BriMindInvest Logo

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock Analysis 2026

HealthcarePharmaceuticals & Medical Devices
$254.41as of 2026-08-03

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
52
Neutral
Price CAGR
10.2%
1Y Return
+53.2%
Analyst Upside
+5.7%
Rev Growth
6.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$299.98+17.9% potential
Bear Case
$196.84
Bull Case
$366.99
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson is one of the world's largest healthcare companies, operating across two segments after spinning off its consumer health division (Kenvue) in 2023. The remaining company focuses on Innovative Medicine (pharmaceuticals — ~55% of revenue) and MedTech (medical devices — ~45%). J&J's pharmaceutical portfolio includes blockbusters like Darzalex (multiple myeloma), Stelara (immunology), Tremfya (psoriasis), and Erleada (prostate cancer). The MedTech division is a leader in orthopedics, surgery, and interventional solutions.

How Johnson Makes Money

J&J earns from Innovative Medicine (~55% — branded pharmaceuticals sold to hospitals, pharmacies, and specialty distributors) and MedTech (~45% — orthopedic implants, surgical instruments, cardiovascular devices, and contact lenses). The pharmaceutical business carries higher margins (35%+ operating margin) while MedTech provides stability and procedure-volume-driven growth. J&J invests $14B+ annually in R&D.

Johnson Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Johnson's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$97.93B
Cost of Revenue
-$31.20B
Gross Profit
$66.73B68.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$38.14B
Operating Income
$28.59B29.2% margin
Tax & Other
-$7.55B
Net Income
$21.04B21.5% margin
Gross Margin
68.1%
Operating Margin
29.2%
Net Margin
21.5%
EBITDA Margin
33.6%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$617.78B
Enterprise Value
$386.48B
P/E (Trailing)
29.77
P/E (Forward)
20.07
EV / EBITDA
12.87
Price / Sales
4.18
Price / Book
4.77
Revenue
$97.93B
Revenue Growth
6.6%
Earnings Growth
-0.9%
EBITDA
$30.03B
Gross Margin
68.1%
Operating Margin
29.2%
Net Margin
21.5%
Return on Equity
25.7%
Return on Assets
8.6%
Free Cash Flow
$16.89B
Total Cash
$38.78B
Total Debt
$52.25B
Debt / Equity
57.71
Current Ratio
1.09
Quick Ratio
0.72
Beta
0.23
Dividend Yield
2.1%
Payout Ratio
60.8%
Book Value / Share
$35.28

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingHold(23 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$150.00-41.0%
Mean Target$271.05+6.5% upside
High Target$185.00+-27.3%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for JNJ

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$147.37
-42.1% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$147.37 – $147.37
Average Estimate
$147.37
Potential Downside
-42.1%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

JNJ Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • 62 consecutive years of dividend increases (Dividend King) with a 3%+ yield — one of the most reliable income stocks in the market.
  • Post-Kenvue spin-off, J&J is a focused pharma/MedTech company with higher growth and margins than the old conglomerate.
  • Darzalex franchise continues to grow ($10B+ peak sales potential) and pipeline includes promising assets in immunology and oncology.
  • MedTech benefits from aging populations and returning elective procedures — orthopedic and surgical volumes are growing steadily.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Stelara patent cliff (2025 biosimilar entry) will cause significant revenue erosion — Stelara represents ~10% of pharmaceutical revenue.
  • Talc litigation remains an overhang despite the proposed $8.9B settlement — ongoing legal uncertainty weighs on the stock.
  • Pharmaceutical revenue concentration risk — top 5 drugs represent a large portion of revenue, and each faces eventual patent expiration.
  • MedTech growth is steady but not exciting (4-6%) — the segment won't drive meaningful multiple expansion.

What to Watch: JNJ Key Metrics

Innovative Medicine revenue growth
Stelara biosimilar erosion rate
MedTech organic growth
Pipeline milestones & approvals
Free cash flow and dividend coverage

JNJ Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare JNJ with Peers

ABBV vs JNJAbbVie vs Johnson & Johnson — Which Pharma Giant Wins?
JNJ vs PFEJohnson & Johnson vs Pfizer — Which Pharma Dividend Sto
JNJ vs ABBVJ&J vs AbbVie — Diversified MedTech vs Immunology Power
PFE vs JNJPfizer vs J&J — Which Big Pharma Value Stock Is Better?
RHHBY vs JNJRoche vs J&J — Swiss Pharma Giant vs US Diversified Med
ABBV vs JNJAbbVie vs Johnson & Johnson — Which Pharma Dividend Sto
JNJ vs MRKJohnson & Johnson vs Merck — Which Pharma Dividend Stoc
JNJ vs GSKJohnson & Johnson vs GSK — US Pharma Stalwart vs UK Dru

JNJ — Related Investment Themes

Top Biomedical & Pharma Stocks10 stocks in theme

Unlock the Full JNJ Analysis

Interactive price charts, real-time AI signals, advanced DCF models, portfolio tracking, earnings analysis, and side-by-side peer comparisons. Start your 14-day free trial — no credit card required.

Start Free TrialBrowse All Stocks
← Back to Home · Browse All Stock Analysis