LVS vs MGM Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Las Vegas Sands and MGM Resorts are both major casino operators, but Las Vegas Sands concentrates its integrated resorts in Macau and Singapore to capture Asian gaming demand, while MGM Resorts anchors its business in the Las Vegas Strip and US regional markets, supplemented by its BetMGM digital sports betting venture.
Las Vegas Sands offers concentrated exposure to the long-term growth of Asian gaming markets in Macau and Singapore, while MGM Resorts offers exposure to the US Las Vegas Strip and regional casino market plus a stake in the growing digital sports betting industry. Consider whether you prefer Asian gaming exposure or US market and digital betting diversification.
LVS holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MGM has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+8.16% vs -19.87%), though LVS has the better forward P/E setup (12.78x vs 20.44x for MGM). On fundamentals, MGM is growing revenue faster (1.00%), while LVS maintains the higher operating margin (19.66%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for LVS (+31.15%) than for MGM (+19.74%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want concentrated exposure to the long-term growth of Macau and Singapore gaming markets
- Believe an integrated resort model combining gaming, retail, and convention facilities drives durable revenue diversification
- Are comfortable with regulatory and geopolitical risk tied to Chinese gaming policy
- Value a strong balance sheet supporting continued Asian property reinvestment
- Want exposure to the dominant Las Vegas Strip casino and hospitality market
- Believe BetMGM's digital sports betting and iGaming venture offers meaningful long-term growth potential
- Prefer diversification across gaming, hotel, and entertainment revenue streams
- Are comfortable with sensitivity to US consumer discretionary spending cycles
| Metric | LVS | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.1 | 37.9 |
| AI ranki | #1145 | #1303 |
| Latest closei | $44.37 | $41.22 |
| 1M returni | -3.23% | -7.39% |
| 6M returni | -19.53% | +11.02% |
| 1Y returni | -19.87% | +8.16% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | LVS | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.05K (-19.5%) started 2025-09-04 | $11.13K (+11.3%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $10.65K (+6.5%) started 2021-09-07 | $9.5K (-5.0%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $13.02K (+30.2%) started 2016-09-06 | $18.74K (+87.4%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | LVS | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $29.17B | $10.82B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 17.46 | 25.62 |
| Forward P/Ei | 12.78 | 20.44 |
| Price/Salesi | 2.54 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.02 | 2.19 |
| Analyst targeti | $59.07 | $50.63 |
| Target upsidei | +31.15% | +19.74% |
| Metric | LVS | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | -0.70% | 1.00% |
| Earnings growthi | -19.80% | 519.40% |
| EPS growthi | -19.80% | +519.40% |
| FCF margini | +16.13% | +4.95% |
| Operating margini | 19.66% | 6.79% |
| Profit margini | 12.59% | 2.40% |
| ROIC proxyi | 122.87% | 18.92% |
| Return on equityi | 122.87% | 18.92% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.71% | N/A |
| Betai | 0.83 | 1.30 |
| Debt/equityi | 1703.90 | 893.31 |
| Current ratioi | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.93 | 1.21 |
Over the past year, LVS and MGM have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.37), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | LVS | MGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -19.49% | +11.32% |
| CAGRi | -19.51% | +11.33% | |
| Volatilityi | 34.95% | 37.90% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.57 | 0.35 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.75 | 0.59 | |
| Max drawdowni | 36.95% | 19.57% | |
| Current drawdowni | 36.15% | 18.68% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.05% | 7.24% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 21.58% | 8.66% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.96% | 6.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 12.06% | 9.96% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +2.52% | -5.07% |
| CAGRi | +0.50% | -1.04% | |
| Volatilityi | 40.30% | 39.97% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.10 | 0.06 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.15 | 0.09 | |
| Max drawdowni | 51.18% | 49.33% | |
| Current drawdowni | 36.15% | 19.02% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 20.19% | 22.88% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.88% | 25.14% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.96% | 13.22% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.58% | 20.36% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +1.43% | +76.54% |
| CAGRi | +0.14% | +5.85% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.73% | 45.75% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.26 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 0.37 | |
| Max drawdowni | 58.77% | 80.42% | |
| Current drawdowni | 37.00% | 19.02% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 25.79% | 20.76% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 29.68% | 24.99% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.59% | 33.61% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.93% | 60.51% |
| Category | LVS | MGM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | MGM Resorts International |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Resorts & Casinos |
| Core business | A global casino resort operator with integrated resort properties concentrated in Macau and Singapore, offering gaming, hospitality, retail, and convention facilities catering primarily to Asian gaming markets. | A casino and hospitality operator with a large portfolio of resort properties concentrated on the Las Vegas Strip, complemented by regional US casinos and an online sports betting and iGaming business through its BetMGM joint venture. |
| Investor focus | Macau gaming revenue recovery trends, Singapore property performance, and capital allocation as the company reinvests in its Asian integrated resort portfolio. | Las Vegas Strip revenue and occupancy trends, regional casino performance, and growth and profitability progress at its BetMGM digital betting venture. |
- Concentrated presence in Macau and Singapore positions it to benefit from the long-term growth of Asian gaming and tourism demand
- Integrated resort model combining gaming, retail, dining, and convention facilities drives diversified revenue beyond the casino floor
- Strong balance sheet and free cash flow generation support ongoing reinvestment in its Asian properties
- Dominant portfolio of Las Vegas Strip properties captures a large share of the highest-value US gaming and convention market
- Diversified revenue mix across gaming, hotel, food and beverage, and entertainment reduces reliance on the casino floor alone
- BetMGM digital sports betting and iGaming venture provides exposure to the growing US online gambling market
- Heavy concentration in Macau exposes results to Chinese regulatory policy changes and travel restrictions
- Recovery in Asian gaming visitation has been uneven and sensitive to broader macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions
- Lacks meaningful US domestic casino operations, limiting diversification away from Asian market dependence
- Las Vegas Strip performance is sensitive to broader consumer discretionary spending and travel demand cycles
- Regional casino properties face competition from tribal gaming and other regional operators
- BetMGM has required ongoing investment to compete against larger-scale digital sports betting rivals
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