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ATD
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. · Consumer Staples - Convenience Stores & Fuel
N/A
N/A this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
MUSA
Murphy USA Inc. · Consumer Staples - Fuel Retail & Convenience
$551.26
-3.22% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
ATD
0
MUSA
0
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
ATD N/A
MUSA 52.4
1Y Return
ATD N/A
MUSA +36.09%
Fwd P/E
ATD N/A
MUSA 18.80
Target Up.
ATD N/A
MUSA +2.84%
Op. Margin
ATD N/A
MUSA N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

ATD vs MUSA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

ATD (Alimentation Couche-Tard) is the global Circle K convenience store giant with 16,000 sites across North America, Europe, and Asia, while MUSA (Murphy USA) is a focused U.S. fuel retailer with approximately 1,700 Walmart-adjacent locations and an aggressive buyback strategy. Couche-Tard is much larger with international scale; Murphy USA is a more focused U.S. fuel retail value play.

ATD vs MUSA is global convenience store scale versus focused U.S. fuel-and-convenience value model — Couche-Tard's acquisition-driven international growth against Murphy USA's Walmart-proximity strategy and buyback-driven return.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

ATD and MUSA are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.

Normalized 1Y performance
ATD
MUSA
Not enough data to chart yet.
Recent returns
ATD
MUSA
Analyst price targets & sentiment
ATD
Price target data unavailable
N/A
MUSA · 9 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (2.5/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$380.00
analyst high$680.00
analyst mean$566.89
current price$551.26
+2.8% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
ATD may suit investors who:
  • Want global convenience store exposure through the Circle K brand with operations across North America, Europe, and growing Asia presence
  • Value Couche-Tard's proven M&A integration playbook as a long-term compounder through disciplined international convenience retail acquisitions
  • Are comfortable with Canadian stock exposure (ATD primarily trades on TSX, may be accessed as OTC in U.S. markets)
MUSA may suit investors who:
  • Want a U.S.-only fuel retail and convenience store operator with a differentiated Walmart co-location strategy driving traffic advantages
  • Value Murphy USA's aggressive buyback program and disciplined capital return as the primary shareholder value creation mechanism
  • Prefer a simpler, focused U.S. fuel retail model versus the complexity of a global multi-country convenience store operator
Performance & AI score
MetricATDMUSA
AI scoreN/A52.4
AI rankN/A#328
Latest closeN/A$551.26
1M returnN/A-3.22%
6M returnN/A+34.95%
1Y returnN/A+36.09%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodATDMUSA
1Y agoN/A$13.69K (+36.9%)
started 2025-06-18
5Y agoN/A$44.91K (+349.1%)
started 2021-06-18
10Y agoN/A$80.91K (+709.1%)
started 2016-06-20

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricATDMUSA
Market capN/A$10.18B
Trailing P/EN/A19.19
Forward P/EN/A18.80
Price/SalesN/A0.59
EV/RevenueN/A0.76
Analyst targetN/A$566.89
Target upsideN/A+2.84%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricATDMUSA
Revenue growthN/A7.10%
Earnings growthN/A176.80%
EPS growthN/A+176.80%
FCF marginN/A+2.26%
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit marginN/A3.20%
ROIC proxyN/A80.34%
Return on equityN/A80.34%
Dividend yieldN/A0.43%
BetaN/A0.30
Debt/equityN/A412.27
Current ratioN/A0.83
Quick ratioN/A0.45
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
ATD max drawdownN/A
MUSA max drawdown19.72%
ATD max wkly dropN/A
MUSA max wkly drop16.44%
5Y risk snapshot
ATD max drawdownN/A
MUSA max drawdown35.54%
ATD max wkly dropN/A
MUSA max wkly drop16.44%
10Y risk snapshot
ATD max drawdownN/A
MUSA max drawdown35.54%
ATD max wkly dropN/A
MUSA max wkly drop17.08%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricATDMUSA
1YGrowthN/A+36.09%
CAGRN/A+36.12%
Sharpe ratioN/A0.87
Max drawdownN/A19.72%
Max daily dropN/A11.16%
Max wkly dropN/A16.44%
5YGrowthN/A+337.73%
CAGRN/A+34.36%
Sharpe ratioN/A0.98
Max drawdownN/A35.54%
Max daily dropN/A12.28%
Max wkly dropN/A16.44%
10YGrowthN/A+684.07%
CAGRN/A+22.88%
Sharpe ratioN/A0.67
Max drawdownN/A35.54%
Max daily dropN/A12.82%
Max wkly dropN/A17.08%
Business comparison
CategoryATDMUSA
CompanyAlimentation Couche-Tard Inc.Murphy USA Inc.
SectorConsumer Staples - Convenience Stores & FuelConsumer Staples - Fuel Retail & Convenience
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessAlimentation Couche-Tard is a Canadian global convenience store operator with approximately 16,000 sites across North America (Circle K brand), Europe, and Asia — one of the largest convenience and fuel retailers in the world, with a history of successful international acquisitions.Murphy USA operates approximately 1,700 Murphy USA and Murphy Express fuel and convenience retail locations across 27 states, with many sites located adjacent to Walmart stores — a strategic positioning that drives traffic from Walmart shoppers seeking fuel and convenience items.
Investor focusInvestors track Couche-Tard's same-store sales (fuel and merchandise), merchandise gross margin improvement, fuel volume and retail margin, and M&A pipeline as the company consistently acquires and integrates convenience chains globally under the Circle K banner.Investors track Murphy USA's fuel volume, retail fuel margin per gallon, merchandise revenue and margins, new store openings, and capital return through buybacks — Murphy USA is known for an aggressive buyback-heavy capital return strategy.
ATD strengths
  • World's second-largest convenience store operator with approximately 16,000 sites across North America and Europe, providing scale in fuel purchasing, private label, and operating best practices
  • Proven acquisition integration playbook — Couche-Tard has consistently acquired convenience chains and improved their margins through operational best practices, private label, and procurement scale
  • Circle K global brand builds customer recognition and loyalty across a dispersed retail network that spans multiple countries and fuel formats
MUSA strengths
  • Walmart proximity strategy provides a structural traffic advantage — Walmart shoppers already on site seeking fuel create a captive customer base without need for destination-only traffic generation
  • Disciplined capital allocation with buybacks as the primary shareholder return mechanism — Murphy USA has repurchased a significant fraction of its share count over time
  • Low-cost operating model with smaller store formats and minimal food service complexity keeps overhead efficient relative to larger convenience formats
Risks to watch — ATD
  • EV adoption will gradually reduce fuel volume at Couche-Tard's primarily gasoline-dependent fuel retail network, requiring investment in EV charging infrastructure
  • ATD primarily trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) under the ticker ATD — U.S. investors may face currency and OTC trading considerations versus NYSE-listed peers
  • Fuel retail margins are volatile and difficult to predict — spread between wholesale and retail gasoline prices can compress rapidly with competitive or cost pressures
Risks to watch — MUSA
  • EV adoption is an existential long-term risk to fuel-only convenience stores — Murphy USA's thin-format sites may be harder to convert to EV charging versus larger convenience formats
  • Walmart relationship concentration means Murphy USA's traffic depends partly on continued Walmart store performance and co-location agreements
  • Murphy USA's smaller store format limits food service and convenience merchandise revenue per customer compared to larger competitors like Wawa or Sheetz
Frequently asked questions
Convenience stores and fuel retailers earn from two primary streams: (1) fuel sales — typically low-margin per gallon (a few cents) but high volume, with the margin between wholesale cost and retail pump price subject to competition; and (2) merchandise — higher-margin in-store product sales (snacks, beverages, tobacco, lottery) and increasingly food service. The best operators drive customers from the fuel forecourt into the store for high-margin merchandise purchases.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
ATD
+2.8%BUY
MUSA
+1.1%HOLD

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