YUM vs QSR Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
YUM and QSR are both multi-brand QSR holding companies with highly franchised models across global markets. Yum's Taco Bell is the standout high-growth brand, while QSR's Tim Hortons provides stable Canadian dominance and Burger King represents a turnaround opportunity. Both offer diversified QSR exposure at different levels of brand vitality.
YUM vs QSR compares two multi-brand QSR holding companies with global franchised networks, both offering diversified fast food exposure but with different brand strength profiles and current growth dynamics.
YUM holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. QSR leads on both 1-year return (+15.81%) and forward P/E quality (17.80x vs 20.63x for YUM), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. YUM leads on both revenue growth (12.20%) and operating margin (32.78%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for YUM (+12.66%) than for QSR (+8.93%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want QSR exposure anchored by Taco Bell's strong unit economics and growth momentum
- Value KFC's massive international presence in high-growth emerging markets
- Appreciate Yum's history of consistent royalty income growth and dividend payments
- Want QSR exposure including Tim Hortons' dominant Canadian coffee franchise
- See potential in Burger King's U.S. turnaround through its franchise reinvestment program
- Value Popeyes' chicken growth momentum as a meaningful contributor to QSR's portfolio
| Metric | YUM | QSR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 50.8 | 42.4 |
| AI ranki | #495 | #946 |
| Latest closei | $137.99 | $72.88 |
| 1M returni | -5.44% | -5.47% |
| 6M returni | -11.69% | -1.69% |
| 1Y returni | -5.00% | +15.81% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | YUM | QSR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.5K (-5.0%) started 2025-09-18 | $11.58K (+15.8%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $12.56K (+25.6%) started 2021-09-20 | $11.81K (+18.1%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $29.94K (+199.4%) started 2016-09-19 | $16.07K (+60.7%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | YUM | QSR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $41.99B | $36.13B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 19.38 | 19.82 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.63 | 17.80 |
| Price/Salesi | 5.20 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 6.27 | 4.47 |
| Analyst targeti | $173.34 | $85.92 |
| Target upsidei | +12.66% | +8.93% |
| Metric | YUM | QSR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 12.20% | 4.60% |
| Earnings growthi | 131.60% | 151.20% |
| EPS growthi | +131.60% | +151.20% |
| FCF margini | +9.55% | +17.67% |
| Operating margini | 32.78% | 27.74% |
| Profit margini | 25.41% | 13.13% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 34.79% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 34.79% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.95% | 3.32% |
| Payout ratioi | 36.78% | 63.82% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| Debt/equityi | N/A | 290.10 |
| Current ratioi | 0.59 | 1.01 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.33 | 0.81 |
Over the past year, YUM and QSR have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.34), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | YUM | QSR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -5.00% | +15.81% |
| CAGRi | -5.01% | +15.82% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.60% | 24.45% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.27 | 0.54 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.39 | 0.78 | |
| Max drawdowni | 19.27% | 12.50% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.94% | 10.76% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.96% | 4.86% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.31% | 6.06% | |
| Max daily dropi | 4.41% | 6.15% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.55% | 6.71% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +17.38% | +18.14% |
| CAGRi | +3.26% | +3.39% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.13% | 23.08% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.05 | 0.07 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.06 | 0.09 | |
| Max drawdowni | 23.10% | 27.46% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.94% | 11.93% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.79% | 11.43% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.25% | 13.37% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.44% | 6.25% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.04% | 10.76% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +153.46% | +60.71% |
| CAGRi | +9.75% | +4.86% | |
| Volatilityi | 23.06% | 27.59% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.32 | 0.15 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.48 | 0.21 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.17% | 64.00% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.94% | 11.93% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.52% | 15.17% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.31% | 18.15% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.00% | 22.07% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.98% | 40.90% |
| Category | YUM | QSR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Yum! Brands, Inc. | Restaurant Brands International Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Core business | Yum! Brands is the world's largest restaurant company by number of locations, franchising KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill across more than 55,000 locations in 155 countries. | Restaurant Brands International (QSR) owns and franchises Burger King, Tim Hortons, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, and Firehouse Subs, operating tens of thousands of restaurants globally. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Yum's same-store sales growth across its three major brands, net new restaurant unit growth (particularly in international markets), digital platform adoption, and royalty income growth. | Investors track QSR's same-store sales performance across all four brands, Burger King's U.S. turnaround progress, Tim Hortons Canadian performance, and Popeyes' growth trajectory. |
- Taco Bell is the strongest growth brand in the Yum portfolio — a U.S. QSR with exceptional unit economics and loyal customer base
- KFC provides massive international exposure, particularly in China, India, and developing markets
- Highly franchised model provides stable royalty income with asset-light international growth
- Burger King is the world's second-largest hamburger QSR chain with massive global franchise scale
- Tim Hortons is the dominant Canadian QSR coffee and food chain with deeply loyal customer base
- Popeyes chicken sandwich momentum provided a significant sales catalyst and brand renaissance
- Pizza Hut has faced significant challenges competing in the crowded pizza delivery market against Domino's and delivery aggregators
- KFC and Pizza Hut U.S. same-store sales performance has been more mixed than Taco Bell
- China exposure for KFC creates meaningful concentration and geopolitical risk in one country
- Burger King U.S. has underperformed McDonald's for years and a major franchise reinvestment program is ongoing
- Significant debt from historical leveraged acquisitions constrains financial flexibility
- Managing four distinct brands with different growth profiles creates execution complexity
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