ORCL vs AMZN Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
AMZN's AWS remains the largest global cloud infrastructure provider with the broadest service portfolio and growing custom AI chip investment, while ORCL has rapidly emerged as a major AI infrastructure challenger through OCI's massive contracted backlog tied to large AI training deals. Amazon offers broader diversification beyond cloud, while Oracle's growth has become increasingly concentrated in its AI infrastructure bet.
ORCL vs AMZN captures the competitive dynamic between cloud infrastructure's largest established leader, AWS, and a database giant rapidly reinventing itself as a major AI infrastructure provider through OCI.
ORCL holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AMZN has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+8.45% vs -50.04%), though ORCL has the better forward P/E setup (13.81x vs 24.68x for AMZN). ORCL leads on both revenue growth (20.60%) and operating margin (36.20%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ORCL (+61.83%) than for AMZN (+27.80%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want direct exposure to the AI infrastructure buildout through OCI's massive backlog
- Believe Oracle's AI compute contracts signal durable multi-year growth
- Are comfortable with high capital spending and customer concentration risk
- Want exposure to the largest, most established global cloud infrastructure provider
- Value Amazon's diversification across e-commerce, cloud, and advertising
- Believe AWS's custom AI chips will provide a cost advantage in AI infrastructure
| Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 50.3 | 62.4 |
| AI ranki | #527 | #122 |
| Latest closei | $150.59 | $251.19 |
| 1M returni | +5.46% | -3.18% |
| 6M returni | -3.17% | +20.32% |
| 1Y returni | -50.04% | +8.45% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $5.08K (-49.2%) started 2025-09-18 | $10.86K (+8.6%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $19.5K (+95.0%) started 2021-09-20 | $14.97K (+49.7%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $50.83K (+408.3%) started 2016-09-19 | $64.81K (+548.1%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $434.52B | $2.77T |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.92 | 20.66 |
| Forward P/Ei | 13.81 | 24.68 |
| Price/Salesi | 8.75 | 3.49 |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.54 | 3.74 |
| Analyst targeti | $244.12 | $328.17 |
| Target upsidei | +61.83% | +27.80% |
| Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 20.60% | 19.60% |
| Earnings growthi | 21.90% | 242.30% |
| EPS growthi | +21.90% | +242.30% |
| FCF margini | -36.43% | +0.42% |
| Operating margini | 36.20% | 13.69% |
| Profit margini | 25.37% | 17.44% |
| ROIC proxyi | 53.38% | 30.56% |
| Return on equityi | 53.38% | 30.56% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.33% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 31.35% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 1.72 | 1.44 |
| Debt/equityi | 388.87 | 45.62 |
| Current ratioi | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.01 | 0.84 |
Over the past year, ORCL and AMZN have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.25), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -49.23% | +8.63% |
| CAGRi | -49.27% | +8.64% | |
| Volatilityi | 57.01% | 34.37% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.99 | 0.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.39 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.96% | 21.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 54.11% | 11.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 43.11% | 8.78% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 45.69% | 10.45% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.83% | 5.55% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 14.09% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +84.45% | +49.71% |
| CAGRi | +13.04% | +8.41% | |
| Volatilityi | 43.78% | 36.46% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.39 | 0.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.62 | 0.41 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.98% | 55.73% | |
| Current drawdowni | 54.13% | 11.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.04% | 18.17% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.23% | 23.56% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.79% | 14.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 20.35% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +339.72% | +548.15% |
| CAGRi | +15.97% | +20.56% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.15% | 33.11% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.46 | 0.60 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.72 | 0.88 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.98% | 56.15% | |
| Current drawdowni | 54.13% | 11.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 12.30% | 12.88% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.54% | 18.19% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.79% | 14.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.10% | 20.35% |
| Category | ORCL | AMZN |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Oracle Corporation | Amazon.com, Inc. |
| Sector | Technology | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Internet Retail |
| Core business | Oracle provides database software, enterprise applications, and a rapidly growing cloud infrastructure (OCI) business that has become a major AI training and inference provider for large customers including OpenAI. | Amazon operates the world's largest e-commerce marketplace alongside Amazon Web Services (AWS), the largest global cloud infrastructure provider, along with growing advertising and logistics businesses. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) revenue growth and capacity buildout, remaining performance obligations (RPO) backlog tied to large AI compute contracts, and core database/applications cloud migration. | Investors track AWS revenue growth and operating margin (Amazon's primary profit driver), e-commerce segment margin trends, and AWS's AI infrastructure and custom chip (Trainium) investments. |
- OCI has emerged as a major AI infrastructure provider with massive contracted backlog
- Dominant, sticky enterprise database franchise provides durable cash flow
- Large remaining performance obligations backlog provides multi-year revenue visibility
- AWS is the largest global cloud infrastructure provider with the broadest service portfolio
- Diversified business mix across e-commerce, cloud, advertising, and logistics
- Growing investment in custom AI chips (Trainium) provides a cost-efficient alternative to Nvidia GPUs
- Massive capital spending required to build out AI data center capacity
- OCI growth increasingly concentrated in a small number of very large AI customers
- High debt levels taken on to fund aggressive infrastructure investment
- AWS growth has faced increased competitive pressure from Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud in the AI era
- Massive capital spending required to build out AI infrastructure capacity across AWS
- E-commerce segment carries structurally lower margins than the cloud business
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Full valuation workup with AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, and bull/bear case — free preview, premium data from $3.99.