PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) Stock Analysis 2026

Consumer StaplesBeverages & Snack Foods
$129.75
as of 2026-09-18
-3.1% (52-week)50D MA $139.78  |  200D MA $148.91

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
42
Neutral
Price CAGR
5.2%
1Y Return
-5.0%
Analyst Upside
+13.7%
Rev Growth
6.4%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About PepsiCo Inc.

PepsiCo is a global food and beverage giant operating two complementary businesses: beverages (Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Tropicana) and snack foods (Frito-Lay, Doritos, Lay's, Cheetos, Tostitos). Frito-Lay North America generates roughly 25% of revenue but ~40% of operating profit, making PepsiCo as much a snack company as a beverage company. This diversification is PepsiCo's key advantage over pure-play beverage competitors.

How PepsiCo Makes Money

PepsiCo earns from six divisions: Frito-Lay North America (~28%), PepsiCo Beverages North America (~30%), Quaker Foods (~3%), and three international segments (~39%). Unlike Coca-Cola's franchise model, PepsiCo owns more of its bottling and distribution, giving it higher capital intensity but more operational control. The snack business carries 30%+ operating margins — higher than beverages.

PepsiCo Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how PepsiCo's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$96.90B
Cost of Revenue
-$44.41B
Gross Profit
$52.49B54.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$36.18B
Operating Income
$16.31B16.8% margin
Tax & Other
-$5.86B
Net Income
$10.45B10.8% margin
Gross Margin
54.2%
Operating Margin
16.8%
Net Margin
10.8%
EBITDA Margin
18.9%

Key Financial Metrics

PepsiCo Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 18.32x, generates $7.83B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 238.95, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 51.5% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$192.70B
Enterprise Value
$218.36B
P/E (Trailing)
18.32
P/E (Forward)
15.71
PEG Ratio
1.53
EV / EBITDA
12.62
Price / Sales
1.95
Price / Book
9.71
Revenue
$96.90B
Revenue Growth
6.4%
Earnings Growth
137.0%
EBITDA
$17.30B
Gross Margin
54.2%
Operating Margin
16.8%
Net Margin
10.8%
Return on Equity
51.5%
Return on Assets
8.9%
Free Cash Flow
$7.83B
Total Cash
$8.58B
Total Debt
$48.52B
Debt / Equity
238.95
Current Ratio
0.93
Quick Ratio
0.69
Beta
0.36
Dividend Yield
4.2%
Payout Ratio
75.3%
Insider Ownership
0.2%
Inst. Ownership
81.5%
Short % Float
1.9%
Book Value / Share
$16.18

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

22 analysts covering PepsiCo Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $155.00 (+19.5% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(22 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$110.00-15.2%
Mean Target$155.00+19.5% upside
High Target$170.00+31.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for PEP

We use 1 valuation model to estimate PEP's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

PEP is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $139.78 and below its 200-day average of $148.91. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$129.75
50-Day MA
$139.78
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$148.91
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

PEP Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

PEP's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Frito-Lay dominance — PepsiCo owns 60%+ of the US salty snack market with brands (Doritos, Lay's, Cheetos) that have enormous pricing power and cultural relevance.
  • Diversification across snacks and beverages provides resilience — if beverage volumes slow, snack pricing power compensates, and vice versa.
  • 51 consecutive years of dividend increases (Dividend King) with consistent mid-single-digit dividend growth and a 3%+ yield.
  • International expansion opportunity — snack consumption per capita in emerging markets is a fraction of US levels, providing years of volume growth.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • GLP-1 obesity drugs (Ozempic, Wegovy) could reduce snacking consumption as patients eat less — this narrative has already pressured the stock.
  • Quaker Foods faces ongoing challenges from product recalls and declining cereal consumption trends.
  • Revenue growth relies heavily on pricing rather than volume — consumers may eventually trade down to private-label snacks and beverages.
  • Beverage segment faces intense competition from Monster, Celsius, and other energy drinks capturing share from Gatorade and Mountain Dew.

What to Watch: PEP Key Metrics

Frito-Lay organic revenue growth
Beverage volume trends
Operating margin by segment
International snack growth
Dividend growth rate

PEP Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full PEP in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for PepsiCo Inc..

Compare PEP with Peers

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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