UBER vs CART Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
UBER is a global, diversified on-demand marketplace spanning ride-hailing and food/grocery delivery that has reached sustained profitability, while CART is a more focused grocery delivery and retail media platform with a growing high-margin advertising business but facing structural headwinds from grocery chains building their own delivery capabilities.
UBER vs CART compares a global, diversified on-demand delivery and mobility platform against a specialized grocery delivery and retail media company, both competing for a share of the same delivery customer wallet.
CART holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CART leads on both 1-year return (+56.24%) and forward P/E quality (10.47x vs 17.41x for UBER), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. CART leads on both revenue growth (14.10%) and operating margin (14.09%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for UBER (+33.17%) than for CART (+12.27%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a global, diversified on-demand mobility and delivery platform
- Value Uber's demonstrated path to sustained profitability and free cash flow
- Believe Uber's scale advantages will compound as autonomous vehicles eventually reduce driver costs
- Want focused exposure to grocery delivery and retail media advertising
- Believe Instacart's advertising business will grow into a durable, high-margin revenue stream
- See value in Instacart's retailer partnerships and grocery-specific depth
| Metric | UBER | CART |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 38.0 | 37.6 |
| AI ranki | #1390 | #1641 |
| Latest closei | $66.71 | $57.59 |
| 1M returni | -2.06% | +30.15% |
| 3M returni | -6.84% | +26.88% |
| 6M returni | -9.77% | +33.03% |
| 1Y returni | -30.87% | +56.24% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | UBER | CART |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.69K (-33.1%) started 2025-11-03 | $15.38K (+53.8%) started 2025-11-03 |
| 5Y ago | $14.59K (+45.9%) started 2021-11-03 | $17.09K (+70.9%) started 2023-09-19 |
| 10Y ago | $16.05K (+60.5%) started 2019-05-10 | $17.09K (+70.9%) started 2023-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | UBER | CART |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $156.15B | $11.87B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 16.77 | 28.01 |
| Forward P/Ei | 17.41 | 10.47 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.97 | 2.75 |
| Analyst targeti | $101.81 | $57.56 |
| Target upsidei | +33.17% | +12.27% |
| Metric | UBER | CART |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 12.20% | 14.10% |
| Earnings growthi | 85.50% | 8.10% |
| EPS growthi | +85.50% | +8.10% |
| FCF margini | +13.12% | +22.99% |
| Operating margini | 13.32% | 14.09% |
| Profit margini | 17.34% | 12.05% |
| ROIC proxyi | 37.16% | 16.00% |
| Return on equityi | 37.16% | 16.00% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| Debt/equityi | 51.87 | 1.35 |
| Current ratioi | 0.84 | 2.28 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.65 | 1.97 |
Over the past year, UBER and CART have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.24), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | UBER | CART |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -33.10% | +53.82% |
| CAGRi | -33.19% | +54.03% | |
| Volatilityi | 35.15% | 43.78% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -1.11 | 1.11 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.55 | 1.73 | |
| Max drawdowni | 34.55% | 28.78% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.10% | 5.40% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 23.78% | 9.03% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.70% | 11.64% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.89% | 8.18% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.57% | 10.70% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +45.91% | +70.89% |
| CAGRi | +7.85% | +18.72% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.74% | 45.44% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | 0.51 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.44 | 0.72 | |
| Max drawdowni | 56.64% | 38.04% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.36% | 5.40% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 19.90% | 16.23% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.34% | 18.64% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.58% | 12.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.15% | 22.48% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +60.48% | +70.89% |
| CAGRi | +6.52% | +18.72% | |
| Volatilityi | 49.99% | 45.44% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.28 | 0.51 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.43 | 0.72 | |
| Max drawdowni | 68.05% | 38.04% | |
| Current drawdowni | 33.36% | 5.40% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 25.79% | 16.23% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 30.84% | 18.64% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.63% | 12.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 43.52% | 22.48% |
| Category | UBER | CART |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Uber Technologies, Inc. | Maplebear Inc. (Instacart) |
| Sector | Technology | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Software - Application | Internet Retail |
| Core business | Uber operates a global two-sided marketplace connecting riders with drivers for ride-hailing and connecting consumers with restaurants, grocery stores, and retailers for on-demand delivery through Uber Eats, across 70+ countries. | Instacart operates a grocery delivery and pickup platform connecting consumers with personal shoppers at local grocery stores, along with a fast-growing advertising business where grocery brands pay for placement within the Instacart marketplace. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Uber's gross bookings growth across both mobility and delivery segments, take rate trends, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow improvement, and autonomous vehicle strategy. | Investors track Instacart's advertising revenue growth (the higher-margin business), grocery delivery order volumes and take rates, and how the platform defends its position as grocery chains build their own delivery capabilities. |
- Global scale across ride-hailing and food/grocery delivery creates powerful network density
- Two-sided marketplace with complementary mobility and delivery segments shares driver supply
- Reached sustained profitability and strong free cash flow generation, validating the business model
- Leading grocery delivery platform with broad retailer partnerships across thousands of U.S. grocery stores
- Fast-growing, high-margin advertising business adds a durable revenue stream beyond delivery fees
- Grocery-specific focus provides depth in category compared to broader delivery platforms
- Driver classification and labor regulation remains a persistent legal and cost risk in key markets
- Autonomous vehicle competition (Waymo, Tesla) could disrupt the ride-hailing driver marketplace long-term
- Grocery delivery faces intense competition from Instacart, DoorDash, and retailers' own delivery networks
- Grocery retail partners increasingly building their own first-party delivery capabilities reduces reliance on Instacart
- Grocery delivery unit economics remain challenging compared to restaurant food delivery
- Faces competition from broader delivery platforms (Uber Eats, DoorDash) adding grocery delivery options
Compare more than two at a time
This page is a fixed writeup on UBER and CART. Our comparison engine is the interactive version: load up to five tickers, switch timeframes, and get the correlation, drawdown, and overlap analysis that a static page can't show.
Add three more names beside UBER and CART, mixing stocks and ETFs in the same table — useful when the real question is which of a whole peer group to own.
AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
For ETFs, a top-holdings comparison that exposes hidden overlap between funds. Every comparison exports to CSV for your own spreadsheet work.
Two comparisons a week are free without an account. A 14-day trial removes the limit and adds AI price forecasts, stock rankings, saved watchlists, and the intrinsic value calculator — no credit card required.
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Full valuation workup with AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, and bull/bear case — free preview, premium data from $3.99.