CHWY vs WOOF Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
CHWY is the dominant online pet product retailer with exceptional customer loyalty and a growing health services business, while WOOF (Petco) is the brick-and-mortar pet retailer expanding its health and wellness services but carrying significant debt. Both serve the large and growing U.S. pet care market but with very different channel strategies and financial profiles.
CHWY vs WOOF compares the online pet retail champion with an incumbent physical retail chain, both competing for pet owner spending in a large and growing category.
WOOF holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. WOOF leads on both 1-year return (-15.41%) and forward P/E quality (9.47x vs 11.73x for CHWY), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. CHWY leads on both revenue growth (7.30%) and operating margin (2.46%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for WOOF (+36.47%) than for CHWY (+30.58%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want the leading online pet retailer with exceptional customer loyalty and Autoship recurring revenue
- Value Chewy's expanding veterinary and pharmacy services as higher-margin growth vectors
- Believe online pet product purchasing will continue taking share from physical pet retail
- See recovery value in Petco's physical retail and health services network at a discounted valuation
- Believe pet grooming and veterinary services are defensible in-store experiences that sustain physical retail relevance
- Are comfortable with higher leverage and execution risk in a brick-and-mortar pet retail turnaround
| Metric | CHWY | WOOF |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 25.6 | 23.5 |
| AI ranki | #2705 | #3703 |
| Latest closei | $22.05 | $2.69 |
| 1M returni | +21.35% | +22.83% |
| 3M returni | -8.51% | -9.12% |
| 6M returni | -10.15% | -1.47% |
| 1Y returni | -33.02% | -15.41% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CHWY | WOOF |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.53K (-34.7%) started 2025-11-04 | $8.46K (-15.4%) started 2025-11-03 |
| 5Y ago | $2.77K (-72.3%) started 2021-11-04 | $1.05K (-89.5%) started 2021-11-04 |
| 10Y ago | $6.3K (-37.0%) started 2019-06-14 | $914.97 (-90.9%) started 2021-01-14 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CHWY | WOOF |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $8.81B | $751.04M |
| Trailing P/Ei | 33.74 | 131.50 |
| Forward P/Ei | 11.73 | 9.47 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| Analyst targeti | $28.64 | $3.59 |
| Target upsidei | +30.58% | +36.47% |
| Metric | CHWY | WOOF |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 7.30% | 0.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 41.50% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | +41.50% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +3.44% | +2.04% |
| Operating margini | 2.46% | 1.64% |
| Profit margini | 2.09% | 0.09% |
| ROIC proxyi | 71.99% | 0.49% |
| Return on equityi | 71.99% | 0.49% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.00% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 1.38 | 1.54 |
| Debt/equityi | 313.41 | 241.06 |
| Current ratioi | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.38 | 0.18 |
Over the past year, CHWY and WOOF have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.26), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CHWY | WOOF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -34.74% | -15.41% |
| CAGRi | -34.80% | -15.42% | |
| Volatilityi | 47.37% | 60.11% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.77 | -0.07 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -1.07 | -0.13 | |
| Max drawdowni | 50.49% | 39.78% | |
| Current drawdowni | 37.66% | 25.69% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 28.34% | 22.27% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 31.94% | 24.01% | |
| Max daily dropi | 10.83% | 9.79% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 14.69% | 19.34% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -72.31% | -89.51% |
| CAGRi | -22.65% | -36.31% | |
| Volatilityi | 60.81% | 74.01% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.20 | -0.31 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.30 | -0.48 | |
| Max drawdowni | 81.17% | 94.16% | |
| Current drawdowni | 72.31% | 89.53% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 59.47% | 72.86% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 60.98% | 76.32% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.60% | 28.91% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.81% | 29.82% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -36.98% | -90.85% |
| CAGRi | -6.06% | -33.78% | |
| Volatilityi | 60.54% | 70.95% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.12 | -0.30 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.18 | -0.46 | |
| Max drawdowni | 87.37% | 94.90% | |
| Current drawdowni | 81.42% | 90.85% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 55.64% | 68.77% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 61.78% | 73.64% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.60% | 28.91% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.81% | 29.82% |
| Category | CHWY | WOOF |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Chewy, Inc. | Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Internet Retail | Specialty Retail |
| Core business | Chewy is the largest online-only pet food and supplies retailer in the United States, known for its Autoship subscription program, exceptional customer service, and growing veterinary telehealth service (Connect with a Vet) and pharmacy services. | Petco operates a chain of physical pet stores across the United States supplemented by an online channel, offering pet food, supplies, grooming, veterinary services, and training, positioning itself as a pet health and wellness company. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Chewy's net sales per active customer, Autoship subscription penetration, active customer count trends, and the monetization of its veterinary and pharmacy services as higher-margin expansion opportunities. | Investors track Petco's comparable store sales, gross margin trends as supply chain normalizes, and the performance of its veterinary hospital expansion as a higher-value service offering. |
- Leading online pet retailer with highly loyal customer base and exceptional Net Promoter Score from superior customer service
- Autoship subscription program creates predictable recurring revenue and reduces customer acquisition cost
- Expanding into pet health services (pharmacy, telehealth) adds higher-margin revenue alongside commodity pet food
- Physical store network provides a local pet services hub for grooming, veterinary visits, and training that online competitors cannot easily replicate
- Rebranding as pet health and wellness differentiates from pure product retail
- Petco branded products provide better margins than national brands
- Pet industry growth moderated from COVID-era highs as pandemic pet adoption has normalized
- Profitability has been challenging as Chewy invests heavily in logistics infrastructure and marketing
- Competition from Amazon and PetSmart's online business pressures market share and pricing
- High debt load from its private equity ownership period constrains financial flexibility
- Physical retail model is challenged by ongoing shift to online pet product purchasing
- Profitability has been challenged as the company navigates debt service and competitive pricing pressure
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