LIVE
DKNG
DraftKings Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$24.93
+4.22% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
MGM
MGM Resorts International · Consumer Discretionary
$47.51
+24.34% this month
AI Score
38.4vs36.7
DKNG ↑1Y Return
-26.09%vs+48.52%
MGM ↑Forward P/E
14.56xvs19.53x
DKNG ↑Target Upside
+39.92%vs+2.68%
DKNG ↑Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
DKNG
3
MGM
1
Metrics last refreshed: 6/6/2026
Quick take
DKNG vs MGM: DraftKings vs MGM Resorts — Which Gaming Stock Is Better?: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
DraftKings is a pure-play digital sports betting and iGaming company benefiting from US legalisation, while MGM Resorts is a diversified brick-and-mortar casino and hospitality giant with a digital gaming stake via BetMGM. The comparison is between online-only sports betting growth versus the full casino resort experience with digital as an adjacent channel.
Use this DKNG vs MGM comparison to choose your gaming stock. DraftKings is the online sports betting growth play without physical assets; MGM offers physical casino premium properties plus digital optionality via BetMGM at a more moderate valuation.
Live analysis · updated 6/6/2026
DKNG holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MGM has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+48.52% vs -26.09%), though DKNG trades at the lower forward P/E (14.56x vs 19.53x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for DKNG (+39.92%) than for MGM (+2.68%).
Comparison scoreboard
DKNG LEADS 3/5AI Score
DKNG ✓38.4
MGM 36.7
1Y Return
DKNG -26.09%
MGM ✓+48.52%
Fwd P/E
DKNG ✓14.56
MGM 19.53
Target Up.
DKNG ✓+39.92%
MGM +2.68%
Op. Margin
DKNG N/A
MGM 6.86%
Normalized 1Y performance
DKNG
MGM
Recent returns
DKNG
MGM
Analyst price targets & sentiment
DKNG · 35 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.6/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$20.00
analyst high$74.00
analyst mean$34.88
current price$24.93
+39.9% upside to analyst mean
MGM
Price target range
analyst mean$44.84
current price$47.51
+2.7% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
DKNG may suit investors who:
- →Want pure-play US online sports betting exposure as state-by-state legalisation continues
- →Believe DraftKings will achieve profitability as it scales in mature states
- →Are comfortable with ongoing customer acquisition spending while the market expands
- →See mobile-first digital gaming as the dominant long-term growth channel over physical casinos
MGM may suit investors who:
- →Want irreplaceable Las Vegas Strip real estate alongside digital gaming exposure via BetMGM
- →Value MGM's diversified physical and online gaming exposure at a moderate multiple
- →Believe the Las Vegas convention and leisure market will remain resilient
- →Are comfortable with physical asset capital requirements in exchange for iconic premium property ownership
Performance & AI score
| Metric | DKNG | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 38.4 | 36.7 |
| AI rank | #1284 | #1488 |
| Latest close | $24.93 | $47.51 |
| 1M return | +4.22% | +24.34% |
| 6M return | -29.16% | +34.25% |
| 1Y return | -26.09% | +48.52% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | DKNG | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $7.39K (-26.1%) started 2025-06-05 | $15.18K (+51.8%) started 2025-06-05 |
| 5Y ago | $4.66K (-53.4%) started 2021-06-07 | $10.96K (+9.6%) started 2021-06-07 |
| 10Y ago | $25.44K (+154.4%) started 2019-07-25 | $21.89K (+118.9%) started 2016-06-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | DKNG | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $12.37B | $11.17B |
| Trailing P/E | 277.00 | 59.82 |
| Forward P/E | 14.56 | 19.53 |
| Price/Sales | 1.97 | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 2.11 | 2.33 |
| Analyst target | $34.88 | $44.84 |
| Target upside | +39.92% | +2.68% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | DKNG | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 16.80% | 4.20% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | -5.90% |
| EPS growth | N/A | -5.90% |
| FCF margin | +9.59% | +2.98% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 6.86% |
| Profit margin | 0.93% | 1.03% |
| ROIC proxy | 7.94% | 13.49% |
| Return on equity | 7.94% | 13.49% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | N/A |
| Beta | 1.65 | 1.28 |
| Debt/equity | 316.98 | 951.19 |
| Current ratio | 1.02 | 1.33 |
| Quick ratio | 0.70 | 1.10 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
DKNG max drawdown57.04%
MGM max drawdown22.76%
DKNG max wkly drop18.71%
MGM max wkly drop9.96%
5Y risk snapshot
DKNG max drawdown83.87%
MGM max drawdown49.33%
DKNG max wkly drop34.71%
MGM max wkly drop20.36%
10Y risk snapshot
DKNG max drawdown85.73%
MGM max drawdown80.42%
DKNG max wkly drop37.74%
MGM max wkly drop60.51%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | DKNG | MGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -26.09% | +51.84% |
| CAGR | -26.10% | +51.93% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.50 | 1.12 | |
| Max drawdown | 57.04% | 22.76% | |
| Max daily drop | 13.51% | 6.90% | |
| Max wkly drop | 18.71% | 9.96% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -53.41% | +9.50% |
| CAGR | -14.18% | +1.83% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.02 | 0.13 | |
| Max drawdown | 83.87% | 49.33% | |
| Max daily drop | 27.82% | 13.22% | |
| Max wkly drop | 34.71% | 20.36% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +154.39% | +106.15% |
| CAGR | +14.57% | +7.50% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.46 | 0.29 | |
| Max drawdown | 85.73% | 80.42% | |
| Max daily drop | 27.82% | 33.61% | |
| Max wkly drop | 37.74% | 60.51% |
Business comparison
| Category | DKNG | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | DraftKings Inc. | MGM Resorts International |
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | US online sports betting and iGaming platform operating in states where both are legalised. Revenue from sportsbook handle and online casino gaming. Growing same-game parlay product and media content flywheel. | Global hospitality and entertainment company with iconic Las Vegas Strip properties (Bellagio, MGM Grand, Aria) alongside regional US casinos. Online gaming via BetMGM (50% stake with Entain) and MGM China. |
| Investor focus | Revenue growth as new states legalise sports betting, hold percentage improvement, customer acquisition cost efficiency, structural profitability in mature states, and path to GAAP profitability. | Las Vegas casino and hotel occupancy and RevPAR, BetMGM market share and profitability, MGM China recovery, and capital return via buybacks and dividends. |
DKNG strengths
- →Market share leader in US online sports betting alongside FanDuel — key beneficiary of state-by-state legalisation
- →Same-game parlay products driving higher-margin handle and better customer engagement
- →Mobile-native platform with a loyal daily fantasy sports heritage providing customer acquisition advantages
MGM strengths
- →Iconic Las Vegas Strip properties provide irreplaceable real estate and brand premium pricing power
- →BetMGM gives MGM digital gaming exposure without full online-only risk
- →International diversification via MGM China and Macau gaming provides emerging market exposure
Risks to watch — DKNG
- →Not yet GAAP profitable — achieving profitability requires scaling in new states and reducing customer acquisition costs
- →Intensifying competition from FanDuel (Flutter), BetMGM, and ESPN Bet (Penn Entertainment)
- →Regulatory risk — states can change tax rates on gaming revenue, directly impacting margins
Risks to watch — MGM
- →Las Vegas convention and group travel spending is sensitive to economic cycles
- →BetMGM is losing market share to FanDuel and DraftKings in online sports betting
- →High debt load from property ownership and development increases financial risk
Frequently asked questions
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