YUM vs DPZ Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Yum! Brands and Domino's are both major restaurant franchisors, but Yum! Brands operates a diversified portfolio spanning KFC, Taco Bell, and Pizza Hut, while Domino's concentrates entirely on pizza delivery and carryout with a heavily digital-first ordering model and an added supply chain business.
Yum! Brands offers exposure to a diversified global franchise portfolio spanning multiple restaurant concepts, while Domino's offers a concentrated bet on pizza delivery leadership backed by digital ordering strength and a supply chain revenue stream. Consider whether you prefer Yum!'s brand diversification or Domino's focused digital and delivery model.
YUM holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. YUM has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+1.57% vs -26.18%), though DPZ has the better forward P/E setup (16.77x vs 20.63x for YUM). YUM leads on both revenue growth (12.20%) and operating margin (32.78%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for YUM (+12.66%) than for DPZ (+8.65%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a diversified, asset-light global franchise portfolio
- Value high-margin royalty revenue generated with limited capital investment
- Believe international quick-service dining growth offers a long runway for unit expansion
- Prefer diversification across multiple established restaurant brands
- Want concentrated exposure to pizza delivery and carryout with industry-leading digital ordering
- Believe a focused, single-brand concept supports operational consistency at global scale
- Value the additional revenue diversification provided by the supply chain business
- Are comfortable with sensitivity to delivery competition and aggregator platform dynamics
| Metric | YUM | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 51.5 | 37.6 |
| AI ranki | #407 | #1389 |
| Latest closei | $149.70 | $313.61 |
| 1M returni | +6.45% | +5.80% |
| 3M returni | +0.52% | -5.81% |
| 6M returni | -6.60% | -14.74% |
| 1Y returni | +1.57% | -26.18% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | YUM | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.23K (+2.3%) started 2025-10-23 | $7.44K (-25.6%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $13.59K (+35.9%) started 2021-10-25 | $7.37K (-26.3%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $32.29K (+222.9%) started 2016-10-24 | $22.66K (+126.6%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | YUM | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $41.99B | $11.58B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 19.38 | 19.84 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.63 | 16.77 |
| Price/Salesi | 5.20 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 6.27 | 3.29 |
| Analyst targeti | $173.34 | $380.29 |
| Target upsidei | +12.66% | +8.65% |
| Metric | YUM | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 12.20% | 4.30% |
| Earnings growthi | 131.60% | 6.80% |
| EPS growthi | +131.60% | +6.80% |
| FCF margini | +9.55% | +10.57% |
| Operating margini | 32.78% | 19.08% |
| Profit margini | 25.41% | 11.86% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | N/A |
| Return on equityi | N/A | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.95% | 2.27% |
| Payout ratioi | 36.78% | 42.48% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 0.55 | 0.95 |
| Debt/equityi | N/A | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 0.59 | 1.54 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.33 | 0.80 |
Over the past year, YUM and DPZ have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.41), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | YUM | DPZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +2.28% | -25.64% |
| CAGRi | +2.28% | -25.67% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.75% | 31.23% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.03 | -0.94 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.05 | -1.28 | |
| Max drawdowni | 19.27% | 35.44% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.98% | 28.47% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 6.83% | 17.51% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 8.48% | 20.57% | |
| Max daily dropi | 4.41% | 8.84% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.55% | 10.58% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +26.98% | -29.64% |
| CAGRi | +4.90% | -6.80% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.25% | 30.24% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.12 | -0.23 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.17 | -0.32 | |
| Max drawdowni | 23.10% | 47.81% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.98% | 41.97% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.06% | 26.30% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.49% | 28.87% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.44% | 13.57% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.04% | 17.76% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +175.24% | +106.14% |
| CAGRi | +10.66% | +7.50% | |
| Volatilityi | 23.11% | 30.50% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.36 | 0.24 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.53 | 0.35 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.17% | 47.81% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.98% | 41.97% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.61% | 16.89% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.41% | 21.52% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.00% | 13.57% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.98% | 17.76% |
| Category | YUM | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Yum! Brands, Inc. | Domino's Pizza, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Core business | A global franchisor operating restaurant brands including KFC, Taco Bell, and Pizza Hut, generating revenue primarily through franchise royalties and fees rather than owning and operating the vast majority of its restaurant locations. | A global pizza delivery and carryout franchisor that operates a heavily digital-first ordering model, generating revenue through franchise royalties, supply chain sales to franchisees, and a smaller base of company-owned stores. |
| Investor focus | Global unit growth across its brand portfolio, franchise royalty revenue trends, and digital ordering adoption across international markets. | Global same-store sales growth, digital order penetration, and supply chain segment profitability as a source of diversified revenue beyond royalties. |
- Asset-light franchise model generates high-margin royalty revenue with limited capital investment per new unit
- Diversified portfolio of well-known restaurant brands reduces dependence on any single concept's performance
- Extensive international franchise footprint provides exposure to long-term global quick-service dining growth
- Industry-leading digital ordering infrastructure drives a large share of sales through convenient app and online channels
- Supply chain business selling ingredients and supplies to franchisees provides an additional high-visibility revenue stream
- Focused single-brand pizza concept with a simple menu supports operational consistency across its global franchise network
- Franchise model provides less direct control over individual restaurant operations and customer experience consistency
- Same-store sales growth varies significantly across its different brands and international markets
- International exposure introduces currency translation and geopolitical risk across a broad footprint of countries
- Concentrated pizza delivery focus makes results more sensitive to shifts in delivery competition and aggregator platforms
- US same-store sales growth has been more challenged in recent periods amid market saturation concerns
- International master franchise partners introduce less direct control over execution in certain overseas markets
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