DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) Stock Analysis 2026

Sports BettingOnline Sports Betting & iGaming
$21.75
as of 2026-09-18
-42.2% (52-week)50D MA $24.79  |  200D MA $26.83

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
41
Neutral
Price CAGR
13.8%
1Y Return
-43.7%
Analyst Upside
+41.9%
Rev Growth
-4.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About DraftKings Inc.

DraftKings is the leading online sports betting and iGaming platform in the United States. The company offers mobile sports wagering, daily fantasy sports, and online casino games across 25+ states where it's licensed. DraftKings transformed from a fantasy sports company into a full-fledged sportsbook following the 2018 Supreme Court decision that legalized sports betting. The company is the #1 or #2 operator in most US states, competing primarily with FanDuel (Flutter Entertainment).

How DraftKings Makes Money

DraftKings earns from the 'hold' on sports bets (the margin between what bettors wager and what the house pays out — typically 8-12%), iGaming revenue (online casino where the house edge is 3-5% per game but volume is enormous), and daily fantasy sports entry fees. Revenue scales with: states legalized, customer acquisition, handle (total amount wagered), and hold rate improvement. The company also earns from advertising and data licensing.

DraftKings Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how DraftKings's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$6.22B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.49B
Gross Profit
$4.74B76.1% margin
Operating Expenses
-$4.74B
Operating Income
$0-4.7% margin
Tax & Other
-$166.9M
Net Income
-$-166.9M-2.7% margin
Gross Margin
76.1%
Operating Margin
-4.7%
Net Margin
-2.7%

Key Financial Metrics

DraftKings Inc. doesn't carry a meaningful trailing P/E right now, generates $461.7M in free cash flow, runs a debt/equity ratio of 336.48, and converts shareholder equity into profit at a -21.1% return on equity. For context: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged a company is; Return on Equity shows how efficiently it turns shareholder capital into profit.

Market Cap
$12.12B
P/E (Forward)
14.87
PEG Ratio
0.06
Price / Book
21.27
Revenue
$6.22B
Revenue Growth
-4.6%
EPS (Trailing)
$-0.35
EPS (Forward)
$1.64
Gross Margin
76.1%
Operating Margin
-4.7%
Net Margin
-2.7%
Return on Equity
-21.1%
Return on Assets
-2.4%
Free Cash Flow
$461.7M
Debt / Equity
336.48
Current Ratio
1.02
Quick Ratio
0.69
Beta
1.63
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Insider Ownership
8.8%
Inst. Ownership
83.0%
Short % Float
8.0%
Book Value / Share
$1.15

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Wall Street analysts covering DraftKings Inc. currently haven't converged on a clear consensus rating, with a mean 12-month price target of $35.12 (+61.5% vs the current price). Analysts set these targets after researching a company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends — Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside, while Hold means fair value near the current price rather than a sell signal.

Mean Target$35.12+61.5% upside

Intrinsic Value Estimates for DKNG

We use 1 valuation model to estimate DKNG's intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals, independent of what the market prices it at today. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal.

Technical Price Signals

DKNG is currently in a death cross pattern, trading below its 50-day average of $24.79 and below its 200-day average of $26.83. Moving averages smooth out day-to-day volatility to reveal the underlying trend — a Golden Cross (50MA crosses above 200MA) is a classic bullish signal, a Death Cross is bearish, though both are lagging indicators that confirm trends rather than predict them.

Current Price
$21.75
50-Day MA
$24.79
▼ Price below
200-Day MA
$26.83
▼ Price below
Death Cross Pattern
Price below both MAs — bearish signal

DKNG Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

DKNG's investment case breaks down into 4 bull points and 4 bear points below. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • US sports betting TAM is $30-40B+ annually and still expanding as more states legalize — only 38 states plus DC have legalized some form, with holdouts like California and Texas representing massive opportunities.
  • iGaming (online casino) is the higher-margin, faster-growing segment — states that legalize iGaming see much higher revenue per customer than sports-only states.
  • DraftKings achieved sustained profitability in 2024 — the path from cash-burning growth to EBITDA-positive operations has been validated.
  • Hold rate improvement through AI-driven odds-making and same-game parlays structurally increases margins on existing wagering handle.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Customer acquisition costs remain high — sports betting is a promotional-heavy industry requiring constant bonuses and free bets to attract and retain users.
  • Regulatory and tax risk — states can increase gambling tax rates (Illinois raised to 40% for top operators), directly compressing margins.
  • Competition from FanDuel (Flutter), ESPN Bet (Penn), and Fanatics Sportsbook keeps the market promotional and limits pricing power.
  • Social concerns about gambling addiction could lead to advertising restrictions or regulatory tightening that constrain growth.

What to Watch: DKNG Key Metrics

Revenue growth rate
EBITDA margin expansion
Monthly unique payers
Handle growth & hold rate
State legalization pipeline

DKNG Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Read the full DKNG in-depth report
Seven-method valuation, AI Score, blended price target, and a 5-year Monte Carlo simulation for DraftKings Inc..

Compare DKNG with Peers

DKNG vs MGMDraftKings vs MGM — Which Gaming Stock Is Better?
DKNG vs CZRDraftKings vs Caesars Entertainment — Online Sports Bet
PENN vs DKNGPenn Entertainment vs DraftKings — ESPN Bet vs Online S
DKNG vs FLUTDraftKings vs Flutter Entertainment — US Leader vs Glob

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Data sources: Financial metrics and market data sourced from company SEC filings, earnings releases, and investor relations disclosures. Price data, analyst consensus targets, and fundamental financials provided by financial market data providers. ETF data sourced from official fund prospectuses and index provider publications. AI scores and price targets are proprietary estimates — see our Methodology and Disclaimer for details.
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