LIVE
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail
$111.65
+23.22% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
FIVE
Five Below, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail
$194.06
-9.48% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
DLTR
1
FIVE
3
Comparison scoreboard
FIVE LEADS 3/5AI Score
DLTR 41.1
FIVE ✓50.7
1Y Return
DLTR +13.52%
FIVE ✓+57.54%
Fwd P/E
DLTR ✓14.91
FIVE 19.94
Target Up.
DLTR +9.65%
FIVE ✓+34.33%
Op. Margin
DLTR 9.09%
FIVE N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take
DLTR vs FIVE Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
DLTR is a much larger discount retail chain serving broad consumer value needs but navigating Family Dollar challenges, while FIVE is a smaller, still-expanding specialty value retailer with a highly focused teen demographic and experiential shopping model. Both serve discount consumers but with very different customer bases and growth profiles.
DLTR vs FIVE compares a large, complex multi-banner discount retailer working through strategic restructuring against a smaller, more focused teen-oriented value retailer still in an active store expansion phase.
Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026
FIVE holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. FIVE has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+57.54% vs +13.52%), though DLTR trades at the lower forward P/E (14.91x vs 19.94x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for FIVE (+34.33%) than for DLTR (+9.65%).
Normalized 1Y performance
DLTR
FIVE
Recent returns
DLTR
FIVE
Analyst price targets & sentiment
DLTR
Price target range
analyst mean$125.00
current price$111.65
+9.6% upside to analyst mean
FIVE · 22 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.8/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$210.00
analyst high$325.00
analyst mean$260.68
current price$194.06
+34.3% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
DLTR may suit investors who:
- →Want large-scale discount retail exposure and see value in potential Family Dollar separation unlocking hidden value
- →Believe Dollar Tree banner will benefit from consumer trade-down during economic softness
- →See Dollar Tree's massive store footprint as a durable distribution and purchasing advantage
FIVE may suit investors who:
- →Want exposure to a still-expanding specialty value retailer with a distinct teen demographic focus
- →See meaningful store whitespace remaining for Five Below's next growth phase
- →Value the experiential, trend-driven shopping model as a differentiator versus general discount retailers
Performance & AI score
| Metric | DLTR | FIVE |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 41.1 | 50.7 |
| AI rank | #991 | #422 |
| Latest close | $111.65 | $194.06 |
| 1M return | +23.22% | -9.48% |
| 6M return | -13.01% | +8.69% |
| 1Y return | +13.52% | +57.54% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | DLTR | FIVE |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.45K (+14.5%) started 2025-06-18 | $15.75K (+57.5%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $11.03K (+10.3%) started 2021-06-21 | $10.59K (+5.9%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | $12.07K (+20.7%) started 2016-06-20 | $42.21K (+322.1%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | DLTR | FIVE |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $21.91B | $10.73B |
| Trailing P/E | 18.33 | 24.47 |
| Forward P/E | 14.91 | 19.94 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 2.11 |
| EV/Revenue | 1.44 | 2.24 |
| Analyst target | $125.00 | $260.68 |
| Target upside | +9.65% | +34.33% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | DLTR | FIVE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 7.20% | 32.50% |
| Earnings growth | 9.50% | 195.60% |
| EPS growth | +9.50% | +195.60% |
| FCF margin | +7.31% | +8.41% |
| Operating margin | 9.09% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 6.51% | 8.67% |
| ROIC proxy | 33.98% | 21.13% |
| Return on equity | 33.98% | 21.13% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.66 | 0.97 |
| Debt/equity | 216.52 | 86.43 |
| Current ratio | 1.16 | 2.10 |
| Quick ratio | 0.32 | 1.13 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
DLTR max drawdown38.53%
FIVE max drawdown24.71%
DLTR max wkly drop13.52%
FIVE max wkly drop17.56%
5Y risk snapshot
DLTR max drawdown64.84%
FIVE max drawdown76.40%
DLTR max wkly drop33.38%
FIVE max wkly drop27.32%
10Y risk snapshot
DLTR max drawdown64.84%
FIVE max drawdown76.40%
DLTR max wkly drop33.38%
FIVE max wkly drop41.16%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | DLTR | FIVE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +14.48% | +57.54% |
| CAGR | +14.50% | +57.59% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.42 | 1.25 | |
| Max drawdown | 38.53% | 24.71% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.37% | 13.78% | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.52% | 17.56% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +10.34% | +5.92% |
| CAGR | +1.99% | +1.16% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.14 | 0.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 64.84% | 76.40% | |
| Max daily drop | 22.16% | 27.81% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.38% | 27.32% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +20.73% | +322.14% |
| CAGR | +1.90% | +15.50% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.12 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdown | 64.84% | 76.40% | |
| Max daily drop | 22.16% | 27.81% | |
| Max wkly drop | 33.38% | 41.16% |
Business comparison
| Category | DLTR | FIVE |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Dollar Tree, Inc. | Five Below, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Dollar Tree operates the Dollar Tree (mostly $1.25 price point items) and Family Dollar (multi-price value retail) banners, serving price-sensitive consumers across the U.S. with household supplies, food, health and beauty, and seasonal products. | Five Below is a specialty value retailer focused on teen and pre-teen customers, selling trendy merchandise across categories like tech accessories, beauty, toys, sports, and party goods — historically at price points predominantly between $1 and $5, now extending to $10 and beyond. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Dollar Tree's same-store sales performance across both banners, the ongoing strategic review of Family Dollar (with potential for a sale or spin-off), and traffic trends from value-seeking consumers. | Investors track Five Below's comparable sales growth, new store openings (a major growth driver in its expansion phase), traffic trends among its target teen and pre-teen demographic, and merchandise category hit rates. |
DLTR strengths
- →Dollar Tree banner benefits as inflation drives more consumers toward value-priced essentials
- →Nationwide footprint of thousands of stores provides scale in purchasing and distribution
- →Family Dollar separation could unlock value by allowing each banner to focus on its distinct customer and format
FIVE strengths
- →Unique focus on teen and pre-teen consumers creates a defensible, trend-driven shopping experience not easily replicated by mass merchants
- →Highly experiential, treasure-hunt retail model drives repeat visit frequency among core customers
- →Still in an active store expansion phase with significant white space remaining in the U.S.
Risks to watch — DLTR
- →Family Dollar has been a persistent underperformer — profitability, store quality, and customer satisfaction have lagged Dollar Tree
- →Dollar Tree raised its price point from $1.00 to $1.25, which reduced some of its psychological value appeal
- →Shoplifting and shrinkage have been significant cost headwinds across the discount retail segment
Risks to watch — FIVE
- →Teen and pre-teen consumer trends are inherently volatile — missed merchandise trends can sharply affect traffic
- →Price point creep above $5 risks diluting the core value proposition that built the brand
- →Same-store sales have softened as the company manages merchandise execution and macro consumer pressures
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