MGM vs WYNN Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MGM offers broader diversification across Las Vegas, regional U.S. casinos, Macau, and digital betting through BetMGM, while WYNN is a more concentrated, ultra-luxury operator with significant Macau exposure and a high-risk, high-reward new venture opening in the UAE.
MGM vs WYNN contrasts a diversified, multi-segment casino operator with growing digital betting exposure against a concentrated, luxury-focused operator making a bold bet on a new Middle Eastern gaming market.
WYNN holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MGM has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-3.45% vs -38.22%), though WYNN has the better forward P/E setup (18.45x vs 20.44x for MGM). WYNN leads on both revenue growth (6.90%) and operating margin (16.54%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for WYNN (+39.18%) than for MGM (+19.74%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified exposure across Las Vegas, regional casinos, Macau, and online betting
- See long-term value in BetMGM's digital gaming growth
- Prefer a broader, less concentrated casino portfolio
- Want exposure to the ultra-luxury segment of the casino industry
- See significant upside in the new UAE resort opening
- Are comfortable with concentrated Macau exposure and execution risk
| Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 38.0 | 26.7 |
| AI ranki | #1384 | #2462 |
| Latest closei | $31.02 | $77.68 |
| 1M returni | +1.77% | +2.37% |
| 3M returni | -32.15% | -20.41% |
| 6M returni | -18.17% | -26.88% |
| 1Y returni | -3.45% | -38.22% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.73K (-2.7%) started 2025-11-04 | $6.4K (-36.0%) started 2025-11-04 |
| 5Y ago | $6.55K (-34.5%) started 2021-11-04 | $8.95K (-10.5%) started 2021-11-04 |
| 10Y ago | $13.2K (+32.0%) started 2016-11-04 | $10.98K (+9.8%) started 2016-11-04 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $10.82B | $9.81B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.62 | 22.84 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.44 | 18.45 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 1.25 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.19 | 2.59 |
| Analyst targeti | $50.63 | $132.58 |
| Target upsidei | +19.74% | +39.18% |
| Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 1.00% | 6.90% |
| Earnings growthi | 519.40% | 106.10% |
| EPS growthi | +519.40% | +106.10% |
| FCF margini | +4.95% | +6.42% |
| Operating margini | 6.79% | 16.54% |
| Profit margini | 2.40% | 6.05% |
| ROIC proxyi | 18.92% | N/A |
| Return on equityi | 18.92% | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.05% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 23.98% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Debt/equityi | 893.31 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.21 | 0.84 |
Over the past year, MGM and WYNN have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.53), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -2.67% | -35.98% |
| CAGRi | -2.67% | -36.04% | |
| Volatilityi | 40.26% | 31.71% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.02 | -1.41 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.03 | -1.93 | |
| Max drawdowni | 46.20% | 46.37% | |
| Current drawdowni | 38.80% | 41.63% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.58% | 22.04% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.06% | 24.70% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.99% | 6.63% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 18.97% | 10.69% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -34.53% | -12.66% |
| CAGRi | -8.12% | -2.67% | |
| Volatilityi | 40.23% | 40.76% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.12 | 0.03 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.18 | 0.04 | |
| Max drawdowni | 49.33% | 46.95% | |
| Current drawdowni | 39.06% | 41.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 23.98% | 19.18% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.99% | 22.23% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.22% | 12.25% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.36% | 23.01% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +24.36% | -1.87% |
| CAGRi | +2.20% | -0.19% | |
| Volatilityi | 46.08% | 46.65% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | 0.13 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.26 | 0.19 | |
| Max drawdowni | 80.42% | 77.40% | |
| Current drawdowni | 39.06% | 58.20% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.32% | 40.37% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.43% | 44.52% | |
| Max daily dropi | 33.61% | 24.43% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 60.51% | 46.80% |
| Category | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MGM Resorts International | Wynn Resorts, Limited |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Resorts & Casinos |
| Core business | MGM Resorts operates a large portfolio of Las Vegas Strip and regional U.S. casino resorts, along with Macau operations through MGM China and a growing online sports betting and iGaming business through BetMGM. | Wynn Resorts operates ultra-luxury casino resorts in Las Vegas, Macau, and a new property in the United Arab Emirates, positioning itself at the high end of the gaming and hospitality market. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Las Vegas Strip convention and leisure demand, BetMGM's path to digital gaming profitability, and MGM's regional casino portfolio performance. | Investors track Macau VIP and mass-market gaming revenue recovery, the opening and ramp-up of Wynn Al Marjan Island in the UAE, and the company's premium positioning versus broader market demand. |
- Largest Las Vegas Strip footprint among major operators
- BetMGM provides growing exposure to U.S. online sports betting and iGaming
- Diversified across Las Vegas, regional U.S., and Macau markets
- Ultra-luxury brand positioning commands premium pricing and customer loyalty
- First-mover advantage with the new UAE resort opening in a previously untapped gaming market
- Significant Macau exposure provides leverage to a Chinese gaming recovery
- BetMGM has required significant investment to reach profitability amid intense competition
- Regional casino segment faces slower growth than Strip operations
- Macau recovery pace remains a swing factor for international results
- Heavy reliance on Macau makes results sensitive to Chinese economic and travel conditions
- UAE resort carries substantial execution and ramp-up risk as a new market entrant
- High debt levels from luxury resort development
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