ATD vs MUSA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
ATD (Alimentation Couche-Tard) is the global Circle K convenience store giant with 16,000 sites across North America, Europe, and Asia, while MUSA (Murphy USA) is a focused U.S. fuel retailer with approximately 1,700 Walmart-adjacent locations and an aggressive buyback strategy. Couche-Tard is much larger with international scale; Murphy USA is a more focused U.S. fuel retail value play.
ATD vs MUSA is global convenience store scale versus focused U.S. fuel-and-convenience value model — Couche-Tard's acquisition-driven international growth against Murphy USA's Walmart-proximity strategy and buyback-driven return.
ATD and MUSA are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →Want global convenience store exposure through the Circle K brand with operations across North America, Europe, and growing Asia presence
- →Value Couche-Tard's proven M&A integration playbook as a long-term compounder through disciplined international convenience retail acquisitions
- →Are comfortable with Canadian stock exposure (ATD primarily trades on TSX, may be accessed as OTC in U.S. markets)
- →Want a U.S.-only fuel retail and convenience store operator with a differentiated Walmart co-location strategy driving traffic advantages
- →Value Murphy USA's aggressive buyback program and disciplined capital return as the primary shareholder value creation mechanism
- →Prefer a simpler, focused U.S. fuel retail model versus the complexity of a global multi-country convenience store operator
| Metric | ATD | MUSA |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | N/A | 52.4 |
| AI rank | N/A | #328 |
| Latest close | N/A | $551.26 |
| 1M return | N/A | -3.22% |
| 6M return | N/A | +34.95% |
| 1Y return | N/A | +36.09% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | ATD | MUSA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | N/A | $13.69K (+36.9%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | N/A | $44.91K (+349.1%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | N/A | $80.91K (+709.1%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | ATD | MUSA |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | N/A | $10.18B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 19.19 |
| Forward P/E | N/A | 18.80 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 0.59 |
| EV/Revenue | N/A | 0.76 |
| Analyst target | N/A | $566.89 |
| Target upside | N/A | +2.84% |
| Metric | ATD | MUSA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | N/A | 7.10% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | 176.80% |
| EPS growth | N/A | +176.80% |
| FCF margin | N/A | +2.26% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | N/A | 3.20% |
| ROIC proxy | N/A | 80.34% |
| Return on equity | N/A | 80.34% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 0.43% |
| Beta | N/A | 0.30 |
| Debt/equity | N/A | 412.27 |
| Current ratio | N/A | 0.83 |
| Quick ratio | N/A | 0.45 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | ATD | MUSA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | N/A | +36.09% |
| CAGR | N/A | +36.12% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.87 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 19.72% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 11.16% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 16.44% | |
| 5Y | Growth | N/A | +337.73% |
| CAGR | N/A | +34.36% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.98 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 35.54% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 12.28% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 16.44% | |
| 10Y | Growth | N/A | +684.07% |
| CAGR | N/A | +22.88% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.67 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 35.54% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 12.82% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 17.08% |
| Category | ATD | MUSA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. | Murphy USA Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Staples - Convenience Stores & Fuel | Consumer Staples - Fuel Retail & Convenience |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Alimentation Couche-Tard is a Canadian global convenience store operator with approximately 16,000 sites across North America (Circle K brand), Europe, and Asia — one of the largest convenience and fuel retailers in the world, with a history of successful international acquisitions. | Murphy USA operates approximately 1,700 Murphy USA and Murphy Express fuel and convenience retail locations across 27 states, with many sites located adjacent to Walmart stores — a strategic positioning that drives traffic from Walmart shoppers seeking fuel and convenience items. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Couche-Tard's same-store sales (fuel and merchandise), merchandise gross margin improvement, fuel volume and retail margin, and M&A pipeline as the company consistently acquires and integrates convenience chains globally under the Circle K banner. | Investors track Murphy USA's fuel volume, retail fuel margin per gallon, merchandise revenue and margins, new store openings, and capital return through buybacks — Murphy USA is known for an aggressive buyback-heavy capital return strategy. |
- →World's second-largest convenience store operator with approximately 16,000 sites across North America and Europe, providing scale in fuel purchasing, private label, and operating best practices
- →Proven acquisition integration playbook — Couche-Tard has consistently acquired convenience chains and improved their margins through operational best practices, private label, and procurement scale
- →Circle K global brand builds customer recognition and loyalty across a dispersed retail network that spans multiple countries and fuel formats
- →Walmart proximity strategy provides a structural traffic advantage — Walmart shoppers already on site seeking fuel create a captive customer base without need for destination-only traffic generation
- →Disciplined capital allocation with buybacks as the primary shareholder return mechanism — Murphy USA has repurchased a significant fraction of its share count over time
- →Low-cost operating model with smaller store formats and minimal food service complexity keeps overhead efficient relative to larger convenience formats
- →EV adoption will gradually reduce fuel volume at Couche-Tard's primarily gasoline-dependent fuel retail network, requiring investment in EV charging infrastructure
- →ATD primarily trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) under the ticker ATD — U.S. investors may face currency and OTC trading considerations versus NYSE-listed peers
- →Fuel retail margins are volatile and difficult to predict — spread between wholesale and retail gasoline prices can compress rapidly with competitive or cost pressures
- →EV adoption is an existential long-term risk to fuel-only convenience stores — Murphy USA's thin-format sites may be harder to convert to EV charging versus larger convenience formats
- →Walmart relationship concentration means Murphy USA's traffic depends partly on continued Walmart store performance and co-location agreements
- →Murphy USA's smaller store format limits food service and convenience merchandise revenue per customer compared to larger competitors like Wawa or Sheetz
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