CZR vs MGM: Caesars Entertainment vs MGM Resorts Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Caesars is a regional and Las Vegas Strip casino company with significant debt and a struggling sportsbook, while MGM has premium Las Vegas Strip resorts, Macau diversification, and a more competitive BetMGM sports betting business. MGM is the higher-quality gaming company with better asset quality and digital gaming execution.
CZR vs MGM is highly leveraged regional-plus-Vegas casino versus premium Las Vegas Strip and Macau casino with digital gaming — MGM wins if premium resort pricing, MGM China recovery, and BetMGM profitability compound; Caesars wins if debt reduction frees up capital and regional market stability sustains cash flow.
CZR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CZR has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+29.83% vs -8.36%), though MGM has the better forward P/E setup (20.44x vs 41.10x for CZR). CZR leads on both revenue growth (3.00%) and operating margin (17.67%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for MGM (+19.74%) than for CZR (+5.17%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- believe Caesars' debt reduction will meaningfully re-rate the stock as leverage improves
- value the 65M-member Caesars Rewards loyalty program as a customer retention moat
- want regional casino exposure with Las Vegas Strip upside at a depressed valuation
- are comfortable with Caesars Sportsbook losses as a cost center for digital option value
- prefer premium Las Vegas Strip resort assets (Bellagio, MGM Grand) with pricing power in discretionary entertainment
- value MGM China as a Macau gaming market recovery and diversification asset
- believe BetMGM is the superior digital sports betting business vs Caesars Sportsbook
- want casino investment with both Las Vegas Strip revenue quality and international gaming diversification
| Metric | CZR | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.5 | 37.4 |
| AI ranki | #1159 | #1336 |
| Latest closei | $29.25 | $29.48 |
| 1M returni | -1.35% | -24.83% |
| 3M returni | -2.21% | -37.14% |
| 6M returni | +5.67% | -23.41% |
| 1Y returni | +29.83% | -8.36% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CZR | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.46K (+34.6%) started 2025-10-16 | $9.3K (-7.0%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $2.59K (-74.1%) started 2021-10-18 | $6.12K (-38.8%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $22.59K (+125.9%) started 2016-10-17 | $12.75K (+27.5%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CZR | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $6.06B | $10.82B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 25.62 |
| Forward P/Ei | 41.10 | 20.44 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.68 | 2.19 |
| Analyst targeti | $31.27 | $50.63 |
| Target upsidei | +5.17% | +19.74% |
| Metric | CZR | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 519.40% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +519.40% |
| FCF margini | +6.55% | +4.95% |
| Operating margini | 17.67% | 6.79% |
| Profit margini | -3.99% | 2.40% |
| ROIC proxyi | -10.38% | 18.92% |
| Return on equityi | -10.38% | 18.92% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.75 | 1.30 |
| Debt/equityi | 729.87 | 893.31 |
| Current ratioi | 0.85 | 1.33 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.62 | 1.21 |
Over the past year, CZR and MGM have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.48), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CZR | MGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +34.61% | -6.97% |
| CAGRi | +34.66% | -6.98% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.52% | 38.82% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.79 | -0.11 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.29 | -0.18 | |
| Max drawdowni | 28.44% | 42.87% | |
| Current drawdowni | 3.81% | 41.84% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.16% | 8.88% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.70% | 13.44% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.23% | 10.99% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 19.24% | 18.97% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -74.12% | -38.86% |
| CAGRi | -23.71% | -9.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 51.47% | 39.90% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.36 | -0.16 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.52 | -0.23 | |
| Max drawdowni | 84.08% | 49.33% | |
| Current drawdowni | 74.33% | 42.08% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 62.62% | 23.59% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 64.61% | 25.66% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.23% | 13.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.27% | 20.36% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +125.87% | +20.14% |
| CAGRi | +8.49% | +1.85% | |
| Volatilityi | 60.69% | 45.90% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.17 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.54 | 0.25 | |
| Max drawdowni | 89.78% | 80.42% | |
| Current drawdowni | 75.52% | 42.08% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 38.49% | 21.12% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 49.15% | 25.26% | |
| Max daily dropi | 37.51% | 33.61% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 71.34% | 60.51% |
| Category | CZR | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Caesars Entertainment, Inc. | MGM Resorts International |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Resorts & Casinos |
| Core business | One of the largest US casino companies with 50+ properties across Las Vegas (Caesars Palace, Harrah's, Horseshoe) and regional markets. Caesars also operates Caesars Sportsbook (online sports betting and iGaming) and Horseshoe's regional casino network. | Premium Las Vegas Strip casino resort company with Bellagio, MGM Grand, Aria (via MGM Northfield Park stake), Mandalay Bay, and MGM National Harbor. MGM also has 56% ownership of MGM China and operates BetMGM (50/50 with Entain) for online sports betting. |
| Investor focus | Debt reduction from the Eldorado merger legacy leverage, regional casino performance, Caesars Digital (sportsbook) path to profitability, and Las Vegas Strip revenue. | Las Vegas RevPAR, MGM China recovery, BetMGM profitability path, and MGM Resorts Free real estate monetization strategy. |
- Caesars rewards loyalty program has 65M+ members — one of the largest hospitality loyalty databases
- Regional casino properties provide stable gaming revenue in local markets with lower capital requirements than destination casino resorts
- Caesars Sportsbook competing in the OSB market provides digital revenue optionality if the business reaches profitability
- MGM's Las Vegas portfolio includes some of the most iconic resort properties on the Strip — Bellagio, MGM Grand, and Aria
- BetMGM has achieved top-3 US market share in sports betting and is closer to profitability than Caesars Sportsbook
- MGM China provides Asian gaming diversification with Macau as a growing market post-COVID reopening
- Caesars carries extremely high debt from the Eldorado/Caesars merger — interest expense is the most significant near-term earnings headwind
- Caesars Sportsbook has lost significant market share to FanDuel and DraftKings — sports betting losses without share gains raise the question of whether the investment is worthwhile
- Regional casino properties face increased competition from new Native American casinos and regional openings
- MGM sold its Las Vegas real estate to REITs (VICI) under sale-leaseback agreements — long-term lease costs reduce free cash flow
- Las Vegas convention and meeting demand is an important RevPAR driver that can soften with corporate budget cuts
- BetMGM's path to profitability requires sustained market share without unsustainable promotional spending
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