ABBV vs JNJ Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
ABBV and JNJ are both large-cap pharma Dividend Aristocrats/Kings facing significant patent cliffs (Humira for AbbVie, Stelara for J&J) while executing next-generation growth strategies. AbbVie's entire identity is Skyrizi and Rinvoq replacing Humira's $20B peak revenue. J&J's diversification across pharma and medical devices provides more resilience. AbbVie's 4% dividend yield is higher than J&J's. Both are quality healthcare income investments with different execution risk profiles.
ABBV vs JNJ — AbbVie (the immunology-focused pharmaceutical company replacing Humira's $20B peak revenue with Skyrizi and Rinvoq immunology drugs while leveraging Allergan's Botox franchise) versus Johnson & Johnson (the pharma + medical device Dividend King with Darzalex oncology dominance, DePuy Synthes orthopedics, and 60+ consecutive years of dividend growth).
ABBV holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. JNJ has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+49.88% vs +16.72%), though ABBV trades at the lower forward P/E (14.01x vs 18.94x). ABBV leads on both revenue growth (12.40%) and operating margin (32.16%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ABBV (+11.34%) than for JNJ (+4.98%).
- →believe Skyrizi and Rinvoq will collectively exceed Humira's $20B peak sales — if immunology market expansion materializes, AbbVie's revenue story is exceptionally positive despite the Humira cliff
- →value AbbVie's 4% dividend yield as the highest among major pharmaceutical Dividend Aristocrats — income investors seeking pharma yield prefer AbbVie's above-sector yield
- →see Botox as a unique diversification asset — the aesthetics market is resilient and the therapeutic neurotoxin portfolio (migraine, overactive bladder) creates a non-immunology growth vector
- →are comfortable with Humira biosimilar revenue decline, Allergan acquisition debt, and Rinvoq JAK inhibitor safety label risk
- →want the most diversified large healthcare company combining pharma (Darzalex, oncology) and medical devices (orthopedics, cardiac) for broader portfolio risk distribution
- →value J&J's Dividend King status (60+ years) as the most iconic healthcare income track record with the longest consecutive growth streak among healthcare majors
- →see Darzalex's $10B+ peak sales potential and ongoing label expansion as a durable multi-year oncology revenue contributor
- →are comfortable with Stelara biosimilar revenue decline, talc litigation financial uncertainty, and Tremfya competing in an immunology market where AbbVie's Skyrizi is currently outpacing J&J
| Metric | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 52.0 | 48.7 |
| AI rank | #346 | #544 |
| Latest close | $216.49 | $228.39 |
| 1M return | +1.28% | -0.70% |
| 6M return | -3.49% | +8.59% |
| 1Y return | +16.72% | +49.88% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.67K (+16.7%) started 2025-06-18 | $15.15K (+51.5%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $26.07K (+160.7%) started 2021-06-21 | $17.38K (+73.8%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $83.39K (+733.9%) started 2016-06-20 | $32.67K (+226.7%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $402.35B | $579.83B |
| Trailing P/E | 111.09 | 27.94 |
| Forward P/E | 14.01 | 18.94 |
| Price/Sales | 5.85 | 4.18 |
| EV/Revenue | 7.42 | 6.36 |
| Analyst target | $253.55 | $252.87 |
| Target upside | +11.34% | +4.98% |
| Metric | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 12.40% | 9.90% |
| Earnings growth | -46.20% | -52.90% |
| EPS growth | -46.20% | -52.90% |
| FCF margin | +33.13% | +12.98% |
| Operating margin | 32.16% | 27.41% |
| Profit margin | 5.79% | 21.83% |
| ROIC proxy | 6225.00% | 26.42% |
| Return on equity | 6225.00% | 26.42% |
| Dividend yield | 3.04% | 2.23% |
| Beta | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| Debt/equity | 4789.60 | 67.73 |
| Current ratio | 0.80 | 1.02 |
| Quick ratio | 0.52 | 0.69 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +16.71% | +51.52% |
| CAGR | +16.74% | +51.61% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.57 | 2.26 | |
| Max drawdown | 19.23% | 10.96% | |
| Max daily drop | 5.20% | 2.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 8.49% | 5.81% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +120.43% | +55.21% |
| CAGR | +17.16% | +9.20% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.61 | 0.34 | |
| Max drawdown | 21.92% | 18.41% | |
| Max daily drop | 12.57% | 7.59% | |
| Max wkly drop | 17.30% | 9.18% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +426.67% | +149.24% |
| CAGR | +18.09% | +9.57% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.60 | 0.34 | |
| Max drawdown | 45.09% | 27.37% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.25% | 10.04% | |
| Max wkly drop | 19.39% | 13.25% |
| Category | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|
| Company | AbbVie Inc. | Johnson & Johnson |
| Sector | Healthcare | Healthcare |
| Industry | Drug Manufacturers - General | Drug Manufacturers - General |
| Core business | AbbVie (spun from Abbott in 2013) is the world's leading immunology company famous for Humira — the world's best-selling drug for 10 consecutive years treating rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, and Crohn's disease. Humira's US patents expired in 2023, creating a significant revenue cliff. AbbVie's next-generation immunology drugs Skyrizi (interleukin-23 inhibitor) and Rinvoq (JAK inhibitor) are the company's primary growth pillars replacing Humira revenue. AbbVie acquired Allergan in 2020 for $63B, adding Botox (aesthetics, neurotoxin therapeutics), Linzess, Vraylar, and other specialty pharmaceutical brands. | Johnson & Johnson post-Kenvue spinoff focuses on pharmaceuticals (Janssen) and medical devices (DePuy Synthes, Abiomed, surgical robotics). J&J's pharma portfolio is led by Darzalex (multiple myeloma), Stelara (psoriasis/Crohn's), Erleada (prostate cancer), and Tremfya (psoriasis). The medical devices division provides orthopedic implants, cardiac devices, and surgical tools. J&J's Janssen division competes directly with AbbVie in immunology — Tremfya (IL-23 inhibitor) competes with AbbVie's Skyrizi in psoriasis. J&J is a Dividend King with 60+ years of consecutive dividend increases. |
| Investor focus | Investors focus on Skyrizi and Rinvoq combined peak sales potential (expected to exceed Humira's peak), Botox aesthetics recovery, AbbVie's oncology and neuroscience pipeline, and Humira biosimilar impact management. | Investors focus on Darzalex growth and patent life, Stelara biosimilar impact (significant revenue loss underway), new drug launches (Rybrevant + lazertinib, nipocalimab), and talc litigation resolution. |
- →Skyrizi and Rinvoq replacing Humira: Skyrizi (risankizumab) and Rinvoq (upadacitinib) are approved across multiple immunology indications and are on trajectory to collectively exceed Humira's $20B peak sales by 2027
- →Botox franchise: Botox is a unique franchise in both aesthetics (wrinkle reduction) and therapeutic neurotoxin (chronic migraine, cervical dystonia, overactive bladder) — a deeply defensible brand with decades of safety and efficacy data
- →Strong dividend: AbbVie is a Dividend Aristocrat with 50+ consecutive years of dividend increases (including Abbott's history) — paying approximately 4% yield with strong FCF coverage
- →Darzalex global oncology dominance: Darzalex leads multiple myeloma treatment globally with continued label expansion and combination regimen adoption
- →Medical devices providing non-pharma diversification: DePuy Synthes (orthopedic implants), Abiomed (ventricular assist devices), and surgical robotics provide revenue diversification beyond pharmaceutical pipeline risk
- →Dividend King with 60+ year increase streak: J&J's 60+ consecutive annual dividend increases make it one of the most reliable income growth stocks in healthcare
- →Humira biosimilar revenue decline: Humira US revenue is declining sharply as biosimilars capture market share — AbbVie must execute Skyrizi and Rinvoq growth to offset the $10B+ US Humira revenue decline
- →Allergan acquisition debt: the $63B Allergan acquisition added significant debt — high leverage limits M&A flexibility while Humira revenues are declining
- →JAK inhibitor safety label expansion risk: Rinvoq (JAK inhibitor) carries FDA warnings for serious infection, malignancy, and cardiovascular risk — expanding indications faces safety scrutiny that could limit label growth
- →Stelara biosimilar revenue impact: Stelara generates $9B+ annually but faces US biosimilar competition after patent expiry in 2023 — significant revenue headwind requiring new launches to offset
- →Talc litigation uncertainty: J&J's legal strategy to address talc litigation through subsidiary bankruptcy has faced court challenges — ongoing legal uncertainty creates financial overhang
- →Immunology competition from AbbVie Skyrizi: Tremfya competes with Skyrizi in psoriasis — AbbVie's immunology pipeline is broader and deeper in indications vs J&J's Janssen immunology
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