MGM vs WYNN Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MGM offers broader diversification across Las Vegas, regional U.S. casinos, Macau, and digital betting through BetMGM, while WYNN is a more concentrated, ultra-luxury operator with significant Macau exposure and a high-risk, high-reward new venture opening in the UAE.
MGM vs WYNN contrasts a diversified, multi-segment casino operator with growing digital betting exposure against a concentrated, luxury-focused operator making a bold bet on a new Middle Eastern gaming market.
WYNN holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MGM has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+5.20% vs -36.52%), though WYNN has the better forward P/E setup (18.45x vs 20.44x for MGM). WYNN leads on both revenue growth (6.90%) and operating margin (16.54%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for WYNN (+39.18%) than for MGM (+19.74%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want diversified exposure across Las Vegas, regional casinos, Macau, and online betting
- See long-term value in BetMGM's digital gaming growth
- Prefer a broader, less concentrated casino portfolio
- Want exposure to the ultra-luxury segment of the casino industry
- See significant upside in the new UAE resort opening
- Are comfortable with concentrated Macau exposure and execution risk
| Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.0 | 26.9 |
| AI ranki | #1305 | #2519 |
| Latest closei | $37.81 | $81.68 |
| 1M returni | -12.52% | -18.40% |
| 6M returni | +1.80% | -20.82% |
| 1Y returni | +5.20% | -36.52% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.52K (+5.2%) started 2025-09-18 | $6.35K (-36.5%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $9.17K (-8.3%) started 2021-09-20 | $10.44K (+4.4%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $17.04K (+70.4%) started 2016-09-19 | $9.78K (-2.2%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $10.82B | $9.81B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.62 | 22.84 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.44 | 18.45 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 1.25 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.19 | 2.59 |
| Analyst targeti | $50.63 | $132.58 |
| Target upsidei | +19.74% | +39.18% |
| Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 1.00% | 6.90% |
| Earnings growthi | 519.40% | 106.10% |
| EPS growthi | +519.40% | +106.10% |
| FCF margini | +4.95% | +6.42% |
| Operating margini | 6.79% | 16.54% |
| Profit margini | 2.40% | 6.05% |
| ROIC proxyi | 18.92% | N/A |
| Return on equityi | 18.92% | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.05% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 23.98% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Debt/equityi | 893.31 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.21 | 0.84 |
Over the past year, MGM and WYNN have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.51), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +5.20% | -36.52% |
| CAGRi | +5.21% | -36.54% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.84% | 33.48% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.20 | -1.33 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.34 | -1.78 | |
| Max drawdowni | 25.41% | 38.74% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.41% | 38.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.60% | 18.00% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.31% | 20.13% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.90% | 7.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.96% | 10.69% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -8.37% | +1.90% |
| CAGRi | -1.73% | +0.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 39.91% | 40.75% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.04 | 0.10 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.06 | 0.15 | |
| Max drawdowni | 49.33% | 46.95% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.72% | 38.74% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 23.01% | 18.16% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.20% | 21.22% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.22% | 12.25% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.36% | 23.01% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +60.51% | -12.62% |
| CAGRi | +4.85% | -1.34% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.75% | 46.63% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.24 | 0.11 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.34 | 0.16 | |
| Max drawdowni | 80.42% | 77.40% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.72% | 56.05% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 20.83% | 39.78% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.03% | 44.05% | |
| Max daily dropi | 33.61% | 24.43% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 60.51% | 46.80% |
| Category | MGM | WYNN |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MGM Resorts International | Wynn Resorts, Limited |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Resorts & Casinos |
| Core business | MGM Resorts operates a large portfolio of Las Vegas Strip and regional U.S. casino resorts, along with Macau operations through MGM China and a growing online sports betting and iGaming business through BetMGM. | Wynn Resorts operates ultra-luxury casino resorts in Las Vegas, Macau, and a new property in the United Arab Emirates, positioning itself at the high end of the gaming and hospitality market. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Las Vegas Strip convention and leisure demand, BetMGM's path to digital gaming profitability, and MGM's regional casino portfolio performance. | Investors track Macau VIP and mass-market gaming revenue recovery, the opening and ramp-up of Wynn Al Marjan Island in the UAE, and the company's premium positioning versus broader market demand. |
- Largest Las Vegas Strip footprint among major operators
- BetMGM provides growing exposure to U.S. online sports betting and iGaming
- Diversified across Las Vegas, regional U.S., and Macau markets
- Ultra-luxury brand positioning commands premium pricing and customer loyalty
- First-mover advantage with the new UAE resort opening in a previously untapped gaming market
- Significant Macau exposure provides leverage to a Chinese gaming recovery
- BetMGM has required significant investment to reach profitability amid intense competition
- Regional casino segment faces slower growth than Strip operations
- Macau recovery pace remains a swing factor for international results
- Heavy reliance on Macau makes results sensitive to Chinese economic and travel conditions
- UAE resort carries substantial execution and ramp-up risk as a new market entrant
- High debt levels from luxury resort development
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.