ABNB vs UBER Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
ABNB offers a highly asset-light, high-margin marketplace model concentrated in travel lodging, while UBER operates a more capital- and labor-intensive but more diversified business spanning ride-hailing, delivery, and freight. Both are leading sharing-economy platforms but face different regulatory and competitive dynamics.
ABNB vs UBER contrasts a high-margin, asset-light lodging marketplace against a diversified, larger-scale mobility and delivery platform with broader but lower-margin operations.
ABNB holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. ABNB has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+35.22% vs -30.87%), though UBER has the better forward P/E setup (17.41x vs 27.51x for ABNB). ABNB leads on both revenue growth (16.50%) and operating margin (21.01%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for UBER (+33.17%) than for ABNB (+7.51%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a high-margin, asset-light travel marketplace
- Value Airbnb's strong free cash flow and net cash balance sheet
- Believe new category expansion can reaccelerate growth
- Want the broadest diversification across ride-hailing, delivery, and freight
- Value Uber's global scale and growing advertising revenue stream
- Prefer exposure to daily-use mobility and delivery rather than discretionary travel
| Metric | ABNB | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.5 | 38.0 |
| AI ranki | #1266 | #1390 |
| Latest closei | $171.11 | $66.71 |
| 1M returni | +5.34% | -2.06% |
| 3M returni | +13.59% | -6.84% |
| 6M returni | +23.22% | -9.77% |
| 1Y returni | +35.22% | -30.87% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ABNB | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.49K (+34.9%) started 2025-11-03 | $6.69K (-33.1%) started 2025-11-03 |
| 5Y ago | $9.9K (-1.0%) started 2021-11-03 | $14.59K (+45.9%) started 2021-11-03 |
| 10Y ago | $11.82K (+18.2%) started 2020-12-10 | $16.05K (+60.5%) started 2019-05-10 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ABNB | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $101.91B | $156.15B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 38.95 | 16.77 |
| Forward P/Ei | 27.51 | 17.41 |
| Price/Salesi | 7.73 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 6.90 | 2.97 |
| Analyst targeti | $182.98 | $101.81 |
| Target upsidei | +7.51% | +33.17% |
| Metric | ABNB | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 16.50% | 12.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 33.40% | 85.50% |
| EPS growthi | +33.40% | +85.50% |
| FCF margini | +24.37% | +13.12% |
| Operating margini | 21.01% | 13.32% |
| Profit margini | 20.45% | 17.34% |
| ROIC proxyi | 34.54% | 37.16% |
| Return on equityi | 34.54% | 37.16% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Debt/equityi | 32.00 | 51.87 |
| Current ratioi | 1.41 | 0.84 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.68 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, ABNB and UBER have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.47), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ABNB | UBER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +34.94% | -33.10% |
| CAGRi | +35.07% | -33.19% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.34% | 35.15% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.89 | -1.11 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.43 | -1.55 | |
| Max drawdowni | 21.48% | 34.55% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.18% | 33.10% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 5.84% | 23.78% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 7.58% | 24.70% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.56% | 6.89% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.70% | 11.57% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -1.02% | +45.91% |
| CAGRi | -0.20% | +7.85% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.37% | 44.74% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.12 | 0.29 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.17 | 0.44 | |
| Max drawdowni | 60.19% | 56.64% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.42% | 33.36% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 35.10% | 19.90% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 36.59% | 24.34% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.43% | 11.58% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.63% | 24.15% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +18.24% | +60.48% |
| CAGRi | +2.88% | +6.52% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.77% | 49.99% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.19 | 0.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.28 | 0.43 | |
| Max drawdowni | 61.96% | 68.05% | |
| Current drawdowni | 21.09% | 33.36% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 35.40% | 25.79% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 37.30% | 30.84% | |
| Max daily dropi | 13.43% | 21.63% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.63% | 43.52% |
| Category | ABNB | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Airbnb, Inc. | Uber Technologies, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Technology |
| Industry | Travel Services | Software - Application |
| Core business | Airbnb operates the world's leading short-term home and experience rental marketplace, connecting hosts and guests globally, with an asset-light model that generates high incremental margins. | Uber operates the world's largest ride-hailing platform alongside Uber Eats food delivery and a growing freight brokerage business, giving it the broadest diversification among gig-economy platforms. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Airbnb's gross booking value growth, nights and experiences booked, host supply growth, and expansion into new categories beyond lodging. | Investors track Uber's combined mobility and delivery gross bookings growth, advertising revenue ramp, and continued margin expansion across all segments. |
- Asset-light marketplace model generates high margins and strong free cash flow
- Dominant global brand in alternative accommodations
- Significant net cash position supports buybacks and new category investment
- Largest global scale across both ride-hailing and food delivery segments
- Diversified business mix reduces reliance on any single market
- Growing high-margin advertising business adds incremental profitability
- Facing increasing regulatory restrictions on short-term rentals in major cities globally
- Growth has decelerated from pandemic-era highs as the travel rebound normalizes
- Competition from hotels and other booking platforms in the broader travel market
- Highly competitive markets in both ride-hailing and delivery pressure take rates
- Regulatory risk around driver classification remains an ongoing overhang globally
- Freight segment has been a smaller, less consistently profitable part of the business
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