |
| Debt/equityi | 388.87 | 45.62 |
| Current ratioi | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.01 | 0.84 |
Over the past year, ORCL and AMZN have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.26), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -57.04% | +18.79% |
| CAGRi | -57.10% | +18.82% | |
| Volatilityi | 57.25% | 34.18% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.27 | 0.54 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.76 | 0.90 | |
| Max drawdowni | 63.26% | 21.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 57.04% | 10.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 44.39% | 9.14% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 46.05% | 10.76% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.83% | 5.55% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 14.09% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +46.55% | +47.83% |
| CAGRi | +7.95% | +8.14% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.19% | 36.47% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | 0.27 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.45 | 0.40 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.98% | 55.73% | |
| Current drawdowni | 59.04% | 10.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.95% | 18.29% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 26.25% | 23.60% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.79% | 14.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 20.35% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +300.73% | +526.75% |
| CAGRi | +14.90% | +20.15% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.45% | 33.15% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.44 | 0.58 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.67 | 0.86 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.98% | 56.15% | |
| Current drawdowni | 59.04% | 10.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.73% | 12.94% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.24% | 18.21% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.79% | 14.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 20.35% |
| Category | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Oracle Corporation | Amazon.com, Inc. |
| Sector | Technology | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Internet Retail |
| Core business | Enterprise software and cloud infrastructure company with Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), Oracle Database, Fusion ERP, and healthcare cloud (Cerner). Oracle's cloud revenue is growing rapidly as customers migrate Oracle workloads to OCI. | AWS is the world's largest cloud computing platform with compute, storage, database, AI, and machine learning services. Amazon also operates the world's largest e-commerce marketplace, a fast-growing advertising business, and Prime membership ecosystem. |
| Investor focus | OCI cloud revenue growth, Cerner healthcare cloud integration, Fusion ERP SaaS adoption, AI infrastructure contracts, and remaining performance obligations (RPO) as a forward indicator. | AWS revenue growth and margin expansion, AI services adoption, advertising growth, and e-commerce profitability improvement. |
- Oracle Database is deeply embedded in enterprise data infrastructure — migrating to a non-Oracle database is extremely painful, creating lasting lock-in
- OCI's tenancy model and networking architecture are preferred by AI cloud customers including Microsoft and NVIDIA for training workloads
- Cerner acquisition gives Oracle a dominant position in US hospital EHR software — a multi-decade healthcare cloud migration opportunity
- AWS has the largest cloud market share (~32%) and the broadest service catalog in cloud computing
- Amazon Bedrock, SageMaker, and Trainium provide a complete AI services stack for enterprise customers
- E-commerce and advertising generate enormous cash flows that fund AWS and AI capex without debt financing
- Oracle's cloud growth is accelerating but still far smaller than AWS, Azure, and GCP in total cloud revenue
- Cerner integration is complex — healthcare IT is notoriously difficult to modernize at hospital scale
- Oracle database license revenue is in secular decline as cloud-native databases reduce dependencies
- AWS revenue growth has shown deceleration risk as enterprise cloud adoption matures
- AI capex from Microsoft, Google, and AWS creates a capital spending race that may reduce near-term free cash flow
- AWS faces growing competition from Azure (growing faster) and Google Cloud (gaining enterprise share)
Compare more than two at a time
This page is a fixed writeup on ORCL and AMZN. Our comparison engine is the interactive version: load up to five tickers, switch timeframes, and get the correlation, drawdown, and overlap analysis that a static page can't show.
Add three more names beside ORCL and AMZN, mixing stocks and ETFs in the same table — useful when the real question is which of a whole peer group to own.
AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
For ETFs, a top-holdings comparison that exposes hidden overlap between funds. Every comparison exports to CSV for your own spreadsheet work.
Two comparisons a week are free without an account. A 14-day trial removes the limit and adds AI price forecasts, stock rankings, saved watchlists, and the intrinsic value calculator — no credit card required.
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Full valuation workup with AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, and bull/bear case — free preview, premium data from $3.99.