CME Group Inc. (CME) Stock Analysis 2026

Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock Exchanges
$281.29
as of 2026-09-04
50D MA $254.77  |  200D MA $278.79

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
47
Neutral
Price CAGR
14.0%
1Y Return
+7.4%
Analyst Upside
+0.6%
Rev Growth
0.8%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$267.30-5.0% potential
Bear Case
$192.42
Bull Case
$390.74
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

CME Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how CME's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$6.76B
Cost of Revenue
-$0
Gross Profit
$6.76B100.0% margin
Operating Expenses
-$2.36B
Operating Income
$4.39B65.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$107.6M
Net Income
$4.29B63.4% margin
Gross Margin
100.0%
Operating Margin
65.0%
Net Margin
63.4%
EBITDA Margin
70.4%

Key Financial Metrics

CME Group Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 24.22x, generates $2.91B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 14.59, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 15.8% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$102.77B
Enterprise Value
$101.10B
P/E (Trailing)
24.22
P/E (Forward)
22.10
PEG Ratio
5.01
EV / EBITDA
22.88
Price / Sales
15.75
Price / Book
3.65
Revenue
$6.76B
Revenue Growth
0.8%
Earnings Growth
2.5%
EBITDA
$4.42B
Gross Margin
100.0%
Operating Margin
65.0%
Net Margin
63.4%
Return on Equity
15.8%
Return on Assets
1.5%
Free Cash Flow
$2.91B
Total Cash
$1.52B
Total Debt
$3.80B
Debt / Equity
14.59
Current Ratio
1.02
Quick Ratio
0.02
Beta
0.27
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Payout Ratio
95.4%
Insider Ownership
0.4%
Inst. Ownership
91.8%
Short % Float
1.6%
Book Value / Share
$73.82

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

17 analysts covering CME Group Inc. currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $283.07 (+0.6% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(17 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$211.00-25.0%
Mean Target$283.07+0.6% upside
High Target$305.00+8.4%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for CME

We use 1 valuation model to estimate CME's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

DCF Model (10yr)
$169.52
-39.7% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$169.52 – $169.52
Average Estimate
$169.52
Potential Downside
-39.7%

Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Technical Price Signals

CME is currently in a short-term uptrend, trading above its 50-day average of $254.77 and above its 200-day average of $278.79. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$281.29
50-Day MA
$254.77
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$278.79
▲ Price above
Short-term Uptrend
Above 50-day MA but mixed longer-term

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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