Data as of:
LIVE
FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc. · Consumer Services - Home Warranty
$78.29
-4.85% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated · Industrials - Commercial Facility Services
$49.77
+5.40% this month
Comparison scoreboard
FTDR LEADS 4/5AI Scorei
FTDR ✓43.9
ABM 34.2
1Y Returni
FTDR ✓+16.71%
ABM +12.00%
Fwd P/Ei
FTDR 15.70
ABM ✓11.36
Target Up.i
FTDR ✓+19.41%
ABM +13.15%
Op. Margini
FTDR ✓28.22%
ABM 4.29%
Metrics last refreshed: 9/20/2026
Quick take
FTDR vs ABM Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
FTDR (Frontdoor) and ABM (ABM Industries) are both property-related services companies but with different business models — Frontdoor sells home warranty subscriptions protecting homeowners from unexpected appliance and system repair costs, while ABM provides ongoing commercial facility services (janitorial, maintenance, parking) to large commercial buildings under multi-year contracts. Frontdoor is a residential subscription services company; ABM is a commercial facility services labor business.
FTDR vs ABM is residential warranty subscription improving through technology (Frontdoor's home warranty subscriptions covering household systems with technology investment to reduce claim costs through DIY guidance) versus diversified commercial facility services at scale (ABM Industries' labor-intensive facility services contracts across office, healthcare, airports, and industrial with EV charging as an emerging growth adjacency) — residential subscription versus commercial labor services.
Live analysis · updated 9/20/2026
FTDR holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. FTDR has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+16.71% vs +12.00%), though ABM has the better forward P/E setup (11.36x vs 15.70x for FTDR). FTDR leads on both revenue growth (4.50%) and operating margin (28.22%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for FTDR (+19.41%) than for ABM (+13.15%).
Normalized 1Y performance
FTDR
ABM
Recent returns
FTDR
ABM
Analyst price targets & sentiment
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
FTDR
Price target range
analyst mean$97.40
current price$78.29
+19.4% upside to analyst mean
ABM
Price target range
analyst mean$55.93
current price$49.77
+13.1% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
FTDR may suit investors who:
- Want residential home services subscription exposure with a recurring revenue model and the largest scale in home warranty — Frontdoor's market leadership and contractor network create advantages in the home warranty category
- Value Frontdoor's technology investment in AI-based remote diagnosis as potentially improving the gross margin structure by reducing expensive on-site dispatch for simpler maintenance issues
- See home warranty as a category that grows with housing stock age (older homes need more maintenance) and homebuyer transaction volume as sellers offer warranties to facilitate sales
ABM may suit investors who:
- Want a diversified commercial facility services company with multi-year contract revenue across commercial real estate, healthcare, airports, and industrial facilities
- Value ABM's EV charging infrastructure services as a growing revenue opportunity as corporate campuses and commercial facilities electrify their vehicle fleets
- Accept labor intensity and office market exposure as manageable risks given ABM's portfolio diversification and contract revenue stability in healthcare, aviation, and industrial segments
Performance & AI score
| Metric | FTDR | ABM |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 43.9 | 34.2 |
| AI ranki | #840 | #1898 |
| Latest closei | $78.29 | $49.77 |
| 1M returni | -4.85% | +5.40% |
| 6M returni | +37.01% | +34.99% |
| 1Y returni | +16.71% | +12.00% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | FTDR | ABM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.67K (+16.7%) started 2025-09-18 | $11.5K (+15.0%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $17.59K (+75.9%) started 2021-09-20 | $13.84K (+38.4%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $26.1K (+161.0%) started 2018-09-13 | $19.54K (+95.4%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | FTDR | ABM |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $5.62B | $2.9B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 21.52 | 17.91 |
| Forward P/Ei | 15.70 | 11.36 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.81 | 0.51 |
| Analyst targeti | $97.40 | $55.93 |
| Target upsidei | +19.41% | +13.15% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | FTDR | ABM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 4.50% | 4.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 18.90% | 25.60% |
| EPS growthi | +18.90% | +25.60% |
| FCF margini | +15.55% | +3.07% |
| Operating margini | 28.22% | 4.29% |
| Profit margini | 12.77% | 1.82% |
| ROIC proxyi | 101.86% | 9.19% |
| Return on equityi | 101.86% | 9.19% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 2.35% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 41.12% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | 5 yrs |
| Betai | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Debt/equityi | 416.90 | 105.13 |
| Current ratioi | 1.59 | 1.42 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.49 | 1.28 |
Correlation
Over the past year, FTDR and ABM have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.25), based on daily returns.
1Y
0.25
-1.0+1.0
5Y
0.24
-1.0+1.0
10Y
0.24
-1.0+1.0
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
FTDR max drawdowni29.23%
ABM max drawdowni22.00%
FTDR max wkly dropi26.54%
ABM max wkly dropi12.60%
5Y risk snapshot
FTDR max drawdowni56.12%
ABM max drawdowni34.37%
FTDR max wkly dropi29.05%
ABM max wkly dropi23.33%
10Y risk snapshot
FTDR max drawdowni66.39%
ABM max drawdowni52.00%
FTDR max wkly dropi40.72%
ABM max wkly dropi31.06%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | FTDR | ABM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +16.71% | +12.00% |
| CAGRi | +16.72% | +12.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 46.00% | 28.18% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.47 | 0.39 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.71 | 0.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 29.23% | 22.00% | |
| Current drawdowni | 13.81% | 1.64% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.99% | 8.07% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.43% | 10.14% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.94% | 9.91% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.54% | 12.60% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +75.89% | +24.03% |
| CAGRi | +11.97% | +4.41% | |
| Volatilityi | 39.35% | 31.06% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.15 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.55 | 0.21 | |
| Max drawdowni | 56.12% | 34.37% | |
| Current drawdowni | 13.81% | 11.40% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.30% | 15.19% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 27.10% | 16.95% | |
| Max daily dropi | 19.17% | 13.64% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 29.05% | 23.33% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +160.97% | +56.31% |
| CAGRi | +12.72% | +4.57% | |
| Volatilityi | 41.78% | 33.95% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.39 | 0.17 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.57 | 0.24 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.39% | 52.00% | |
| Current drawdowni | 13.81% | 11.40% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 26.93% | 14.90% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.94% | 17.26% | |
| Max daily dropi | 29.18% | 17.82% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 40.72% | 31.06% |
Business comparison
| Category | FTDR | ABM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Frontdoor, Inc. | ABM Industries Incorporated |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Industrials |
| Industry | Personal Services | Specialty Business Services |
| Core business | Frontdoor is the largest home warranty service company in the U.S. — providing annual subscriptions (American Home Shield, Frontdoor brands) that cover repair or replacement of home appliances (refrigerators, washers, dryers, ovens) and home systems (HVAC, plumbing, electrical, water heaters) when they break down due to normal wear and tear. When a covered item fails, subscribers call Frontdoor, which dispatches a vetted contractor from its network to diagnose and repair or replace the item. | ABM Industries is one of the largest commercial facility services companies in the U.S. — providing janitorial services, engineering and maintenance, parking management, landscaping, lighting, and EV charging infrastructure services to commercial office buildings, healthcare facilities, airports, schools, data centers, and industrial facilities. ABM's 100,000+ workforce provides on-site services under multi-year service contracts. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Frontdoor's customer count and renewal rates, revenue per customer (contract size), gross margin (dependent on the balance between subscription revenue and actual repair/replacement costs), contractor network management, and the AI-based platform investments Frontdoor is making to enable more DIY guidance and reduce service dispatch costs. | Investors track ABM's organic revenue growth by industry group (B&I — Business & Industry, aviation, technology/manufacturing, education, healthcare), operating margin improvement, contract retention rates, workforce management efficiency, and the EV infrastructure services segment as a growth vector tied to EV fleet adoption. |
FTDR strengths
- Largest home warranty customer base creates contractor network advantage — Frontdoor's scale gives it leverage with its contractor network; Frontdoor dispatches enough volume to negotiate favorable contractor pricing, creating a cost advantage versus smaller competitors
- Home warranty provides predictable subscription revenue — annual home warranty contracts create recurring revenue that is relatively predictable; renewal rates for satisfied customers are high, and real estate transactions (seller discounts) create new customer acquisition opportunities
- Technology investment to evolve beyond traditional dispatching — Frontdoor is investing in an app that enables AI-powered remote diagnosis and DIY guidance, potentially allowing homeowners to fix simpler issues without a technician visit, reducing Frontdoor's direct service delivery costs while improving customer experience
ABM strengths
- Diversified commercial facility services across multiple end markets — ABM's revenue is spread across office buildings, airports, healthcare, education, and industrial, providing resilience when any single market faces headwinds
- Long-term contracts with established commercial relationships — ABM's multi-year service contracts with large commercial real estate owners, corporate campuses, and institutional clients provide revenue visibility and switching cost protection
- EV charging infrastructure as a growth adjacency — ABM is building an EV charging installation and maintenance services business, positioning it as a services provider for corporate and fleet EV charging deployment
Risks to watch — FTDR
- Claims severity and frequency volatility — Frontdoor's gross margins depend on the actual cost of repairs and replacements it must cover; HVAC replacement claims ($5,000-10,000) and compressor failures are expensive; unusually hot or cold weather increases HVAC claims and pressures margins
- Customer acquisition cost — attracting new home warranty customers is expensive through real estate channel (providing warranties to homebuyers) and direct marketing; high churn in the first year of homeownership makes new customer economics challenging
- Competition from independent home warranty providers and home insurance bundled programs — Choice Home Warranty, 2-10 Home Buyers Warranty, and insurance companies offering warranty add-ons compete with Frontdoor
Risks to watch — ABM
- Labor intensity and wage inflation exposure — ABM's services are highly labor-intensive; minimum wage increases and labor market tightness compress operating margins; ABM must successfully pass through labor cost increases in contract renewals
- Office market weakness from remote work trends — ABM's largest customer segment (commercial office facilities) has faced headwinds from office vacancy increases as hybrid and remote work reduces per-square-foot cleaning and facility requirements
- Contract pricing discipline in competitive bids — commercial facility services is a competitive market; ABM must balance winning new contracts against maintaining margins in an environment where customers seek to reduce facility costs
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