Deere & Company (DE) Stock Analysis 2026

Agriculture & IndustrialsAgricultural & Construction Equipment
$683.99
as of 2026-09-18
+44.0% (52-week)50D MA $612.01  |  200D MA $563.90

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
58
Moderate
Price CAGR
25.3%
1Y Return
+43.6%
Analyst Upside
-1.5%
Rev Growth
-11.1%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Deere & Company

Deere & Company (John Deere) is the world's largest manufacturer of agricultural equipment and a major producer of construction and forestry machinery. The iconic green and yellow tractors, combines, and planters are essential tools for feeding the world. Deere has been transforming from a traditional equipment manufacturer into a precision agriculture technology company, using GPS guidance, AI-driven crop analytics, autonomous machines, and satellite imagery to help farmers increase yields and reduce costs.

How Deere & Makes Money

Deere earns from Production & Precision Agriculture (~50% — large tractors, combines, planters, precision ag technology), Small Agriculture & Turf (~20% — smaller tractors, mowers, utility vehicles), Construction & Forestry (~25% — excavators, dozers, logging equipment), and Financial Services (~5% — equipment financing and crop insurance). Technology monetization through subscription services (See & Spray, Operations Center) is an emerging revenue stream.

Deere & Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Deere &'s revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$47.93B
Cost of Revenue
-$35.86B
Gross Profit
$12.07B25.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$3.69B
Operating Income
$8.38B17.5% margin
Tax & Other
-$3.50B
Net Income
$4.87B10.2% margin
Gross Margin
25.2%
Operating Margin
17.5%
Net Margin
10.2%
EBITDA Margin
20.5%

Key Financial Metrics

Deere & Company trades at a trailing P/E of 35.10x, generates $4.52B in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 376.02, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a 18.2% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$169.95B
Enterprise Value
$201.16B
P/E (Trailing)
35.10
P/E (Forward)
28.07
PEG Ratio
1.46
EV / EBITDA
21.62
Price / Sales
3.10
Price / Book
5.80
Revenue
$47.93B
Revenue Growth
-11.1%
Earnings Growth
-8.5%
EBITDA
$9.31B
Gross Margin
25.2%
Operating Margin
17.5%
Net Margin
10.2%
Return on Equity
18.2%
Return on Assets
3.8%
Free Cash Flow
$4.52B
Total Cash
$6.86B
Total Debt
$67.11B
Debt / Equity
376.02
Current Ratio
2.13
Quick Ratio
1.91
Beta
0.90
Dividend Yield
1.0%
Payout Ratio
36.0%
Insider Ownership
0.2%
Inst. Ownership
84.7%
Short % Float
1.9%
Book Value / Share
$103.74

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

23 analysts covering Deere & Company currently lean toward a Hold rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $665.35 (-2.7% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Consensus RatingHold(23 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$460.00-32.7%
Mean Target$665.35-2.7% upside
High Target$750.00+9.7%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for DE

We use 1 valuation model to estimate DE's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

DE is currently in a golden cross pattern, trading above its 50-day average of $612.01 and above its 200-day average of $563.90. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$683.99
50-Day MA
$612.01
▲ Price above
200-Day MA
$563.90
▲ Price above
Golden Cross Pattern
Price above both MAs — bullish signal

DE Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

DE's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Precision agriculture technology (See & Spray, autonomous tractors, yield mapping) transforms Deere from an equipment company into a recurring-revenue technology platform.
  • Global food demand is growing 1.5%+ annually — feeding 10 billion people by 2050 requires more efficient farming, which means more Deere technology.
  • Installed base of 1.5M+ connected machines creates a data moat — Deere has the largest agronomic dataset, enabling AI-driven farming recommendations.
  • Financial Services provides counter-cyclical stability — farmers need financing in both good and bad crop years.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Farm income is declining from 2022 peaks — lower crop prices (corn, soybeans) reduce farmer purchasing power and equipment demand.
  • Equipment replacement cycles can be extended — farmers delay purchases when margins are tight, creating sharp revenue drops.
  • Precision ag subscription monetization is early — farmers may resist paying recurring fees for technology previously embedded in equipment purchases.
  • Trade tensions and tariffs create uncertainty for US agricultural exports, indirectly impacting Deere through farmer confidence.

What to Watch: DE Key Metrics

Large agriculture equipment sales
Precision ag adoption & technology revenue
US farm income trends
Construction & forestry orders
Operating margin

DE Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full DE in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for Deere & Company.

Compare DE with Peers

ITW vs DEIllinois Tool Works vs Deere & Company — Diversified Ma
CAT vs DECaterpillar vs Deere — Which Industrial Giant Is Better
DE vs AGCODeere vs AGCO — Which Agricultural Equipment Stock Wins

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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